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Forums - Nintendo - WIIU owners: where do you see it in 3 years?

 

WiiU in 3 years:

9 million units install base. 62 21.38%
 
19 million units install base. 72 24.83%
 
29 million units install base. 90 31.03%
 
39 million units install base. 65 22.41%
 
Total:289

/Deleted



I <3 Classic Platformers!

Multi-console Owner FTW

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In 3 years? Getting pulled off store shelves to get ready for the Wii U 2 launch.
That is if it continues the trend which it established since it's release. 29 million lifetime is definitely doable.



Max King of the Wild said:
Damian.W said:
I doubt it will surpass lifetime sales of what the PS3/Xbox360 have now, but I have faith that it will go past 60m. Just like the PS3 and 3DS, the massive need for change will result in the Wii U getting exclusive games that no-one can resists, much like The Last Of Us, Uncharted, and God Of War did for PS3.



It will not hit 60mil. The Wii had the shortest life span and it was number 1 last gen. The Wii U will not have nearly as long as the Wii which didnt have nearly as long as the Ps360 and it would need the ps360 type lifespan for 60million. Not only that but the games you listed are Sony 1st party titles and Nintendo isn't known for making games like that.

 

What do you mean Nintendo can't make games like that? Sony's PS3 struggled last gen with terible losses, and by using their 1st party companies, they turned it around and barely survived. Nintendo can easily fund a project to make large-scale games with mass appeal and bring in sales. 

Maybe my 60m sales are, in fact, way off. But to say that there is NO chance of it is like the issue with the PS3 and 3ds. Everyone downgraded them as failures that would fair in the market. The PS3 was recieving garbage ports from the 360, so what made them wrong? The 3ds was in competition with the graphically more powerful PS Vita, so what made them wrong?



I <3 Classic Platformers!

Multi-console Owner FTW

DucksUnlimited said:

I don't think hitting 7m this FY is such a crazy idea. They're releasing tons of big hitters and have a very affordable console. I guess we'll just have to see what the software does for it this holiday.

Well they already had 1st quarter and they only shipped 0.16mil units. That means they need to ship 6.84mil more to reach 7mil... or 181,000 weekly... let's face it Nintendo did't ship 2.4mil this quarter. Probably around the same as last quarters number... but I'll be generous and say it shipped the same as Q4 last FY year (0.39mil). That leaves 6.45mil for 6 months... or 263,000 weekly...Well, this is the quarter that Nintendo needs to make up ground for that. Do you see them shipping that number anytime soon? You think stores are going to accept that kind of stock when they can't even move that volume in 3 months? Do you even think they will have a week before BF that even tops that figure? I very sincerely doubt it. That's another 2 months away. Even if they sell half that in the next 8 weeks (which is very very generous) leading up to BF that would be 300,000 weekly from BF on out...  I don't think they'll do that in Q4 which would make damn near 800k a week from BF - Dec 31st.

7mil is very difficult for Nintendo but not impossible.



DucksUnlimited said:
Osc89 said:
DucksUnlimited said:
Are you saying you only expect around 20 million units sold?

 


That is what I am assuming right now. To do any better it needs to retain some of the Wii audience. They dropped the Wiimote so Wii Sports is out of the question, so I think we'll have a better idea when Wii Fit U comes out. Plus with rumours of VR glasses for both MS and Sony, I imagine one of them will take off and claim the casual crowd this gen.

What makes you think it will be at the 33m mark?

The gamecube released several big hitters by this point in its life, whereas the WiiU has not, yet I'm pretty sure the Wii U is tracking close to the GC's hardware sales at this point. Also, The GC suffered partially because a lot of people had a PS2 because it came out a year earlier and really took off. This holiday I see as a soft relaunch of the Wii U, so it's essentially starting at the same time as the other consoles only with a 4m+ lead. There's also the fact that many of Nintendo's franchises are likely more popular than they were with the GC thanks to the Wii introducing them to a huge install base. Plus the WiiU gamepad could recapture some of the casual audience once the console gains some momentum, which is something the GC controller never had a chance of doing.


I think the Wii U is a fair amount behind isn't it? It was 700k behind in NA in June, and Europe is doing worse. But that doesn't really matter, like you said to beat the GC they need to have increased the popularity of the franchises with the Wii. We can't know for sure either way, as only NSMB came and it didn't bring people with it.

The GC did suffer because of the PS2, but the PS4 and X1 might do the same. The combined base of Sony and MS is larger than at the end of the 6th gen, so may have more momentum, retail space etc affecting the Wii U as much as the PS2 affected the GC. One or both may flop however, so it's hard to tell.

You have good points though, N64 levels is a reasonable guess.



PSN: Osc89

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I see it on my living room as it is today. I think we could see a turn around in the future. This generation is gonna be really interesting and surprising.



"I've Underestimated the Horse Power from Mario Kart 8, I'll Never Doubt the WiiU's Engine Again"

Too early to tell, I want to see what the sales are like after the release of at least one AAA flagship title.

I am talking something like Mario Kart, Zelda U, and Mario Galaxy U. Hopefully the Xenogears game takes a role as one of Nintendo's flagship franchises. I would love to see Final Fantasy knocked off of its hype horse and replaced with a much more deserving title.



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

I'll see all the Wii U doomed threads gone in 3 years.



Honestly it will sell at most 5 million in its first year. Anyone who thinks it will sell 39 mil in 3 years is delusional...



Damian.W said:
Max King of the Wild said:
Damian.W said:
I doubt it will surpass lifetime sales of what the PS3/Xbox360 have now, but I have faith that it will go past 60m. Just like the PS3 and 3DS, the massive need for change will result in the Wii U getting exclusive games that no-one can resists, much like The Last Of Us, Uncharted, and God Of War did for PS3.



It will not hit 60mil. The Wii had the shortest life span and it was number 1 last gen. The Wii U will not have nearly as long as the Wii which didnt have nearly as long as the Ps360 and it would need the ps360 type lifespan for 60million. Not only that but the games you listed are Sony 1st party titles and Nintendo isn't known for making games like that.

 

What do you mean Nintendo can't make games like that? Sony's PS3 struggled last gen with terible losses, and by using their 1st party companies, they turned it around and barely survived. Nintendo can easily fund a project to make large-scale games with mass appeal and bring in sales. 

Maybe my 60m sales are, in fact, way off. But to say that there is NO chance of it is like the issue with the PS3 and 3ds. Everyone downgraded them as failures that would fair in the market. The PS3 was recieving garbage ports from the 360, so what made them wrong? The 3ds was in competition with the graphically more powerful PS Vita, so what made them wrong?

He means they don't make games like that.   You are forgetting that PS3 got equal 3rd party support, and Wii U is close to recieving none...