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Forums - Nintendo - (WiiU reaches 3m) WiiU Prediction. Will not sell less than 8m total units by 2014

Max King of the Wild on 02 April 2013
JayWood2010 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
I don't even think Nintendo will even ship what you are suggesting. They aren't going to ramp up production to the levels you are suggesting while sales are stagnent. That would lead to massive losses


All it needs is to sell 5m.  If it sells the way it is now it will sell 1.25m between now and September.  lets say it sells 30k a week instead. That means it would sell 720k betewwn now and September.  Now considering the WiiU sold 250k during the holiday on an everage week lets throw in Mario Kart U, Zelda Wind Waker, Xenoblade 2, and 3D Mario.  That would more than enough everage between 100-150k for september to november.  Ill be nice and say 125k for 8 weeks.  That comes out to 1m plus the previous 720k.  So far far we are at 1.7m.  Now lets consider Black Friday which will likely result in another 500k.  Now we are at 2.2m  November to January will likely be between 250k 350k weekly. We will shoot for 275k for 8 weeks which comes out to 2.2m  Add the other 2.2m and that comes out to 4.4.  4.4 plus 2.8 is 7.2m which is on my low end of the prediction since I would be 800k off still.  Now considering I took the low end of my prediction, let's say it goes with my high end, which will more than enough push it to 5m units sold this year.  Considering the WiiU sold I think 2.5 m in 6 weeks of 2012 with no games, it should be able to repeat that process with games plus more


retailers arent going to accept the type units your suggesting when the item was selling barely a million in 6 months. You are being far too generous with retailers who would rather stock ps3's and 360's which have sold more than wii u's and they would most likely take more 720s and ps4 too.



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Jaywood2010 on 02 April 2013
Max King of the Wild said:
JayWood2010 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
I don't even think Nintendo will even ship what you are suggesting. They aren't going to ramp up production to the levels you are suggesting while sales are stagnent. That would lead to massive losses


All it needs is to sell 5m.  If it sells the way it is now it will sell 1.25m between now and September.  lets say it sells 30k a week instead. That means it would sell 720k betewwn now and September.  Now considering the WiiU sold 250k during the holiday on an everage week lets throw in Mario Kart U, Zelda Wind Waker, Xenoblade 2, and 3D Mario.  That would more than enough everage between 100-150k for september to november.  Ill be nice and say 125k for 8 weeks.  That comes out to 1m plus the previous 720k.  So far far we are at 1.7m.  Now lets consider Black Friday which will likely result in another 500k.  Now we are at 2.2m  November to January will likely be between 250k 350k weekly. We will shoot for 275k for 8 weeks which comes out to 2.2m  Add the other 2.2m and that comes out to 4.4.  4.4 plus 2.8 is 7.2m which is on my low end of the prediction since I would be 800k off still.  Now considering I took the low end of my prediction, let's say it goes with my high end, which will more than enough push it to 5m units sold this year.  Considering the WiiU sold I think 2.5 m in 6 weeks of 2012 with no games, it should be able to repeat that process with games plus more


retailers arent going to accept the type units your suggesting when the item was selling barely a million in 6 months. You are being far too generous with retailers who would rather stock ps3's and 360's which have sold more than wii u's and they would most likely take more 720s and ps4 too.


We will see is all i can say as I can't prove you wrong. I stand behind my prediction.




       

Jaywood2010 on 02 April 2013
Somini said:
I think somewhere between 7 and 9 million is more realistic.


8m and 9m still makes my prediction correct.




       

Max King of the Wild on 02 April 2013

The Wii U will be less than 9mil sold before years end and probably closer to 7mil total.



Jaywood2010 on 02 April 2013
Max King of the Wild said:
The Wii U will be less than 9mil sold before years end and probably closer to 7mil total.


You just told me that 7.2m was too much stock for retailers and now you are saying it will reach 7m?




       

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Max King of the Wild on 02 April 2013
JayWood2010 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
The Wii U will be less than 9mil sold before years end and probably closer to 7mil total.


You just told me that 7.2m was too much stock for retailers and now you are saying it will reach 7m?



Maybe we aren't on the same page yet. Let me re-read some posts



Jaywood2010 on 02 April 2013
Max King of the Wild said:
JayWood2010 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
The Wii U will be less than 9mil sold before years end and probably closer to 7mil total.


You just told me that 7.2m was too much stock for retailers and now you are saying it will reach 7m?



Maybe we aren't on the same page yet. Let me re-read some posts


lol I may be making it sound confusing.  




       

chris_wing on 02 April 2013
JayWood2010 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
JayWood2010 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
The Wii U will be less than 9mil sold before years end and probably closer to 7mil total.


You just told me that 7.2m was too much stock for retailers and now you are saying it will reach 7m?



Maybe we aren't on the same page yet. Let me re-read some posts


lol I may be making it sound confusing.  

MAY?!  And why is the thread title still wrong?

EDIT: If everything goes right from here on out for Nintendo in this magic first full year that includes two Christmas' they may move 6-8 million maximum.



Max King of the Wild on 02 April 2013
JayWood2010 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
JayWood2010 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
The Wii U will be less than 9mil sold before years end and probably closer to 7mil total.


You just told me that 7.2m was too much stock for retailers and now you are saying it will reach 7m?



Maybe we aren't on the same page yet. Let me re-read some posts


lol I may be making it sound confusing.  

Fill in the blank. "As of December 31st 2013 I expect the total lifetime sales* of Nintendo's Wii U system to be _______"

* sold to consumers



Jaywood2010 on 02 April 2013
Max King of the Wild said:
JayWood2010 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
JayWood2010 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
The Wii U will be less than 9mil sold before years end and probably closer to 7mil total.


You just told me that 7.2m was too much stock for retailers and now you are saying it will reach 7m?



Maybe we aren't on the same page yet. Let me re-read some posts


lol I may be making it sound confusing.  

Fill in the blank. "As of December 31st 2013 I expect the total lifetime sales* of Nintendo's Wii U system to be _______"

* sold to consumers

between 8m to 11m  I will go with 8.4m though.