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Forums - Gaming - 5 Reasons the Video Game Industry is about to Crash...

 

Is a crash likely to happen?

Yes, within a year 20 5.92%
 
Yes, within 2-4 years 54 15.98%
 
Yes, by next Generation 38 11.24%
 
Maybe a wipe-out this gen, but no crash 36 10.65%
 
No, not any time soon 90 26.63%
 
No, the Industry is healthier than ever 100 29.59%
 
Total:338
osed125 on 11 December 2013
Troll_Whisperer said:
The gaming industry is not going to crash, it's seeing a transformation like the film industry did. A few publishers will control most of the big budget releases and then we'll see much smaller stuff from indies.

Here lies the problem though. Big companies want video games to become like movies, and yet with some very few exceptions, they simple can't reach the same success. When GTA V recahes development costs numbers higher than some big summer movies, even if Rockstar recovers their investment, you know something is wrong. Companies will try to mimic that success, and needless to say, they will fail (look at what happened to THQ). Trying to be like movies is the biggest mistake the game industry has made and it has only affected it. Plus there's the simpple problem of the video game industry not being as big as the movie industry, you have tons of big movies a year, but (if things keep going like now), we won't have tons of AAA games a year, and the ones that we get, will be same as before (FIFA, CoD, Madden, etc).

Video games are not as popular as movies and they probably won't be for a very long time (or if ever)



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Dr.Grass on 11 December 2013
Captain_Tom said:

I have been saying for about 2 years now that a game crash could be coming soon.

 


I've been saying that I think that's a retarded belief since I can remember.



Veknoid_Outcast on 11 December 2013
Salnax said:
I don't see the industry crashing in the future. At least, I don't think it's likely, even with the factors mentioned in the article. What I do think is that current trends will continue for at least another 5 years, and that although games may continue to succeed as a business, they will become increasingly, well, boring.

I almost want a crash to happen, if only because I doubt that my favorite companies would be destroyed in the process. There's too much polarization. Either you create the biggest hit in series history, or you doom a franchise. Either your game sells millions, or your company dies. EIther your game is 99 cents with in-game advertisements and micro-transactions, or $60 with slightly fewer in-game advertisements and micro-transactions.

Ironically, the old titan of the industry, Nintendo, is the main refuge of the middle-class game nowadays. Nintendo doesn't really make AAA games other than a console Zelda every few years; All of EAD combined is only about as large as the team that made Resident Evil 6. Games like Mario titles, Animal Crossing, Fire Emblem, and even 2nd party titles like The Wonderful 101 that don't fit in either the 99 cent or AAA model seem to largely come from Nintendo nowadays.

This is also why I love my 3DS. The 3DS, despite its problems, is largely free of many of the industry's greatest poisons. Budgets are reasonable, a floor and ceiling of roughly $2 and $40 is set for most games, micro-transactions are fairly rare, and the system gets titles that combine creativity and production values. The Vita, conversely, seems to want to be a handheld console, but in a bad way, its library largely divided between as many cheap downloadable titles as possible and a couple of high budget titles that might easily have been AAA if the resolution were a bit higher and required more resources.

Love this post :)

I almost want a crash too. I look at the industry in 2013 and sometimes it's barely recognizable. I find myself playing older games, or new games that play like older games. It seems like advances in technology have brought mostly bloated budgets and new and creative ways to bleed consumers dry. We've entered a decadent period in gaming, there's no doubt in my mind.



TheShape31 on 11 December 2013

For anyone too lazy to actually read the article, this was the final sentence to summarize the main idea:

"The result of all of this isn't that games are going away -- it's just that the industry may look very different a few years from now. That might not be a bad thing."

I feel like the OP didn't even read it. Pretty bad thread here, people.



osed125 on 11 December 2013
Salnax said:

This is also why I love my 3DS. The 3DS, despite its problems, is largely free of many of the industry's greatest poisons. Budgets are reasonable, a floor and ceiling of roughly $2 and $40 is set for most games, micro-transactions are fairly rare, and the system gets titles that combine creativity and production values. The Vita, conversely, seems to want to be a handheld console, but in a bad way, its library largely divided between as many cheap downloadable titles as possible and a couple of high budget titles that might easily have been AAA if the resolution were a bit higher and required more resources.

Never thought about it, but the vita is exactly how I imagine the future of consoles. Tons of indie games, with some popular big tittles from time to time.



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Cannoly on 11 December 2013

I honestly don't care
PC MASTERRACE FTW!!



When you think my english is bad...sorry for my bad english,    i'm from Germany. And yeees, sorry, that we've almost destroyed the whole world, blahblahblah

Captain_Tom on 11 December 2013
oniyide said:
theprof00 said:
I read this exact same article last year and the year before.
Funny how these two new consoles are the best selling ever, and how a major player in these systems (indies) pretty much contradicts the entire article.
(Not to mention steambox is coming out as well, which is almost entirely indie games)
Malstrom was wrong about this 3 years ago, and his not so clever copypasta is just as wrong.

this. point 3 is just a bad example, that crap barely works as COD itself is on a decline despite adding two more SKUs this year. People werent fooled by that perfect score commercial.

I have my own paranoid theory. It seems some who keep saying it will crash are only saying so because their console of choice isnt doing so hot. But i am paranoid.

Well a lot of Wii U people were saying that lol.  I'm more inclined to think that 2/3rds through this gen some big changes will be made, but I don't think it will be anwhere near as bad as the 1980's.  

 

However some of the things listed are real problems that need to be addressed one way or another...



Captain_Tom on 11 December 2013
TheShape31 said:
For anyone too lazy to actually read the article, this was the final sentence to summarize the main idea:

"The result of all of this isn't that games are going away -- it's just that the industry may look very different a few years from now. That might not be a bad thing."

I feel like the OP didn't even read it. Pretty bad thread here, people.


The OP (Me) did read the whole thing.  I said a crash could happen, and if anything some big changes will happen...



oniyide on 11 December 2013
Captain_Tom said:
oniyide said:
theprof00 said:
I read this exact same article last year and the year before.
Funny how these two new consoles are the best selling ever, and how a major player in these systems (indies) pretty much contradicts the entire article.
(Not to mention steambox is coming out as well, which is almost entirely indie games)
Malstrom was wrong about this 3 years ago, and his not so clever copypasta is just as wrong.

this. point 3 is just a bad example, that crap barely works as COD itself is on a decline despite adding two more SKUs this year. People werent fooled by that perfect score commercial.

I have my own paranoid theory. It seems some who keep saying it will crash are only saying so because their console of choice isnt doing so hot. But i am paranoid.

Well a lot of Wii U people were saying that lol.  I'm more inclined to think that 2/3rds through this gen some big changes will be made, but I don't think it will be anwhere near as bad as the 1980's.  

 

However some of the things listed are real problems that need to be addressed one way or another...

i think some of the issues will clear themselves, by the fans. Kinda like how we collectively got in the ass of MS at e3. reviews wont carry that much weight as their is too much info out there to be that dishonest. and people will just stop buying games that have those microtransactions forcing change



Captain_Tom on 11 December 2013
oniyide said:
Captain_Tom said:
oniyide said:
theprof00 said:
I read this exact same article last year and the year before.
Funny how these two new consoles are the best selling ever, and how a major player in these systems (indies) pretty much contradicts the entire article.
(Not to mention steambox is coming out as well, which is almost entirely indie games)
Malstrom was wrong about this 3 years ago, and his not so clever copypasta is just as wrong.

this. point 3 is just a bad example, that crap barely works as COD itself is on a decline despite adding two more SKUs this year. People werent fooled by that perfect score commercial.

I have my own paranoid theory. It seems some who keep saying it will crash are only saying so because their console of choice isnt doing so hot. But i am paranoid.

Well a lot of Wii U people were saying that lol.  I'm more inclined to think that 2/3rds through this gen some big changes will be made, but I don't think it will be anwhere near as bad as the 1980's.  

 

However some of the things listed are real problems that need to be addressed one way or another...

i think some of the issues will clear themselves, by the fans. Kinda like how we collectively got in the ass of MS at e3. reviews wont carry that much weight as their is too much info out there to be that dishonest. and people will just stop buying games that have those microtransactions forcing change


Yeah the review system just needs to be fire bombed at this point...