| Mr Khan said:
What is your deal with the social sciences? Seriously.
|
In what way do you mean?
Gödel (essentially) produced a proof that not all things that are true can be proven using a formal logic system; I don't want to go into detail at the moment but you can look up his incompleteness theorems if you're interested. Statistics as a field of study (basically) fills the gap by providing evidence that something may be true but there are rules and methodologies that have to be followed to prevent the bias of the researcher being translated into whatever you're studying.
In some fields of study these rules are strictly followed and the academic community enforces these rules. If you're doing medical research (for example) all studies have well defined null hypothesis, are double blind, and involve massive sample sizes; and papers will be rejected based on analysis of their methodology alone.
The social sciences don't come close to the rigidity that is required from a real science ...
But in the context of what we're talking about, we're not dealing with the social sciences we're dealing with public opinion polling. These polling firms are not unbiased, they produce opinion polls that provide the results people are paying them to. If you have the money Gallup will phone every household in the United States and ask them "As you may no, yesterday President Obama proposed a set of new laws to dramatically reduce the personal freedoms of citizens of the United States. From what you know or have read about this, would you want your representative in Congress to vote for or against these proposed new laws?"
Public opinion polls do not want to measure the opinion of people, they're used by people in an attempt to create public opinion; either through push polls or to be spread through the media. If they wanted an honest view of public opinion they would have phrased the question in as specific and neutral of a way as possible; and you would have had a question like "Legislation has been proposed to ban assault rifles and high capacity magazines, where high capacity magazine is defined to be a magazine that holds more than 10 rounds, do you support these initiatives?" ... By directly referencing a particular very-high profile and popular politician while including the phrased "laws designed to reduce gun violence" without including any specifics on what they were attempting to do the question they asked was specifically designed to get a positive response.