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bonzobanana on 02 January 2014
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Runa216 said:
This thread honestly surprises me greatly. I knew PS4 was doing well, but "better than Xbone and WiiU combined"? Didn't see that. I still honestly see the PS4 and Xbone being a lot closer longterm than most are imagining. What we've got now according to VGC is 3.4 milllion to 2.4 million, which is about 70%. I figure that's about where it'll end up comparing PS4 and Xbone.

The next couple years will see the PS4 dominate, but as time goes on and the Xbox gets its heavy hitters (halo, Gears, and TitanFall), you'll see the Xbone's sales rise to almost meet and in some cases exceed the PS4's.

The WiiU is still a pretty unpredictable wild card. I honestly do think it'll pick up and do better than it is now, but at the same time I don't think it has a chance of comparing with the other two. I would be okay with PS4 having a 50% market Share, Xbone having 30%, and WiiU having 20%. That's a lot closer than the PS2's dominance over Xbox and Gamecube, which was a 77% market share vs Microsoft's 12% vs Nintendo's 11%.

So yeah, not as good as Gen 7, which was 38% for Nintendo, and 31% for both Playstation and Xbox.

Alas, I can't wait to see how this generation plays out. I just really, really hope the WiiU doesn't fail so miserably that they drop it early, or I'd have wasted money on it.

But Smash bros will redeem it.

If I was predicting the ratio at the moment I'd be thinking 70% PS4, 25% Xbox One and 5% wii u but I know both Microsoft and Nintendo will not let that happen so will price cut etc. Whether that is successful is another matter. Nintendo predicted 9 million wii u's would sell from april 2013 to march 2014 but it looks like 1-1.5 million will be sold. Last gen we say about 250 million consoles sold although all three consoles are still being actively sold. 5% of that is  about 12 million consoles.  Currently that is looking difficult to achieve for wii u. I'm sure that won't happen but its difficult at this point to see why that won't happen. You wonder how Nintendo will turn it around.