Consdiering the giant japanese differential could make up some of the American differential, some further support of Japan could put it on top.

I think smash bros could even beat it week one if it was lucky... cept for one problem.

Nintendo probably won't even have 3.79 million copies to sell.

Probably will have around a million each for US and Euro week ones at max.

ssbb will EASILY outsell halo 3's week 1 if Nintendo ships enough copies

it could sell 5mil+ if every region and every store had plenty of copies

Super Smash Bros. Brawl will and easily outsell Halo 3, because of it's long-time and casual appeal.

This means more people are going to be waiting for Wii's!!!!!!

I will have my Wii this week, I'm borrowing my friend Wii now.

Twilight Princess is an awesome game :)

I'm guessing that less than half have access, and I mind as well be saying "less than 99% have internet access" because chances are that only a smaller fraction (maybe 25%) have actually set up Internet access on their Wii. 

Look at the numbers for the Xbox 360.  Microsoft would be very pleased indeed if half of 360 owners actually used Xbox Live.  And it was a much, much smaller fraction of original Xbox owners (maybe 25%).  

i've heard it's 40% of wii owners that have it connected to the 'net

I could be wrong, but aren't a good portion of 360s at least connected to the internet? I found this site (direct from Microsoft I believe) that states that XboxLive has 10 million subscribers. Whether that's the Gold account or not... but still, having 10 million people connected is more than 50% of their users now. I can't say how many Xbox people were online.

@Stever: I recall that M$ stated at some point that Live would have around 4-5 Xbox users. But considering that you could "upgrade" your Xbox subscription to 360, it's just guessing without information from M$.

@Topic: I'd say that SSBB has a shot to beat Halo 3 opening, but it depends a lot from how many preorders Brawl has and Nintendos ability to ship copies. PAL release is going to be pretty late, so i'd expect Nintendo to have enough copies to outsell Halo 3 opening in others, and i believe it will do that, which means that are opening week sales in Americas big enough to beat it. I know Reggie would love to replace Halo 3 posters with Brawl posters, but considering the huge amount of copies required to do that, it seems unlikely. And even more when Nintendo prefers good longer term sales over great short term sales.

we will have to wait and see, who knows maybe it will outsell halo 3, in japan its probably already a million seller

Are pre-orders counted even if the consumer doesn't get it on first day?

SSBB has, according to Ioi, much more than 1M pre-orders. If we say that it will have 1.5M within launch days, only 1.4M people have to buy it first day, in Europe + USA. I'd say Brawl definately makes 3.33M, and has a good shot at Halo.