DerNebel said:

The 10 Week Countdown thread is not about US only, you've been here for 6 years, you know what that thread is about, don't lie to me.

You even included the jump the PS4 would make in its third week due to the European launch and argued with people in the thread over how low you prediction was for a simultaneous US and EU launch, so don't tell me you were talking about the US only.

So yeah I am talking about the 350k worldwide prediction, cause that's the one I saw, if you've changed your predictions you could send me link of that.

I don't know how you guys make predictions... but I will explain how I make them.

• I analise the data in internet and talk with some guys... so I post the 1st prediction
• I get more data and others info... so I change my prediction
• I get even more data and others infor... so I change again
• That's happen until the software/hardware launch

For predictions threads I matain the prediction I did until the deadline of the thread... so I was way wrong two weeks ago... but my after that my prediction changed... so you can look the date for all these posts.

The last one is the valid for the launch.

That's a wrong way to make prediction? I don't know but you change it every day with new info/details.

mibuokami said:

Na you just have this habid of pissing me off when you do it lol. Especially as you were still talking about the 400k prediction less than 5 days ago.

I changed the 400k prediction after the PS4 numbers out... you are right close to 5 days ago... PS4 did 300k better than what I expected so the Xbone will do better too... I added 200-300k units for my prediction for US.

At the last change two days ago I reach the number 600-700k for US.

The difference is how hard was my prediction...

- Right prediction a month before launch? Pretty good job.
- Right prediction a day before launch? So-so... we have more data.

So my prediction is fine but not AMAZING if I can put this same prediction a month ago... for the 10 Week Countdown I was extreme bad with my guesses... dammit it will fuck me to hold the good performance last year.

But for what I expected two days ago... I guess I was close but that is not a feat.

Anybody can make predictions like I do.. it easy and fun.

kirby007 said:

it does mean you come across like a rambling sham

I didn't get that but I think it not good for me

That's only half the picture though right? I'm seeing this from a few people, even Pannello (sp).

Yes Sony had 1 million in NA... MS had 1 million (alittle more) worldwide. So it's the same right.. they are shifting the same amount of stock Well not really if Sony have say another 1/2 - 1 million consoles ready 1 week after the NA launch.. that's a massive difference in stock. Or do we really expect MS to ship in an additional number of consoles worldwide to equal the European launch in the next week.? There are rumours that PS4 stock is coming in the USA but they are holding it back for Next weekends BF (not sure if i think thats true or more precisely fair... especially if pre-orders are still massive.. they should be getting them first imho).

kirby007 said:

couldn't find the proper translation for the dutch word "draaikont"
but basicly its like someone who changes stances all the time when its to his advantage

Some data from GAF.