A little better than last year ...

It will be available throughout the year in all regions and will (likely) see a modest price reduction, but I don't think it will see the kind of changes that would dramatically increase sales. If Sony could sell it for $199 with a memory card and/or built in memory, and games were priced at $30 to $40 rather than the $40 to $50 they currently are, I think the PS-Vita would stand a chance.

I'm not sure. If it gets a price cut, I think it'll sell about the same. If no price cut, then it'll sell worse.

Vita will sell 11.5 million units next year you heard it here first.

lol for me if the Vita sells anything below 10 million this year it will be doomed... EPIC FAIL for sure... 7 million is below dead.

i hope i'm wrong too.

also, love the typo.  :P

Gran Turismo PSP

North America: 0.43m 14.8%
Europe: 1.39m 47.8%

Vita will improve in Japan this year, since that market was very neglected last year. This year they'll get quite a few good games that fancy that crowd. I hope Sony manages to market Soul Sacrifice right, so far everything is playing the way it should for this game. There is a special red Vita bundled, MH4 is delayed a few months, this game might just work and move some Vitas there.

In the West we'll get Killzone, which should at least repeat the results of AC and CoD and hopefully also ignite sales for at least a month. The release of Killzone should be combined with a price-cut.

I don't get it why you think PS4 will save Vita. If anything, I see PS4 and Xbox8 as another nails in Vitas coffin! They will be getting all the hype and cash from our pockets, leaving even less for Vita. And with improved graphics, Vita games will no longer be this impressive. Vita needs to gain some grounds before these consoles hit the market, at the latest during the inevitable first game drought they experience (I mean the period Wii U is in right now).
The console needs some big games. GTA, MGS (Phantom Pain) are the ones that are easiest to think of. A God of War, GT and next Uncharted on the other hand are the 1st party games that we need to hear about asap.

I think that Sony is paying the price of being way to cock-sure about the Vita. They were so confident about this console, they allowed their best studios not to make games for it. Naughty Dog and Santa Monica are still ignoring the console. The situation could have been different, had we already had 2 awesome games from these studios and 2 other coming in 2013.

Whatever Vita sells this year, I just hope it's gonna be enough to warrant the consoles survival and convince 3rd parties to make games for it. We need games breaking the 1 million level and Sony can't allow a single developer follow Crapcom's ways with RE and MH.
I voted for better 4-7 mil, cause I'm hoping SS sells at least 0.5 million Vitas in Japan alone, Killzone + a price cut do simmilar thing in the West, and that we get MGS Vita (PP) and GTA Vita before Christmas, which will easily sell many, many Vitas.

More niche?  What are you talking about?  Where did I make that statement?  

Don't you think you're trying a little bit too hard?  Can you find where I said GT would "save" the European market?  I said that it needs a racing title, and it does.  Are you going to tell me that a GT title wouldn't help the European bottom line somewhat?

I said the adult North American handheld market is niche.  I did not say that the adult European handheld market is not niche.  Let's look at the part you bolded:  " Adults playing handhelds in North America is a niche market and the Vita has very little to grab the attention of kids."  OK.  Now, where does that say anything about the European market?  Because I can't find it.  If I say the sea is blue do you think that I'm implying that the sky is not?  I understand that you're trying to create an argument and everything, but don't you think you're being a bit silly?

I've recently heard an idea about Sony making a Digimon games for Vita. I think this could be worth a shot, it would be the closest thing to Pokemon imaginable. Just make it a good RPG with awesome graphics that 3DS can't get close to, market it like crazy and hope for the best!