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Forums - Sales Discussion - COMG! Japan Pre-order Chart Thread - Daily updates!

And so Ultimate falls behind Smash 4. By 19 points in a single day. And next week Smash 3DS really takes off and even Wii U starts to increase. With such dismal momentum coming from Ultimate, Smash 4 is safely ahead of Ultimate. 3DS will pass it next week. If Ultimate ever does gain some last minute momentum, I could see it getting 700 or 800 points, but as Marth pointed out, Splatoon 2 is well ahead of it by this point so 900 is likely out of reach as well. I know that doesn't mean Smash will fail, just that it won't do as well as COMG as Smash 4, blah blah blah, this reason that reason why it will do better, COMG is declining, console bundles, lower install base, Super Mario Odyssey passed 3DLand, etc. But while I think Ultimate will do great worldwide and possibly become the best selling Smash ever, we are here to compare pre-order sales in a Japanese game store, and speculate on the larger Japanese game market based on that, and by that metric, the numbers are discouraging, and Ultimate probably won't be as huge in Japan as Smash 4 was, or at the very least I certainly wouldn't be surprised if that ends up being the case. Switch isn't doomed, but damn, everybody focused on the raw numbers in that chart and insisted that because Ultimate was ahead by over 100 that it would end that way when you could see it wasn't gaining momentum and you could see that Smash 4 would.



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  Days SSB Ultimate SSB 3DS SSB Wii U SSB 4 all
21 147 53 15 17 32
20 140 110 15 19 34
19 133 137 20 20 40
18 126 155 21 21 42
17 119 181 21 21 42
16 112 208 23 22 45
15 105 226 28 23 51
14 98 238 30 25 55
13 91 256 45 26 71
12 84 272 86 27 113
11 77 294 143 25 168
10 70 322 179 25 204
9 63 340 216 26 242
8 56 352 264 31 295
7 49 367 307 31 338
  48 372 327 31 358
  47 373 334 31 365
  46 374 341 32 373
  45 376 344 31 375
  44 377 348 30 378
  43 377 351 46 397
6 42   359 49 408
5 35   419 76 495
4 28   509 102 611
3 21   584 117 701
2 14   650 155 805
1 7   798 211 1009
Launch Week     1090 278 1368


Gg red dead. Now have an awesome ratio and great digital sales please!



congratulation at RDR2, strong finish and great last days



Cute run for RDR2. Hopefully it has good legs and reaches something between 250k and 300k lifetime.



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Great last day for RDR2, very confident that this game will sell strong in Japan.



Dr.Vita said:

Great last day for RDR2, very confident that this game will sell strong in Japan.

GTA V had insane reviews. And then had insane legs in Japan. Rdr2 i believe will be similar and it has the online component to give it those long lasting legs. 



Mar1217 said:
Kerotan said:
Yeah great finish for red dead. Hype ramping up. I'm confident of a 100k+ opening. What did the original open at?

I'll predict somewhere around 50K-75K.

You'll be too low. I guarantee it. 



 



Oh shit



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

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