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Forums - Sales Discussion - Last minute Black Friday Predictions? VOTE NOW!

 

What do you expect from Black Friday 2013?

Bombas, bombas everywhere 10 15.15%
 
Next Gen domination (minus WiiU) 15 22.73%
 
3DS > All 17 25.76%
 
3DS > All (combined) 6 9.09%
 
WiiU on life support, Reggie breakdown 8 12.12%
 
Mario 3D World slaying 6 9.09%
 
People remember the Vita,... 4 6.06%
 
Total:66
tbone51 on 01 December 2013
Mummelmann said:

Xbox One: 350k (supply problems)
Xbox 360: 500k (still big in the US after eight years on the market)
PS4: 250k (big supply problems, Europe launch will sap greatly from BF)
PS3: 280k (quite a few good deals for BF this year, getting really affordable)
WiiU: 270k (nice but extremely short-lived boost)
Wii: 220k (still moving)
3DS: 320k (better than last year, peak year)
Vita: 150k (going down a bit)


3DS will not be that low this year, you only raised it by 70k when its doing much much better than last year!!! 



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Mummelmann on 01 December 2013
tbone51 said:
Mummelmann said:

Xbox One: 350k (supply problems)
Xbox 360: 500k (still big in the US after eight years on the market)
PS4: 250k (big supply problems, Europe launch will sap greatly from BF)
PS3: 280k (quite a few good deals for BF this year, getting really affordable)
WiiU: 270k (nice but extremely short-lived boost)
Wii: 220k (still moving)
3DS: 320k (better than last year, peak year)
Vita: 150k (going down a bit)


3DS will not be that low this year, you only raised it by 70k when its doing much much better than last year!!! 

Week ending:

November 16th 2013: 421k

November 9th 2013: 397k

November 2nd 2013: 391k

----------------------------------

November 17th 2012: 428k

November 10th 2012: 387k

November 3rd 2012: 282

 

Steeper curve last year, numbers more or less the same in summary. A 70k, or roughly 28-30% increase is pretty damn good for BF, better deals this year.



tbone51 on 01 December 2013
Mummelmann said:
tbone51 said:
Mummelmann said:

Xbox One: 350k (supply problems)
Xbox 360: 500k (still big in the US after eight years on the market)
PS4: 250k (big supply problems, Europe launch will sap greatly from BF)
PS3: 280k (quite a few good deals for BF this year, getting really affordable)
WiiU: 270k (nice but extremely short-lived boost)
Wii: 220k (still moving)
3DS: 320k (better than last year, peak year)
Vita: 150k (going down a bit)


3DS will not be that low this year, you only raised it by 70k when its doing much much better than last year!!! 

Week ending:

November 16th 2013: 421k

November 9th 2013: 397k

November 2nd 2013: 391k

----------------------------------

November 17th 2012: 428k

November 10th 2012: 387k

November 3rd 2012: 282

 

Steeper curve last year, numbers more or less the same in summary. A 70k, or roughly 28-30% increase is pretty damn good for BF, better deals this year.


Okay but the difference is last year numbers were made up mostly by japan cuz of AC, this year  it is cuz of US+Europe. Dont believe me? Check again for US only



acdcste on 01 December 2013
Mummelmann said:
tbone51 said:
Mummelmann said:

Xbox One: 350k (supply problems)
Xbox 360: 500k (still big in the US after eight years on the market)
PS4: 250k (big supply problems, Europe launch will sap greatly from BF)
PS3: 280k (quite a few good deals for BF this year, getting really affordable)
WiiU: 270k (nice but extremely short-lived boost)
Wii: 220k (still moving)
3DS: 320k (better than last year, peak year)
Vita: 150k (going down a bit)


3DS will not be that low this year, you only raised it by 70k when its doing much much better than last year!!! 

Week ending:

November 16th 2013: 421k

November 9th 2013: 397k

November 2nd 2013: 391k

----------------------------------

November 17th 2012: 428k

November 10th 2012: 387k

November 3rd 2012: 282

 

Steeper curve last year, numbers more or less the same in summary. A 70k, or roughly 28-30% increase is pretty damn good for BF, better deals this year.

I think you are failing to consider the ds hurt the 3ds badly last year with the heavy discounting. Plus this year has the 2ds plus pokemon plus zelda. I reckon at the very least 450k this year. 



JoeTheBro on 01 December 2013

XBONE: 350
360: 450
PS4: 150
PS3: 350
Wii U: 150
Wii: 10
PSV: 150
3DS: 750



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Mummelmann on 01 December 2013

How is a 30% increase failing to see any of the above mentioned and why are you guys so hung up on this?

Should I just write whatever you'd like me to instead? What are your predictions anyway?

PS: This is North America only, right?



colafitte on 01 December 2013

It seems that i was too optimistic with 500k ps4 for BF....I was expecting something like 300k for Xbox One...., now i don't have any clue what they will do... but if i have to guess...

Zbox One: 300k
Xbox 360: 400k
PS4: 250k
PS3: 300k
WiiU: 200k
Wii: 100k
3DS: 700k
Vita: 150k

Sincerely..., if i'm right in something it will be only luck....



Seece on 01 December 2013
Mummelmann said:

How is a 30% increase failing to see any of the above mentioned and why are you guys so hung up on this?

Should I just write whatever you'd like me to instead? What are your predictions anyway?

PS: This is North America only, right?

Black Friday = US only.



 

acdcste on 01 December 2013
Mummelmann said:

How is a 30% increase failing to see any of the above mentioned and why are you guys so hung up on this?

Should I just write whatever you'd like me to instead? What are your predictions anyway?

PS: This is North America only, right?


Im not hung up on anything if you were referring to me? I am just stating that i think your prediction is a little low, im not criticising you for it thats your opinion and your entitled to it. I outlined the reasons (2ds, pokemon, zelda) that make me think it will do more. My prediction was 450k, but i only went that low as i always seem to over predict!



Mummelmann on 01 December 2013
Seece said:
Mummelmann said:

How is a 30% increase failing to see any of the above mentioned and why are you guys so hung up on this?

Should I just write whatever you'd like me to instead? What are your predictions anyway?

PS: This is North America only, right?

Black Friday = US only.


They actually have the same in Scandinavia now, it was crazy back in Norway with fights in lines and much the same here in Sweden. But yeah, thanks for the clear-up!

Are a lot of people actually expecting a 200% increase or so for BF this year?

Edit; acdcste: no prob. I honestly don't know what to expect from BF this year, I only know that this is very likely to become the one week with the highest gross on console hardware in history.