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A little better than last year ...

It will be available throughout the year in all regions and will (likely) see a modest price reduction, but I don't think it will see the kind of changes that would dramatically increase sales. If Sony could sell it for $199 with a memory card and/or built in memory, and games were priced at $30 to $40 rather than the $40 to $50 they currently are, I think the PS-Vita would stand a chance.