| spurgeonryan said: You shut your mouth and like it Millenium! |
Bahaha, you must be good in bed spurge, very commanding. :B
| spurgeonryan said: You shut your mouth and like it Millenium! |
Bahaha, you must be good in bed spurge, very commanding. :B
| Bristow9091 said: PS3 isn't doing too bad compared to the 360 and Wii, it's hard to believe at the start of the gen the PS3 and Wii performance was pretty much flipped but with an even larger gap, lol... But yeah, overall everything is doing pretty bad, and the Vita needs a miracle to stay in the game, it's doing very very bad indeed, and there's no help coming from software because... there isn't any, I don't mean in the future since we know there's some nice games coming eventually, but right now there's nothing being released and the games that are currently out don't seem to be impacting it at all, and they're struggling to sell whatsoever... |
PSVita has many games but they don't have a release date that's the problem.
PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m
Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m
I'm pretty surprised Theatrhythm opened so poorly. What western 3DS owners buying?
spurgeonryan said:
|
call of dutty will make vita big for this year.
PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m
Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m
NO ADJUSTMENT
I expected some next week after NPD release today.
spurgeonryan said:
This conversation was in last weeks Global thread. I am one who says that this will not help much. But others say it will. So I guess we will just have to wait and see. According to history though, FPS sales have not been great on Handhelds. There have been some good sellers though. |
Short and sweet, and reasonable. I like this post.
Small, when predicting, it's helpful to look at past performances to project. FPS' have been moderately strong on the PSP, but nothing phenomenal. For them to achieve console-like sales would be quite a feat, and definitely unexpected. The safe prediction is to say they will sell well but not be gamechangers, as was the case for the PSP. But as for any prediction, there is always room for surprise.
That's the best way to work something like this out ;)
To help, here are some FPS sales on the PSP in the past (top 15):
| Pos | Game | Platform | Year | Genre | Publisher | North America | Europe | Japan | Rest of World | Global |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medal of Honor Heroes | PSP | 2006 | Shooter | Electronic Arts | 0.81 | 1.08 | 0.01 | 0.64 | 2.55 |
| 2 | Call of Duty: Roads to Victory | PSP | 2007 | Shooter | Activision | 0.49 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 2.04 |
| 3 | Star Wars Battlefront: Renegade Squadron | PSP | 2007 | Shooter | LucasArts | 0.87 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1.61 |
| 4 | Star Wars Battlefront II | PSP | 2005 | Shooter | LucasArts | 1.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 1.13 |
| 5 | Medal of Honor Heroes 2 | PSP | 2007 | Shooter | Electronic Arts | 0.47 | 0.37 | 0.02 | 0.24 | 1.09 |
| 6 | SOCOM: U.S. Navy SEALs Fireteam Bravo | PSP | 2005 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 1.09 |
| 7 | SOCOM: U.S. Navy SEALs Fireteam Bravo 2 | PSP | 2006 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 0.80 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1.03 |
| 8 | Resistance: Retribution | PSP | 2009 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.05 | 0.20 | 0.82 |
| 9 | Killzone: Liberation | PSP | 2006 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.80 |
| 10 | Coded Arms | PSP | 2005 | Shooter | Konami Digital Entertainment | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.72 |
| 11 | Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six: Vegas | PSP | 2007 | Shooter | Ubisoft | 0.41 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.71 |
| 12 | Star Wars Battlefront: Elite Squadron | PSP | 2009 | Shooter | LucasArts | 0.33 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.66 |
| 13 | Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon Advanced Warfighter 2 | PSP | 2007 | Shooter | Ubisoft | 0.35 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.51 |
| 14 | Syphon Filter: Logan's Shadow | PSP | 2007 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 0.23 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.42 |
| 15 | Brothers In Arms: D-Day | PSP | 2006 | Shooter | Ubisoft | 0.21 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.41 |
http://www.vgchartz.com/gamedb/?name=&publisher=&platform=PSP&genre=Shooter&minSales=0&results=200
For comparison, here are the other genres on PSP (Sorted by highest in NA):
| Pos | Game | Platform | Year | Genre | Publisher | North America | Europe | Japan | Rest of World | Global |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grand Theft Auto: Liberty City Stories | PSP | 2005 | Action | Take-Two Interactive | 2.81 | 2.68 | 0.22 | 1.68 | 7.38 |
| 2 | Daxter | PSP | 2006 | Platform | Sony Computer Entertainment | 2.32 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 4.01 |
| 3 | Need for Speed: Most Wanted 5-1-0 | PSP | 2005 | Racing | Electronic Arts | 1.71 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.13 | 1.89 |
| 4 | Grand Theft Auto: Vice City Stories | PSP | 2006 | Action | Take-Two Interactive | 1.65 | 1.80 | 0.15 | 1.11 | 4.71 |
| 5 | Midnight Club 3: DUB Edition | PSP | 2005 | Racing | Take-Two Interactive | 1.61 | 1.18 | 0.00 | 0.77 | 3.56 |
| 6 | God of War: Chains of Olympus | PSP | 2008 | Action | Sony Computer Entertainment | 1.44 | 0.96 | 0.04 | 0.64 | 3.08 |
| 7 | Ratchet & Clank: Size Matters | PSP | 2007 | Platform | Sony Computer Entertainment | 1.37 | 1.32 | 0.10 | 0.83 | 3.62 |
| 8 | Crisis Core: Final Fantasy VII | PSP | 2007 | Role-Playing | Square Enix | 1.26 | 0.54 | 0.80 | 0.41 | 3.01 |
| 9 | Star Wars Battlefront II | PSP | 2005 | Shooter | LucasArts | 1.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 1.13 |
| 10 | SOCOM: U.S. Navy SEALs Fireteam Bravo | PSP | 2005 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 1.09 |
http://www.vgchartz.com/gamedb/?page=1&results=200&name=&platform=PSP&minSales=0&publisher=&genre=&sort=NA
And lastly, the shooter sales on PS3:
| Pos | Game | Platform | Year | Genre | Publisher | North America | Europe | Japan | Rest of World | Global |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 3 | PS3 | 2011 | Shooter | Activision | 5.22 | 4.50 | 0.40 | 1.93 | 12.04 |
| 2 | Call of Duty: Black Ops | PS3 | 2010 | Shooter | Activision | 5.49 | 3.77 | 0.42 | 1.71 | 11.39 |
| 3 | Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 | PS3 | 2009 | Shooter | Activision | 4.80 | 3.28 | 0.38 | 1.50 | 9.95 |
| 4 | Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare | PS3 | 2007 | Shooter | Activision | 2.82 | 2.08 | 0.28 | 0.95 | 6.13 |
| 5 | Battlefield 3 | PS3 | 2011 | Shooter | Electronic Arts | 2.18 | 2.20 | 0.22 | 0.91 | 5.52 |
| 6 | Call of Duty: World at War | PS3 | 2008 | Shooter | Activision | 2.44 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.75 | 4.86 |
| 7 | Resistance: Fall of Man | PS3 | 2006 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 1.56 | 1.66 | 0.14 | 0.71 | 4.06 |
| 8 | Killzone 2 | PS3 | 2009 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 1.34 | 0.98 | 0.08 | 0.44 | 2.85 |
| 9 | Battlefield: Bad Company 2 | PS3 | 2010 | Shooter | Electronic Arts | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.41 | 2.69 |
| 10 | Medal of Honor | PS3 | 2010 | Shooter | Electronic Arts | 1.15 | 0.91 | 0.07 | 0.39 | 2.52 |
http://www.vgchartz.com/gamedb/?name=&publisher=&platform=PS3&genre=Shooter&minSales=0&results=200
spurgeonryan said:
|
I say this is the bigger for this year.
PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m
Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m
happydolphin said:
Short and sweet, and reasonable. I like this post. Small, when predicting, it's helpful to look at past performances to project. FPS' have been moderately strong on the PSP, but nothing phenomenal. For them to achieve console-like sales would be quite a feat, and definitely unexpected. The safe prediction is to say they will sell well but not be gamechangers, as was the case for the PSP. But as for any prediction, there is always room for surprise. That's the best way to work something like this out ;) To help, here are some FPS sales on the PSP in the past (top 15): |
The big difference with the vita is the dual analogs. This may not seem like a big deal, but for an FPS it is absolutely essential (unless you connect a mouse and keyboard to the vita) and gives FPS's on the vita some... potential. Still extremely skeptical over whether CoD will do anything spectacular for Vita though, but the 2nd analog and PS3-ish quality visuals give it a decent chance! I think!
| Andrespetmonkey said:
The big difference with the vita is the dual analogs. This may not seem like a big deal, but for an FPS it is absolutely essential (unless you connect a mouse and keyboard to the vita) and gives FPS's on the vita some... potential. Still extremely skeptical over whether CoD will do anything spectacular for Vita though, but the 2nd analog and PS3-ish quality visuals give it a decent chance! I think! |
Yap, that's a fair difference. You might be right, so we'll see.
Without wanting to be negative, and to bring points to the table, I'll try to be positive in bringing up a consideration for this.
I think it could happen, but consider other genres that are less dependent on dual analog. Take GTA. It did very well on PSP, but not near the home console counterparts.
True that now the dual-analog will remove a prior barrier, but the console to portable genre ratio is still a big gap. I'd be still shocked to see anything enourmous, but I wouldn't mind being surprised!
Here are the numbers:
| Pos | Game | Platform | Year | Genre | Publisher | North America | Europe | Japan | Rest of World | Global |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas | PS2 | 2004 | Action | Take-Two Interactive | 9.43 | 8.48 | 0.41 | 2.49 | 20.81 |
| 2 | Grand Theft Auto: Vice City | PS2 | 2002 | Action | Take-Two Interactive | 8.41 | 5.49 | 0.47 | 1.78 | 16.15 |
| 3 | Grand Theft Auto III | PS2 | 2001 | Action | Take-Two Interactive | 6.99 | 4.51 | 0.30 | 1.30 | 13.10 |
| 4 | Grand Theft Auto IV | X360 | 2008 | Action | Capcom | 5.87 | 2.74 | 0.13 | 0.95 | 9.69 |
| 5 | Grand Theft Auto IV | PS3 | 2008 | Action | Take-Two Interactive | 4.13 | 3.24 | 0.39 | 1.43 | 9.18 |
| 6 | Grand Theft Auto: Liberty City Stories | PSP | 2005 | Action | Take-Two Interactive | 2.81 | 2.68 | 0.22 | 1.68 | 7.38 |
| 7 | Grand Theft Auto: Vice City Stories | PSP | 2006 | Action | Take-Two Interactive | 1.65 | 1.80 | 0.15 | 1.11 | 4.71 |
Still, the best PSP version was pretty close to the PS3 version, so there is hope. However, the PS2 version was the phenomenon, and COD is currently a phenomenon. If going by past trends, we could be hopeful that COD vita could sell half of COD PS3. So, that would be around
| 4 | Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 3 | PS3 | 2011 | Shooter | Activision | 5.22 | 4.50 | 0.40 | 1.93 | 12.04 |
6 million units.
That would be almost a 4million increase from usual shooters on portable platforms like the PSP. Well, keep that number in mind :)