PS4 will be huge in Japan.
And this is good for Sony; they need this market.

Microsoft has no chance and Nintendo need to step up with the WiiU (or anything new).
This is a very good opportunity for Sony.

I don't really know what to say. Japan sales haven't been that great recently. Even the 3ds sales in Japan are declining and everything else is barely above 10k. I also heard that the 4 is an unlucky number in Japan so many people may stay away from it. Hopefully ps4 will have high sales in Japan which could raise hardware sales in general then it would be big.

Really dissappointed in you guys that no one has said it yet..

keep an eye on TGS coming up, there might still be some surprises coming up.

About the same as PS3, ~ 10 million.

Gamers already migrated to handhelds last generation and they're further transitioning to smartphones this generation. Home consoles are going to struggle.

Getting the announcements of Final Fantasy XV and Metal Gear Solid 5 in there early is a good start. Sony need to get in there early with a couple of announcements of their own (Hot Shots Golf; Gran Turismo) which will help, and maybe a new monster hunting IP/extension of Soul Sacrifice or Freedom Wars. Something from Japan Studio, in any case.

As long as the rest of the 'important' franchises show up eventually - Resident Evil; Yakuza; Tales; Dynasty Warriors; Gundam etc., then it'll be okay. And apparently One Piece, too.

The otaku developers - Gust; Nippon Ichi; Compile Heart; Idea Factory etc. will show up sooner or later - Compile Heart have already confirmed they're working on a PS4 game.

Throw in the fact that certain western franchises are getting bigger in Japan - GTA; CoD etc., and the fact that I suspect we're not going to see the same level of early-in-the-gen exclusive moneyhatting from Microsoft, and that'll be enough to offset the threat from handheld/smartphone gaming but not enough to increase sales.

I'm also working on the assumption that again Japan is going to gravitate to Sony over Microsoft, as they did in the current generation.

^Handhelds have been huge in Japan for a long time.

Why does everyone here act like its some new phenomenon that will take all prospective PS4 buyers away.

Bigger then last gen, I would like to know what type of marketing Sony has in play atm in Japan for the PS4.

I'll go with
PS4- 12m
Wii u - 6.3m
One - 0.8m

ps4 is going to rule japan

Ps4 in my opinion is going to do great in Japan. Not only is it going to be much cheaper than the Ps3 this time around at launch, but I believe that we are going to see tons of Japanese support for the system announced at TGS. Can't wait!