By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - COMG! Japan Pre-order Chart Thread - Daily updates!

Lafiel said:
sc94597 said:

I scoured back into the thread to see where Monster Hunter 4 was, fourteen days before release: 2883 points. Monster Hunter World seems to be holding up nicely, all things considered. On the last day of preorders MH4 was at 3872 points. MH4 sold 1,778,558 first week (according to VGC) and 3.44 lifetime. 

If Monster Hunter World holds a similar trend 1.5 - 2 million in Japan lifetime seems probable. It will be interesting to see its sales.

that would be pretty disappointing considering MH XX sold 1.65m on 3DS and 200k on Switch in Japan last year (with less COMG pre-orders)

obviously MHW would need to expand PS4 user base quite a bit to make it to 3m though

It seems as if it is the best we can expect considering the PS4's install base and the performance of peer titles like Dragon Quest XI (limited somewhat by 3DS version) and Final Fantasy XV. 

Monster Hunter Tri sold 1.05 million in Japan on a larger install base (~ 9 million Wii's upon release.) Doubling the sales of the best selling console Monster Hunter would be quite impressive. 

The active Japanese install base of the Wii and PS4 at the respective periods are probably similar, with the PS4 likely being much more stable than the Wii was in Japan in 2009. 

With 14 days left, MHXX (3DS) had 990 points, on the last day of preorders it had 1305. 

So I do expect MHW to sell closer to MHXX than MH4, probably moderately better than XX (~2 million.) With digital sales that might inch toward 2.5 million. 




Around the Network
twintail said:
animegaming said:

interesting when I made that post the PS4 version wasn't in the top 10.

Looks like though this port is gonna do decently on both platforms. 

I'm pretty sure that list fluctuates a lot. 

At this time PS4 is 1, 2 and 7. Switch at 9.

it only ever has significance if these games are in top 10 for several weeks/months

right after preorders open even little niche titles can make it to the top



Was really hoping for more out of Dynasty Warriors 9 :/



As always Monster Hunter doing great!

Sword Art Online had a nice day too.



 



Around the Network

seems finishing at 1500 points for monster hunter seems possible, let's see



1.5-2 million for MHW in Japan alone would be pretty incredible.



ZODIARKrebirth said:
seems finishing at 1500 points for monster hunter seems possible, let's see

Yes if you do a rough regression of the sales data and COMG results from this point to the last day of 3DS monster hunter games (MH4,MH4U,MHX,MHXX), and plug MHW's current results in for a rough extrapolation, you get ~ 1508 points on last day of preorders, 1.01 million first week sales, and 1.81 million lifetime sales. Of course since N= 4  the error-bars are pretty big for each data point. 

I do think 1500 points is a solid bet, with maybe an uncertainty of +/- 50 points. 

MHW will likely sell more than XX, but less than the rest of the 3DS MH titles in Japan. That's impressive enough, but maybe not what Capcom is hoping for if Western sales don't meet expectations and considering the development costs of this game versus previous monster hunter titles. It's a risk on their part, but the Japanese sales are looking to be pretty good all things considered. 



Last edited by sc94597 - on 13 January 2018

Teeqoz said:
1.5-2 million for MHW in Japan alone would be pretty incredible.

Which would be nice if the west can bring in another 2-3M on top of that.  3.5-5M LTD.



29 points :) for Monster Hunter great