Soundwave said:
Even the 3DS still is not selling very well here (sub 130k this year, perhaps down again year over year) even with Luigi's Mansion 2 and other solid releases and a much deeper library overall.
Wii U is notably a disaster.
Nintendo has lost the support of the biggest Western publisher in EA. Not even the N64 or GameCube did that.
They have really no big Western studio IPs, they have Retro/Next Level/Monster Games, but basically all these studios are allowed to work on are Japanese Nintendo I.P. that the main EAD group is too busy to work on themselves.
Does the fact that Nintendo really has invested nothing into Western IPs alienated them from the Western market after the Wii Sports/Fit/Brain Training crazes wore off?
Even in the 90s and early 2000s we'd see things like Killer Instinct, GoldenEye, Star Wars: Rogue Squadron I-III, NBA Courtside, Banjo-Kazooie, Eternal Darkness, Excitebike 64, etc. from the Western studios.
Can Nintendo continue as a major player in the Western market just relying on Japanese IP?
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So many things wrong with what you're saying.
1. 3DS is up YoY in North America by roughly 35% so far. It's selling fine here, and with games like Animal Crossing and Pokemon, and maybe a decent 3DS XL colour (Europe and Japan get better colours), 3DS sales could be as much as 50% higher in 2013 in North America as they were last year.
2. Many Analysts expect 8th gen systems to start really slow since this gen lasted longer then normal. Wii U sales will pick up with software releases.
3. Activision is the largest NA publisher, and Nintendo has lots of support from Activision. As for EA, no one likes EA.
4. There is a strong rumor that Retro Studios is developing their own "Western" IP.
5. Have the Wii Fit/Sports craze's wore off? Last Wii Fit and Wii Sports game released sold well, and there is nothing available for Wii U. I bet you once the next main Wii line game releases for Wii U, sales will explode again.
6. Shadow of the Eternals (aka Eternal Darkness 2) is a Wii U/PC exclusive, developed by a Western Studio. As for Rare...lol Rare....none of their exclusives ever sold that well, and DKC by Retro Studios was just as successful as older Rare games.
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So, since basically everything you said is wrong or debatable, why would Nintendo be in trouble? Wii U might be having a slow start, but Wii U also set a record for the longest video game drought (4 months). Wii U sales will pick up with software, and even if it doesn't do as well as Wii U, it wil do much much better then N64/GCN/SNES/NES.