3D Mario will be this year.

The main EAD Tokyo team's last project was Super Mario Galaxy 2 which was released in June 2010, but was actually finished even before then and Nintendo was just sitting on it because NSMB Wii had just released the November prior.

So to November 2013, that'll have been over 3 1/2 years since Galaxy 2. They are overdue for a new game.

And no Super Mario 3D Land was NOT made by the main Galaxy team, they were made by a smaller group inside EAD Tokyo.

Iwata. He publicly urged Aonuma to cut down the dev time of the next episode to 3 years and Nintendo outsourced Ocarina of Time 3D. The last Zelda games released in 2006, 2007, 2009 and 2011 and dev time for Skyward Sword was 5 years - that means two things: 1) they started developing Skyward Sword right after Twilight Princess was released and 2) they had the capacity to pump out 2 handheld games inbetween. Assuming development on Wii U Zelda started right after the release of Skyward Sword a 3 year dev cycle would lead to a late 2014 release. Either that or we'll get a full new handheld Zelda game no later than 2014. They could even do both at once and let Grezzo help with the handheld version.

Thanks for the heads up!!

Well, that is true, but I don't think it takes only a year to finish a Wii U game... I think we won't see anything until 2014 from studios that just has released games in Japan... And who knows, if Retro and Mono blows us away I reckon those games could be system sellers...

Yeah it all seems pretty reasonable... But I could see Zelda in early 2015 as well since the series has a history of not making it to the launch date ^^

I'd move Bayonetta up to Q3 2013, and Smash Bros back to later 2014. Otherwise your list seems solid.

great thread, interesting information

This reveals that Nintendo needs more studios to keep the games flowing.

Why did they close Project Sora? They performed somewhat OK with the new Kid Icarus. I bet they could have made a cool new IP given the chance.

Super Mario U is definitely coming for Christmas 2013. It's had a long time to develop, they need it, and it will probably me very impressive. After the less-than-WiiSports recepetion of Nintendo land and so-so system sales I would expect that EAD 2 was directed to get WiiSPortsU out for this fall. Retro's game is probably close to completion, and so is MarioKart. I think they will launch one this fall and one next year. Zelda is most likely a Christmas 2014 release, and I suspect Monolith's game is also more than a year away and they will likely take their time with it. Smash Bros will also get lots of time and will probably be out 2014.

Sora was basically a one-shot dev studio, as a full-sized studio. Essentially there's the kernel of Sora, which is Sakurai himself and maybe a small creative group surrounding him, a group incapable of actually making a game, an idea group. Nintendo basically threw together a proper team for him for Kid Icarus Uprising. In other cases, Sora uses other studios to get their work done for them. For Brawl, it was HAL Labs and Game Arts. For the next Smash Bros, it seems to be Project Tekken from Bandai-Namco.