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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: Halo 4 will sell 7,793,000+ in 2012

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man-bear-pig on 10 December 2012
kowenicki said:
Slimebeast said:
man-bear-pig said:
Slimebeast said:
No chance.

6 million is possible but that's the limit.


Lol...we'll see. Why do you think Halo 4 will follow different sales trends than all other popular FPS's?

After 9 weeks Halo Reach had sold 5.7 million.

and.... earlier;

6m absolute max

Looks like 6m is absolute minimum

Where are you!? (Again)


The only way it'll sell less than 6m is if MS raise the price to 150 bucks immediately. It's already sold 5.8m+ (vgchartz is a week behind real world sales)



My prediction threads:

Wii U will sell under 40m units (made on 14th September 2012)

PS Vita will sell under 20m units (made on 30th September 2012)

Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013 - I was right

Halo 4 first 9 weeks sales prediction

PS4 to be down YOY in 2015

Around the Network
yo_john117 on 10 December 2012

No way it will reach that. I think the best it will manage is 7 million (and personally I think it will sell 6.5 million)



man-bear-pig on 10 December 2012

In the USA pre-order chart article they're predicting that it'll sell 145k in the USA this week. There is NO chance of this happening. Sales will be flat or slightly higher, so it'll sell just over 200k in the USA this week.

P.S. last week they predicted it would sell 350k in this US and it sold 200k, so they shouldn't be trusted in the slightest.



My prediction threads:

Wii U will sell under 40m units (made on 14th September 2012)

PS Vita will sell under 20m units (made on 30th September 2012)

Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013 - I was right

Halo 4 first 9 weeks sales prediction

PS4 to be down YOY in 2015

Proclus on 10 December 2012
man-bear-pig said:
In the USA pre-order chart article they're predicting that it'll sell 145k in the USA this week. There is NO chance of this happening. Sales will be flat or slightly higher, so it'll sell just over 200k in the USA this week.

P.S. last week they predicted it would sell 350k in this US and it sold 200k, so they shouldn't be trusted in the slightest.

Yeah, not sure where Trunks is getting that from either, Halo sales have always increased between 20-50K going from the first week of December to the second.



man-bear-pig on 10 December 2012
yo_john117 said:
I don't think it will reach that. I think the best it will manage is 7 million (and personally I think it will sell 6.5 million)


Neither do I, I made this prediction before we even knew 1st week sales. It's gonna sell over 7.2m this year though. It's currently tracking 500k behind my initial prediction and it's sold more than I predicted every week for the past 3 weeks.



My prediction threads:

Wii U will sell under 40m units (made on 14th September 2012)

PS Vita will sell under 20m units (made on 30th September 2012)

Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013 - I was right

Halo 4 first 9 weeks sales prediction

PS4 to be down YOY in 2015

Around the Network
Proclus on 10 December 2012
pezus said:
Proclus said:
man-bear-pig said:
In the USA pre-order chart article they're predicting that it'll sell 145k in the USA this week. There is NO chance of this happening. Sales will be flat or slightly higher, so it'll sell just over 200k in the USA this week.

P.S. last week they predicted it would sell 350k in this US and it sold 200k, so they shouldn't be trusted in the slightest.

Yeah, not sure where Trunks is getting that from either, Halo sales have always increased between 20-50K going from the first week of December to the second.

The other Halos released in September though and a Halo released in November could potentially drop off (although I expect it to stay level or slightly rise).

Valid point, on the other side of the coin though, it is a lot "fresher" now and more of a holiday buy, guess we'll need to wait and see what it does. :)



BenVTrigger on 10 December 2012

Were having a one day only sale at Gamestop today 2ith Halo onky 39.99 new

Should certainly boost sales



man-bear-pig on 10 December 2012
pezus said:
man-bear-pig said:
spaceguy said:
Your weekly sales are pretty close. I will tag. Need to make up some ground but who knows, You could have a nice week and get to the magic number.


There's no way it'll sell what I originally predicted. I was 600k off in the 1st week, which fucked it up for me. It's outsold all of predictions in the 3 proceeding weeks though, so it should sell 7.2m+ in 2012

No, like I said earlier, some of your last few weeks are bound to be hugely off. Especially the last two.


Lol, no. You've got nothing to quantify that statement.



My prediction threads:

Wii U will sell under 40m units (made on 14th September 2012)

PS Vita will sell under 20m units (made on 30th September 2012)

Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013 - I was right

Halo 4 first 9 weeks sales prediction

PS4 to be down YOY in 2015

sergiodaly on 10 December 2012
man-bear-pig said:
pezus said:
man-bear-pig said:
spaceguy said:
Your weekly sales are pretty close. I will tag. Need to make up some ground but who knows, You could have a nice week and get to the magic number.


There's no way it'll sell what I originally predicted. I was 600k off in the 1st week, which fucked it up for me. It's outsold all of predictions in the 3 proceeding weeks though, so it should sell 7.2m+ in 2012

No, like I said earlier, some of your last few weeks are bound to be hugely off. Especially the last two.


Lol, no. You've got nothing to quantify that statement.

show us what you, oh mighty one, have to quantify your predition? making it more meaningful than what pezus said.

Proudest Platinums - BF: Bad Company, Killzone 2 , Battlefield 3 and GTA4

man-bear-pig on 10 December 2012
BenVTrigger said:
Were having a one day only sale at Gamestop today 2ith Halo onky 39.99 new

Should certainly boost sales


Ooh, interesting. Sales could be up quite a bit in the US next week. 220k (+10%) seems about right



My prediction threads:

Wii U will sell under 40m units (made on 14th September 2012)

PS Vita will sell under 20m units (made on 30th September 2012)

Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013 - I was right

Halo 4 first 9 weeks sales prediction

PS4 to be down YOY in 2015