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Forums - Nintendo - How much will the 3DS sell in NPD for october?

 

Predict NPD sales for the 3ds in October 2013

less than 150k 0 0%
 
150k-200k 2 1.67%
 
200k-250k 8 6.67%
 
250k-300k 9 7.50%
 
300k-350k 7 5.83%
 
350k-400k 18 15.00%
 
400k-450k 14 11.67%
 
more than 450k 62 51.67%
 
Total:120
zorg1000 on 02 August 2013
HikenNoAce said:
Conegamer said:
HikenNoAce said:
tbone51 said:


Watttttt? How much do you honestly think pokemon x/y will sell lifetime and by end of year? pls do tell...


10M lifetime seems around right.

So about 5mil less than the previous instalment? 

Using your logic, the past 3 gens, which have had much less hype than this title, went as follows:

16mil-18mil-14mil, though this is likely lower because it is the second DS title, and it's sequel launched about a year after launch. 

I think predicting less than Black/White sales for this is crazy, honestly. But everyone is entitle to their own opinion, so if you think 10mil sounds right, then fair enough.

 


That's just my prediction based on the preorder numbers on vgchartz and its position on Amazon. In terms of hype, no idea since I don't know anyone who plays Pokemon games.

Not all games are pre order heavy



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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007BondAgent on 02 August 2013
HikenNoAce said:
Less than 300k for sure. Pokemon sales' trend is downwards.

No it isn't, black and white smashed diamond and pearls opening, and was only cut short, due to the 3ds



HikenNoAce on 02 August 2013
zorg1000 said:
HikenNoAce said:
Conegamer said:
HikenNoAce said:
tbone51 said:


Watttttt? How much do you honestly think pokemon x/y will sell lifetime and by end of year? pls do tell...


10M lifetime seems around right.

So about 5mil less than the previous instalment? 

Using your logic, the past 3 gens, which have had much less hype than this title, went as follows:

16mil-18mil-14mil, though this is likely lower because it is the second DS title, and it's sequel launched about a year after launch. 

I think predicting less than Black/White sales for this is crazy, honestly. But everyone is entitle to their own opinion, so if you think 10mil sounds right, then fair enough.

 


That's just my prediction based on the preorder numbers on vgchartz and its position on Amazon. In terms of hype, no idea since I don't know anyone who plays Pokemon games.

Not all games are pre order heavy


There's usually a positive correlation between preorders and sales.



Conegamer on 02 August 2013
HikenNoAce said:
Conegamer said:
HikenNoAce said:


10M lifetime seems around right.

So about 5mil less than the previous instalment? 

Using your logic, the past 3 gens, which have had much less hype than this title, went as follows:

16mil-18mil-14mil, though this is likely lower because it is the second DS title, and it's sequel launched about a year after launch. 

I think predicting less than Black/White sales for this is crazy, honestly. But everyone is entitle to their own opinion, so if you think 10mil sounds right, then fair enough.

 


That's just my prediction based on the preorder numbers on vgchartz and its position on Amazon. In terms of hype, no idea since I don't know anyone who plays Pokemon games.

Wait, really? Not a single person? That is somewhat unusual, almost impossible if you ask me. Everyone knows someone, that group of people, who plays Pokemon. Unless you're like 55, I guess. 

But still, I wouldn't consider pre-orders for Pokemon really. As Black and White pretty much doubled preorders every week for over a month, so it should pick up soon. But yeah, it's not preorder happy. I mean, I haven't preordered it and I preorder almost anything.

I would judge your prediction on the performance of other games in the series as opposed to the trends you're seeing from Amazon and the like on this case. And that leads you to believe that Pokemon will do pretty darn well.



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

IsawYoshi on 02 August 2013
HikenNoAce said:
tbone51 said:
HikenNoAce said:
Less than 300k for sure. Pokemon sales' trend is downwards.



i thought i explained this to you? Pokemon X/Y will sell more than wat you believe! Dont mix black2/white2 sales with new gen pairs OT: Sales should be very strong, if Animal Crossing Did 225k in june i say no less than 500k for Oct, most i see is 750k-800k


Even if you don't take into consideration B&W2, my statement is still true. Anyway, we'll see about that. Based on the Amazon sales chart and the vgchartz preorder numbers, Pokemon isn't going to best games like CoD, GTA or BF4 in terms of sales.

You can't honestly be serious. CoD, GTA and BF are all games mostly bought by so called "gamers," and they are much more likely to preorder a game compared to the crowd pokemon appeals to. 



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S.Peelman on 02 August 2013
HikenNoAce said:
tbone51 said:
HikenNoAce said:
Less than 300k for sure. Pokemon sales' trend is downwards.

i thought i explained this to you? Pokemon X/Y will sell more than wat you believe! Dont mix black2/white2 sales with new gen pairs OT: Sales should be very strong, if Animal Crossing Did 225k in june i say no less than 500k for Oct, most i see is 750k-800k

Even if you don't take into consideration B&W2, my statement is still true. Anyway, we'll see about that. Based on the Amazon sales chart and the vgchartz preorder numbers, Pokemon isn't going to best games like CoD, GTA or BF4 in terms of sales.

Except that it's not... Each Pokémon on DS has outsold it's equivalent on GBA.



Suke on 02 August 2013

 

Not to mention these two version releasing along with the games, I say....over 500 thousands systems.



“Don’t follow the hype, follow the games”

— 

Here a little quote I want for those to keep memorize in your head for this coming next gen.                            

 By: Suke
HikenNoAce on 02 August 2013
Conegamer said:
HikenNoAce said:
Conegamer said:
HikenNoAce said:


10M lifetime seems around right.

So about 5mil less than the previous instalment? 

Using your logic, the past 3 gens, which have had much less hype than this title, went as follows:

16mil-18mil-14mil, though this is likely lower because it is the second DS title, and it's sequel launched about a year after launch. 

I think predicting less than Black/White sales for this is crazy, honestly. But everyone is entitle to their own opinion, so if you think 10mil sounds right, then fair enough.

 


That's just my prediction based on the preorder numbers on vgchartz and its position on Amazon. In terms of hype, no idea since I don't know anyone who plays Pokemon games.

Wait, really? Not a single person? That is somewhat unusual, almost impossible if you ask me. Everyone knows someone, that group of people, who plays Pokemon. Unless you're like 55, I guess. 

But still, I wouldn't consider pre-orders for Pokemon really. As Black and White pretty much doubled preorders every week for over a month, so it should pick up soon. But yeah, it's not preorder happy. I mean, I haven't preordered it and I preorder almost anything.

I would judge your prediction on the performance of other games in the series as opposed to the trends you're seeing from Amazon and the like on this case. And that leads you to believe that Pokemon will do pretty darn well.


Not one single person. Every gamer I know is a console and/or pc gamer. My little nephews have been raised on the PS systems. Others are of the smartphone generations.

And Pokemon B&W added 12,000 preorders 11 weeks before release compared to the 5,700 that X/Y added with the same number of weeks to go. As of right now, X/Y is tracking more than 10% behind B/W with the difference likely to increase next week.



HikenNoAce on 02 August 2013
S.Peelman said:
HikenNoAce said:
tbone51 said:
HikenNoAce said:
Less than 300k for sure. Pokemon sales' trend is downwards.

i thought i explained this to you? Pokemon X/Y will sell more than wat you believe! Dont mix black2/white2 sales with new gen pairs OT: Sales should be very strong, if Animal Crossing Did 225k in june i say no less than 500k for Oct, most i see is 750k-800k

Even if you don't take into consideration B&W2, my statement is still true. Anyway, we'll see about that. Based on the Amazon sales chart and the vgchartz preorder numbers, Pokemon isn't going to best games like CoD, GTA or BF4 in terms of sales.

Except that it's not... Each Pokémon on DS has outsold it's equivalent on GBA.

 

I don't know what's equivalent to what but, going by vgchartz numbers, no pokemon game has passed the 20M mark since the GB days. Anyway, we will soon find out.



NintendoPie on 02 August 2013

Most likely around 500'000. NPD is only for the US, just to let all of you know.

The Nintendo DS did 470'000 in April of 2007 (when D/P released in NA.) So 500'000 isn't too far off for October.