DanneSandin said:
archbrix said:
If by this time next year the console is only around 6m WW, then we'll talk about the console flopping. Personally, I believe it'll be way more than double that.
What are you basing that number on? I used o think it would hit 10-12m units this year, but I'm not at all sure right now...
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I look at it this way: The 360 was at about 8m globally at the end of 2006 after its second holiday. Vita numbers won't have reached 5m by the end of March, which will mark it's one year anniversary of release globally. That's only one global holiday for Vita but it's two holidays in Japan, which is the strongest market for portables. Therefore, if WiiU is only at around 6m on January 1st, 2014 it will be somewhere between those Vita and 360 numbers. This won't bode well for WiiU at all.
However, unless Nintendo completely screws up this year/holiday and instead delivers, most importantly, some big holiday games combined with a price drop (for the sake of affordability and to counter the new consoles), I believe we'll see a repeat of what happened with the 3DS.
My guess is that we'll see WiiU bounce back very nicely and amass around a 15m install base by this time next year. I just hope they play their cards right.