NSMB isn't a big IP? It's one of their biggest so what chances do the other have?

At current levels the ps3 is sub 10M a year and this number will get smaller as wii u becomes more popular and the ps4/nextbox release. ps2 sold the equivalent of 36% the install base after the ps3 released. I don't think the much less popular ps3 will get close to that. 100 million is the top it could get.

I can understand the total number going down but the percentage should stay the same for post gen sales.  Okay maybe a little less because it's been out longer before its successor comes but it also is still a higher price than PS2 was in its 3rd year.  I would say about 25% of PS3 sales will be post gen which is a fairly large drop off (aka pessimistic).  That puts it above 100m easily.

True, I am willing to bet that MS comes out with 4 brand new IP and I will make it richer and exclude Kinect.

lol at that: "no one has proven you wrong"... You are not even acknowledging other people's comments and you are one of the first to always come and bash Microsoft's treads with your one sided point of view.

There is no point of "proving you wrong". Not judging you there as it is perfectly expected; I am for instance in the same case when you try to convince me that Sony is supposely a "gamer oriented company" and not "any" company... You are basicaly talking to a wall; same when we argue with your about Microsoft's games/console; you are just already completly biased and always right whatever we say

Microsoft will have a lot of surprises for us on May 21st. Even if they are keeping the majority of the game announcements for E3; I'm pretty sure they will show us a lot of good stuff and I really hope people will stop to believe they are stupid enough to come up with something completly irrelevant to face the WiiU/PS4... The last 2 generations actually "proved you wrong" in that sense!

The market will shrink. This is obvious. Wii U will struggle to 50mil and ps4 and 720 will sell more. Leaving ps4 and 720 to fight over less than 100mil to add to their >50mil number already. For example, Wii U gets 50mil. Ps4 gets 60mil+whatever they gain from the 100mil up for grabs and 720 gets 60mil+ the remainder of the 100mil

Ps3 is already near 77mil. I'd be hard pressed to believe they couldn't ship another 23mil in another 6 years. That's less than 4 mil a year and another 6 years puts it at 12year life span. Even at 4 more years that's less than 6mil a year. The Ps3 will have a extended life due to it's bloated price.

MS will have games....they always do in the beginning, but if they suck MS drops complete support and guts companies. Microsoft has left the first party core support dry for the last 3-4 years of the Xbox 360's life just to support the Kinect and possibly half of that time the 720's development process. These gamess better be gold....better yet platinum. MS has someting for Sony, I am sure, but everyone knows Sony was holding back at their unveiling and they will be taking it to Microsoft. This will be the first time MS created a group of companies (Since Turn 10) dedicated to core game since they adopted the term "core gamer" and figured that out. Microsoft learned a lot about Sony first party attention to detail in art direction. Now they are applying it to themselves.

I'd say it will be something like this ...

Wii U   30-40 million (closer to 40 if it can get big titles like Smash Bros. out this holiday or holiday 2014).

PS4: 50-90 million

720: 50-90 million

I put a wide range on PS4 and 720 because we just don't know enough about them to make any kind of accurate predictions at this point ... 720 hasn't even been anounced yet. Leaning towards one or the other would just be personal bias talking. Sony has not announced all of the features (or even shown for that matter) for their console, and Microsoft won't tell us anything until May 21st.

The Wii U is already here so we can make safer predictions about its final sales, and there are still a lot of things Nintendo can do to change these numbers (look what a dramatic price cut and lots of quality titles did for the struggling 3DS). I fear that Wii U may be destined for low (Gamecube style) sales if Nintendo does not introduce a major price cut along with solid titles. 3rd party exclusives are not necessary in my opinion. A price cut and a bunch of solid first party will be more than enough. Improving and expanding their online capabilities for the WIi U would be a nice idea too (add accounts that aren't tied to the system, cross game chatting, achievements, have the same DLC available as competitors, ect.) Unlike last gen, Nintendo should get most if not all of the third party games that Microsoft and Sony will have (maybe not EA ... at least not yet though).

That would be amazing if the PS3 could reach 100 million consoles. This has been a really long gen and goes to show the utility and value of Sonys development.