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Forums - Microsoft Discussion - "Microsoft will vanish in 5 or 10 years, Facebook in 3" explains FSF President.

Tagged games:

 

What will happen?

Microsoft and FB will disappear. 62 12.16%
 
Only Microsoft will vanish. 22 4.31%
 
Only FB will vanish. 102 20.00%
 
Neither will be erased. 148 29.02%
 
They both will be erased,... 69 13.53%
 
No one lives forever. 58 11.37%
 
Show me the results. 45 8.82%
 
Total:506
JerCotter7 said:
...

Doesn't this refer to most software though? Who gets excited for the new android updates? The majority of owners just update to get rid of the stupid notification in the corner.

Yes, and notice that the money in the business isn't in updating Android. It's in selling flashy handsets like Samsung.

Whatever's in consumer's minds can command crazy margins - Apple, Nintendo during the Wii+DS, Cabbage Patch Kids that one Christmas in 1983, etc.



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Augen said:
RenCutypoison said:

You're lucky. Facebook is the reason my parents know I smoke, and can check out who I hang out with, if they like the page "Legalize" etc

For other sites, there are twitter and instagram, but I'm not into these kind of stuff in general.

Then there are specific social networks, like deviantart.

But seriously, 35-50 years old are invading facebook.

there is a loop that goes this way in social networking, for the demographics :

Nerds -> Cool youngs -> Marketers -> Parents -> Nostalgic folks that come back once a year on the site, or a specific community (like music on myspace)

and the alternative route :

Nerds -> Google employees


So Facebook will not be opposed so much by a single site, but a cobbling together of various aspects of what it offers?

For me easy way to organize social events among large groups of people and easy way to stay in touch.  To me it still feels young...then again I may not be considered young anymore (twenty-eight). 


Nop, you're considered old (no offense, even I, at 21, am considered old on this side). When I say cool youngsters it's 15-16 years old mainly. 

Facebook starter to get a lot of marketers after the beginnings of zynga.

It's already began it's last phase.

(I use facebook mainly for events too, and sharing notes etc with the rest of my class (IT student))



I can't see either vanishing.

People love FB. If it goes away, then all that means is G+ stole the market and that will only happen if Google overtakes MS as the default operating system worldwide.

MS is still extremely dominant in every market. Only way its going dodo is again.. Google and its ChromeOS or similar.

However, MS is smart enough to adapt to the cloud technology / base that is central to Google's platform. So in the end, they may lose marketshare and never really gain a big foothold in mobile space, but they won't vanish.



LOL no way! they'll be around for many many many more years to come.



disolitude said:
He's just driving his agenda with absolutely no ideas based on reality.

What a moron...


^^^^^^^^^^

He will be gone in 5 years. LOL



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Soleron said:
the2real4mafol said:
They won't vanish, they will just become irrelevant. I see Facebook becoming like myspace in about 5 to 10 years but Microsoft won't disappear while everyone uses Windows.

Microsoft has already become a background, no one cares company. You pay your money for Windows and Office and maybe an Xbox and you get on with it; very few people are excited about them.

Facebook is getting there as well. It's a background tool for life, not front and centre.

I think complete irrelevance is a much more likely fate than vanishing.

Microsoft is in the background the way the government is in the background. They aren't losing power or viability, and you rely on them more than you may realize.

How would MS become irrelevant? Odds are you're on a MS OS. Your company probably runs primarily off of MS software. The most popular console in the US is a MS one. and MS has the most advanced/impressive cloud solutions positioning them well for the future. If you think MS is becoming irrelevant, you're probably not in touch with the world.



Jereel Hunter said:
...

Microsoft is in the background the way the government is in the background. They aren't losing power or viability, and you rely on them more than you may realize.

How would MS become irrelevant? Odds are you're on a MS OS. Your company probably runs primarily off of MS software. The most popular console in the US is a MS one. and MS has the most advanced/impressive cloud solutions positioning them well for the future. If you think MS is becoming irrelevant, you're probably not in touch with the world.

The desktop PC itself is becoming less of a necessity at home, except for power users/gamers which are actually quite small of a market. Most people could get on fine with just a dockable tablet running Android or iOS. Perhaps one laptop per household, but everyone having their own non-MS tablet and phone. I certainly see that happening soon.

My computer has no MS software on it except for Windows (and I do have Linux installed), because there are good alternatives to all consumer things they do now.

I see "the cloud" as something MS is a decent competitor in, but is not dominating anything close to it's used to.

And the Xbox is only strong in the US. They're not even bothering to launch Xbone in Japan till late next year. And in Europe it's an even choice between the two most probably.

They are losing the power to say, "this is how things are going to be, take it or leave it" like they could 1995-2005ish. With web standards, with software choices, with hardware choices, and so on.



Soleron said:
Jereel Hunter said:
...

Microsoft is in the background the way the government is in the background. They aren't losing power or viability, and you rely on them more than you may realize.

How would MS become irrelevant? Odds are you're on a MS OS. Your company probably runs primarily off of MS software. The most popular console in the US is a MS one. and MS has the most advanced/impressive cloud solutions positioning them well for the future. If you think MS is becoming irrelevant, you're probably not in touch with the world.

The desktop PC itself is becoming less of a necessity at home, except for power users/gamers which are actually quite small of a market. Most people could get on fine with just a dockable tablet running Android or iOS. Perhaps one laptop per household, but everyone having their own non-MS tablet and phone. I certainly see that happening soon.

My computer has no MS software on it except for Windows (and I do have Linux installed), because there are good alternatives to all consumer things they do now.

I see "the cloud" as something MS is a decent competitor in, but is not dominating anything close to it's used to.

And the Xbox is only strong in the US. They're not even bothering to launch Xbone in Japan till late next year. And in Europe it's an even choice between the two most probably.

They are losing the power to say, "this is how things are going to be, take it or leave it" like they could 1995-2005ish. With web standards, with software choices, with hardware choices, and so on.

This basically sums it up.  They aren't the only option now, and the other options just keep getting better.  Thus MS better tread carefully...



What a faulty analysis to compare MySpace with Facebook.

What about YouTube, eh? Is YouTube going away too in the near future? It's as huge as it's ever been, and I think it was launched in 2005.

Myspace was never big. Facebook is enormous. You can't compare the two. Everybody is on FB, ordinary people, artists, shops, companies, everybody has a page on FB, even terrorists. Only a few nerds and some people who want to remain anonimous like me aren't on FB but the majority of young people in the rich world are there. Has there ever been a social site able to gather so many people together all over the world?



Ignorance allover the place. Got to love the partial freedom of expression.



Ex Graphics Whore.