I don't know how the gamecube sold just 21 million, but i think the vita can easily surpass that, it's still an infant system really. At least 50 million is likely, but i think it could reach PSP lifetime, which is 70 million now

Vita hasn't even seen its first holiday(which should at least double the install base it currently has now..).
Let's save these predictions for later.

They could always introduce the Vita go model that will help push an extra 100,000 units.

There was absolutely nothing "sucky" about the Psvs uncharted game I think it has an attach rate of about 1 :4 and a metacritic score of 80% the game is absolutely beautiful... but then I read the second bolded part, you are really so biased against handheld gaming that you would avoid a game you would refer to as a masterpiece on? that is just mindboggling. You should never hate a game just because it's on a certain platform or has a certain control input it's just an unfair bias to hold against them, would be like if a game reviewer started by taking 50% off the final score of the next mario game because it's made by nintendo and another 30% off because it's on a portable before even turning on the game.

I remember when people said this about PS3 lol

Whats YOUR prediction? NVM. We already know.

I myself think Vita was rushed to market in order to compete with the 3DS(which its failing to do at the moment). Sony should have launched it this holiday. That way they would have guaranteed to start off with a healthy install base so you know....games sell.

Problem for the Vita is that a rocky start is way worse than a rocky finish. Developers pull plugs on games for Vita now and it's incredibly hard to turn this around. Without games nobody will buy the device and without install base no third party in their right mind will spend ressources on the device. Monster Hunter was a surprise hit for the PSP but this time, Sony needs to save their handheld themselves. I'm not sure they are capable of doing this. We are still at a point where it could go either way, but the bad ending is way more likely at this point.

I don't think Sony will cut Vita's price soon. They rely on the gaming division (among others) to put good results to help the whole Co., something shown with the prices of the new PS3. Given that some reports say that Sony is already losing money on each Vita while others say that it's making a very small profit, if they cut Vita's price they lose money on each unit, and that woud go against their goal.

Personally I think that it will reach those 20m and more. It's too early to call it a failure. That said, if after Christmas 2013 the situation hasn't improved, 3rd parties may start to stop supporting it.

yeah! I remember when people said this about the Dreamcast Lo.... aww.... damn... you can't really tell what's going to happen in the future but you have to admit, the vita could have had a better start, a mixture of some fairly poor advertising to begin with and not shipping with features it had been advertised as having for months before launch, altho they are starting to come now a bit with the psone support.

i like the system.. to a degree

but i don't think it will hit 20mil life tbh. i think it would be discontinued way before it has the chance to sell just 20mil in 10 years
at this moment i can't see it hitting much more then 15mil life HOWEVER.. IF and this is a BIG IF Sony do the right thing by a consumer stand point and cut the price of this thing in HALF and bring the storage down a lot it could have a very good run... but if sony don't do it very very soon it won't matter what the price is as developers won't make any games for it