spurgeonryan said:
This conversation was in last weeks Global thread. I am one who says that this will not help much. But others say it will. So I guess we will just have to wait and see. According to history though, FPS sales have not been great on Handhelds. There have been some good sellers though. |
Short and sweet, and reasonable. I like this post.
Small, when predicting, it's helpful to look at past performances to project. FPS' have been moderately strong on the PSP, but nothing phenomenal. For them to achieve console-like sales would be quite a feat, and definitely unexpected. The safe prediction is to say they will sell well but not be gamechangers, as was the case for the PSP. But as for any prediction, there is always room for surprise.
That's the best way to work something like this out ;)
To help, here are some FPS sales on the PSP in the past (top 15):
| Pos | Game | Platform | Year | Genre | Publisher | North America | Europe | Japan | Rest of World | Global |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medal of Honor Heroes | PSP | 2006 | Shooter | Electronic Arts | 0.81 | 1.08 | 0.01 | 0.64 | 2.55 |
| 2 | Call of Duty: Roads to Victory | PSP | 2007 | Shooter | Activision | 0.49 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 2.04 |
| 3 | Star Wars Battlefront: Renegade Squadron | PSP | 2007 | Shooter | LucasArts | 0.87 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1.61 |
| 4 | Star Wars Battlefront II | PSP | 2005 | Shooter | LucasArts | 1.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 1.13 |
| 5 | Medal of Honor Heroes 2 | PSP | 2007 | Shooter | Electronic Arts | 0.47 | 0.37 | 0.02 | 0.24 | 1.09 |
| 6 | SOCOM: U.S. Navy SEALs Fireteam Bravo | PSP | 2005 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 1.09 |
| 7 | SOCOM: U.S. Navy SEALs Fireteam Bravo 2 | PSP | 2006 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 0.80 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1.03 |
| 8 | Resistance: Retribution | PSP | 2009 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.05 | 0.20 | 0.82 |
| 9 | Killzone: Liberation | PSP | 2006 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.80 |
| 10 | Coded Arms | PSP | 2005 | Shooter | Konami Digital Entertainment | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.72 |
| 11 | Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six: Vegas | PSP | 2007 | Shooter | Ubisoft | 0.41 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.71 |
| 12 | Star Wars Battlefront: Elite Squadron | PSP | 2009 | Shooter | LucasArts | 0.33 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.66 |
| 13 | Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon Advanced Warfighter 2 | PSP | 2007 | Shooter | Ubisoft | 0.35 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.51 |
| 14 | Syphon Filter: Logan's Shadow | PSP | 2007 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 0.23 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.42 |
| 15 | Brothers In Arms: D-Day | PSP | 2006 | Shooter | Ubisoft | 0.21 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.41 |
http://www.vgchartz.com/gamedb/?name=&publisher=&platform=PSP&genre=Shooter&minSales=0&results=200
For comparison, here are the other genres on PSP (Sorted by highest in NA):
| Pos | Game | Platform | Year | Genre | Publisher | North America | Europe | Japan | Rest of World | Global |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grand Theft Auto: Liberty City Stories | PSP | 2005 | Action | Take-Two Interactive | 2.81 | 2.68 | 0.22 | 1.68 | 7.38 |
| 2 | Daxter | PSP | 2006 | Platform | Sony Computer Entertainment | 2.32 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 4.01 |
| 3 | Need for Speed: Most Wanted 5-1-0 | PSP | 2005 | Racing | Electronic Arts | 1.71 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.13 | 1.89 |
| 4 | Grand Theft Auto: Vice City Stories | PSP | 2006 | Action | Take-Two Interactive | 1.65 | 1.80 | 0.15 | 1.11 | 4.71 |
| 5 | Midnight Club 3: DUB Edition | PSP | 2005 | Racing | Take-Two Interactive | 1.61 | 1.18 | 0.00 | 0.77 | 3.56 |
| 6 | God of War: Chains of Olympus | PSP | 2008 | Action | Sony Computer Entertainment | 1.44 | 0.96 | 0.04 | 0.64 | 3.08 |
| 7 | Ratchet & Clank: Size Matters | PSP | 2007 | Platform | Sony Computer Entertainment | 1.37 | 1.32 | 0.10 | 0.83 | 3.62 |
| 8 | Crisis Core: Final Fantasy VII | PSP | 2007 | Role-Playing | Square Enix | 1.26 | 0.54 | 0.80 | 0.41 | 3.01 |
| 9 | Star Wars Battlefront II | PSP | 2005 | Shooter | LucasArts | 1.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 1.13 |
| 10 | SOCOM: U.S. Navy SEALs Fireteam Bravo | PSP | 2005 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 1.09 |
http://www.vgchartz.com/gamedb/?page=1&results=200&name=&platform=PSP&minSales=0&publisher=&genre=&sort=NA
And lastly, the shooter sales on PS3:
| Pos | Game | Platform | Year | Genre | Publisher | North America | Europe | Japan | Rest of World | Global |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 3 | PS3 | 2011 | Shooter | Activision | 5.22 | 4.50 | 0.40 | 1.93 | 12.04 |
| 2 | Call of Duty: Black Ops | PS3 | 2010 | Shooter | Activision | 5.49 | 3.77 | 0.42 | 1.71 | 11.39 |
| 3 | Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 | PS3 | 2009 | Shooter | Activision | 4.80 | 3.28 | 0.38 | 1.50 | 9.95 |
| 4 | Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare | PS3 | 2007 | Shooter | Activision | 2.82 | 2.08 | 0.28 | 0.95 | 6.13 |
| 5 | Battlefield 3 | PS3 | 2011 | Shooter | Electronic Arts | 2.18 | 2.20 | 0.22 | 0.91 | 5.52 |
| 6 | Call of Duty: World at War | PS3 | 2008 | Shooter | Activision | 2.44 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.75 | 4.86 |
| 7 | Resistance: Fall of Man | PS3 | 2006 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 1.56 | 1.66 | 0.14 | 0.71 | 4.06 |
| 8 | Killzone 2 | PS3 | 2009 | Shooter | Sony Computer Entertainment | 1.34 | 0.98 | 0.08 | 0.44 | 2.85 |
| 9 | Battlefield: Bad Company 2 | PS3 | 2010 | Shooter | Electronic Arts | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.41 | 2.69 |
| 10 | Medal of Honor | PS3 | 2010 | Shooter | Electronic Arts | 1.15 | 0.91 | 0.07 | 0.39 | 2.52 |
http://www.vgchartz.com/gamedb/?name=&publisher=&platform=PS3&genre=Shooter&minSales=0&results=200
