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Forums - Nintendo - 3DS Hits 15mil Sold In Japan In Roughly 3 Years! What Is The Minimum+Maximum it'll Sell Lifetime?

 

Exactly how title says, how much do you think 3DS will sell at maximum LTD? Also post your minimum answers! 

As of Now I see it as...

 

22mil= Minimum

28mil= Maximum

 

You???



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Wait what? We have at at 14.2m here on vgchartz. Where did you take that 15m from?

 

EDIT: To answer the OP, i'd say between 22-25m. 22 being the minimum and 25m being the maximum. 



Predictions for LT console sales:

PS4: 120M

XB1: 70M

WiiU: 14M

3DS: 60M

Vita: 13M

pezus said:
Comparison to DS?

I dunno, around 25m lifetime is my guess for it


im trying to ask (in your opinion) wat do you see as an absolute minimum/maximum it'll sell lifetime! Not wat you predict :P



benji232 said:

Wait what? We have at at 14.2m here on vgchartz. Where did you take that 15m from?

 

EDIT: To answer the OP, i'd say between 22-25m. 22 being the minimum and 25m being the maximum. 


Look at the title lol! Roughly 3 years! (Feb it'll have way over 15mil )

Also its currently 14.5mil as of Dec 22 and by another 3 weeks it'll be 15mil so same difference



tbone51 said:
benji232 said:

Wait what? We have at at 14.2m here on vgchartz. Where did you take that 15m from?

 

EDIT: To answer the OP, i'd say between 22-25m. 22 being the minimum and 25m being the maximum. 


Look at the title lol! Roughly 3 years! (Feb it'll have way over 15mil )

Also its currently 14.5mil as of Dec 22 and by another 3 weeks it'll be 15mil so same difference


Should be at 16M sometime in February.



Buying in 2015: Captain toad: treasure tracker,

mario maker

new 3ds

yoshi woolly world

zelda U

majora's mask 3d

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I'm going to invent two scenarios, for the opposite situations.

 

Minimum - 22 million

  • Nintendo releases their next handheld as early as Holiday 2015, and 3DS sales then plummet quickly in Japan, much like DS sales have after the 3DS came out in Japan.
  • Games like Kirby Triple Deluxe, Super Smash Bros 4 3DS, etc do poorly on the 3DS, moving little hardware or software.
  • Unconfirmed games, like Monster Hunter 5, Dragon Quest 11, etc, are released on other platforms, possibly as exclusives.
  • Future emphasis at Nintendo is shifted towards the console market, helping the Wii U but hurting the 3DS.
  • Consoles make a comeback in Japan.
  • Sony gets serious about supporting the Vita, releasing major games that appeal to the Japanese audience.
  • Ends up doing somewhat better than the PSP lifetime, but below the PS2, Game Boy, and DS.

 

Maximum - 37 million

  • The Next big Nintendo handheld is released no sooner than mid-2017, and the 3DS decently sells through Holiday 2019, ala the PS2 in the early 7th generation.
  • This means games like Pokemon G7, Super Mario 3D Land 2, etc, all become major 3DS titles.
  • Also, more time for notable redesigns, especially since a DSi-style redesign has not happened yet.
  • Games like Kirby, Super Smash Bros 4 3DS, etc. do well on the 3DS, promoting more sales of software and hardware.
  • Game like Monster Hunter 5, Dragon Quest 11, etc end up as 3DS exclusives.
  • Previously non-Nintendo titles like FF7 get 3DS releases in some form, even if simply as a digital download.
  • Console development in Japan continues to falter in favor of handheld development.
  • Sony goes bankrupt by the end of 2015, or otherwise gets a weaker handheld gaming division, weakening the competition.
  • As the 3DS becomes increasingly popular, it gets an eShop on par with the stores of many mobile devices.
  • Price of hardware eventually falls under about $100 for basic unit during supported life.
  • Becomes the best-selling gaming hardware of all time in Japan.

 

Personally, I find both of these options unlikely.



25 mio minimum



I could see it do around 22 million, minimum, and maybe 26 max.



Nintendo Network ID: Cheebee   3DS Code: 2320 - 6113 - 9046

 

whith a non rival like Vita ,3Ds will do easy 30m



It really depends on when the next Nintendo releases their next handheld. Anywhere between 21-34 million I guess.



Predictions! By the end of 2014... PS4: 15 million +, Wii U: 12 million, XOne: 9.5 million!