By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Nintendo - Will 3DS have more 5 Million Sellers Than DS? (3DS~4 vs DS~18)

 

How Many 3DS Titles Will Be 5 Million Sellers?

Less than 10 19 9.36%
 
10-12 50 24.63%
 
13-15 51 25.12%
 
16-18 20 9.85%
 
19-20 15 7.39%
 
21+ O.o 47 23.15%
 
Total:202
MDMAlliance on 03 August 2013
errorpwns said:
MDMAlliance said:

I wouldn't say bundling is the main factor for 20m sales.  


I would. Bundling played a big factor in a couple of the Wiis 20m+ games.


The bundled sports games don't really count considering nearly every single Wii had it.  Mario Kart probably would have sold 20m+ without being bundled, though.

I would say bundling aids sales, and helps give legs to games but I really don't think it makes all the difference between whether it sells 5m or 20m+.

I think at MOST, bundling accounts for 1/4th of a games sales, and many of those who buy the bundle would have bought it anyway.  Bundling is more of a system seller than a game seller.



Around the Network
zorg1000 on 03 August 2013
HikenNoAce said:
S.Peelman said:

Nah I don't think it'll make it. Even though I can see 3DS reaching GameBoy numbers, at least 100m anyway (I agree the west should pick up the pace a bit), I don't see as many franchises having the potential to sell over 5m copies.

I don't dare to predict which will, but I will say this; I think LoZ: ALBW has a good possibility, I see the style of the game having a 'NSMB' effect. LoZ: OoT3D isn't going to make it for sure, it's pace has stopped to a crawl and it'll be lucky to reach 4m now. Which is d*mn good for a 15 year old game anyway. I will also say that the DS has a slight chance of hitting 19 5m sellers; Phantom Hourglass only needs a couple k more...


To reach 100M, the 3DS needs to be selling at the current for the next 5 years.

Or 1-2 years where it sells above and beyond what its currently selling, then 2-3 years of gentle decline. 



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

S.Peelman on 03 August 2013
zorg1000 said:
HikenNoAce said:
S.Peelman said:

Nah I don't think it'll make it. Even though I can see 3DS reaching GameBoy numbers, at least 100m anyway (I agree the west should pick up the pace a bit), I don't see as many franchises having the potential to sell over 5m copies.

I don't dare to predict which will, but I will say this; I think LoZ: ALBW has a good possibility, I see the style of the game having a 'NSMB' effect. LoZ: OoT3D isn't going to make it for sure, it's pace has stopped to a crawl and it'll be lucky to reach 4m now. Which is d*mn good for a 15 year old game anyway. I will also say that the DS has a slight chance of hitting 19 5m sellers; Phantom Hourglass only needs a couple k more...


To reach 100M, the 3DS needs to be selling at the current for the next 5 years.

Or 1-2 years where it sells above and beyond what its currently selling, then 2-3 years of gentle decline. 

Yeah, I don't think he understands how the regular console cycle works, 3DS's life is still in the early stages.



zorg1000 on 03 August 2013
S.Peelman said:
zorg1000 said:
HikenNoAce said:
S.Peelman said:

Nah I don't think it'll make it. Even though I can see 3DS reaching GameBoy numbers, at least 100m anyway (I agree the west should pick up the pace a bit), I don't see as many franchises having the potential to sell over 5m copies.

I don't dare to predict which will, but I will say this; I think LoZ: ALBW has a good possibility, I see the style of the game having a 'NSMB' effect. LoZ: OoT3D isn't going to make it for sure, it's pace has stopped to a crawl and it'll be lucky to reach 4m now. Which is d*mn good for a 15 year old game anyway. I will also say that the DS has a slight chance of hitting 19 5m sellers; Phantom Hourglass only needs a couple k more...


To reach 100M, the 3DS needs to be selling at the current for the next 5 years.

Or 1-2 years where it sells above and beyond what its currently selling, then 2-3 years of gentle decline. 

Yeah, I don't think he understands how the regular console cycle works, 3DS's life is still in the early stages.

Yup lol with Monster Hunter 4, Pokemon X/Y, Zelda all coming later this year, Iit should be up YoY by a good margin. Next year could very well get a redesign and a $30-40 price cut along with some more big sellers and continued success of current games, 2014 has a chance of selling even higher than this year. 2015-2016 would at that point start to decline but probably over 10 million each.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

IsawYoshi on 03 August 2013

Not so sure. I doub't it will mke 18 honestly, but it should still e a pretty damn impressive list anyhow.



Around the Network
IsawYoshi on 03 August 2013
errorpwns said:
MDMAlliance said:
errorpwns said:
MDMAlliance said:
HikenNoAce said:
So, 0 3DS will sell over 20M? :(


I'll bet that at the very least one 3DS game makes 20m, I hesitate to say more because 20m is a really high number and 2 would be as high as I'm willing to go for betting.  Though I do not think it's impossible for the 3DS to do 4 or more, I think it's unlikely.


Depends on how heavily Nintendo bundles some games.

I wouldn't say bundling is the main factor for 20m sales.  


I would. Bundling played a big factor in a couple of the Wiis 20m+ games.

I think that Wii sports sold more Wii's than the Wii itself, if that makes any sense. Basicly, the game would have sold well anyways. Mario kart would have sold more than 20 million anyways, Wii sports resort is on the so so, Wii play was bundeled with a controller, so I'll give you that one, NSMBW would have sold over 20 million anyway and I've never heard, or seen, any Wii fit game beeing bundeled with anything besides the balance board itself.



Soundwave on 03 August 2013

Pokemon X/Y, Mario 3D Land, Mario Kart 7, NSMBU, Animal Crossing: NL, Smash Bros. 3DS yes.

Maaaaaybe Dragon Quest XI. Final Fantasy VII Remake would for sure, but probably not happening. Maybe Zelda.

Monster Hunter 4 I think will sell 3 million in Japan, but may be a tough go to sell 1.5+ million in the West.



tbone51 on 03 August 2013
Soundwave said:

Pokemon X/Y, Mario 3D Land, Mario Kart 7, NSMBU, Animal Crossing: NL, Smash Bros. 3DS yes.

Maaaaaybe Dragon Quest XI. Final Fantasy VII Remake would for sure, but probably not happening. Maybe Zelda.

Monster Hunter 4 I think will sell 3 million in Japan, but may be a tough go to sell 1.5+ million in the West.



MH4 should sell more than 3mil by end of 2013



zorg1000 on 03 August 2013
MDMAlliance said:
errorpwns said:
MDMAlliance said:

I wouldn't say bundling is the main factor for 20m sales.  


I would. Bundling played a big factor in a couple of the Wiis 20m+ games.

I really don't think it makes all the difference between whether it sells 5m or 20m+.

Thats not what hes saying tho. Games like 3D Land, Mario Kart 7 and Pokemon X/Y all have a shot of 15 million. With very heavy bundling that could go up to 20 million.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Lonely_Dolphin on 03 August 2013

They just need to give the 3DS enough time! I'm hoping it'll last as long as the gameboy did, which would mean another 8 years! It's a really great piece of tech imo so I say it could last if Nintendo let's it. If they do so, it means their next handheld could be a massive step up thanks to the amount of time they'll have to develop it and for prices on parts to drop.