happydolphin said:
Of course it's possible. I just don't believe it will happen. I had a much grimmer view (no pun intended) of the WiiU back when I didn't understand the potential. Yes, I do see the risk of Wii consumers dropping its successor. But what I have seen also is Nintendo's continued dominance in the handheld space. If they managed to do that with the DS, I believe that same success can and will be translated and is in the process of being translated to Nintendo's home console market. In other words, even if those who purchased the Wii don't buy the U again for the reasons they bought the Wii, I believe consumers that bought the DS and now the 3DS are those that will also buy the WiiU. Since the 3DS is doing fine without multiplat titles, I believe now that Nintendo has cemented its leadership for 1 gen in the home console market, that partner (3rd party) confidence is now at an all-time high for Nintendo, ensuring a self-sufficient, Nintendo-only software submarket on Nintendo's home system, supported by Nintendo's 1st party games and exclusive 3rd party Nintendo-only experiences. And even then, there is a possibility of the current Wii clientele wanting the successor to the Wii and the experiences it brought. Here is the poll data:
That's how I see it unfolding, and as such, I see the PS4 selling as much as this gen, and the WiiU outselling the Wii. Just my vision. As such, I'd be willing to be it'll sell 120M lifetime minimum. |
I don't expect as much success for the WiiU as you do. Wii was a phenomenon, and to an incredible extent to the motion aspect of it. You should know how many articles were written about how responsible it was to buy your children games that make them be active, you should know how many times were shown videos of elderly people enjoying the Wii Sports stuff. This time around they are trying to appeal to the touch-screen generation and that is not the same thing that the above consumers were/are looking for, if they are even looking for something nowadays.
I can't tell you that the WiiU won't be the leader of the console market next gen, but I am pretty sure it won't be as successful as the Wii was.
The handleheld market is one thing, the console market other. There is no question of Nintendo's dominace there, and I attribute it largely to their recognizable franchises and to the non-violent nature of their games (I call them childish, yeah, I said it once again) and this makes them the best choice for parents as a purchase for back-seat-pacifiers.
Mario was there for the 64, as it was for the GameCube. I would like to know how many people are willing to buy the WiiU for Mario this time. It would seem that Nintendo's fans have grown since the arrival of the Wii, I want to see how many of those are really loyal and will continue with them. This next month/years will be interesting.
Last time I paid attention to survey's I ended up paying five bucks to a friend for betting against the losing governor of my country in a survey. That's how much I rely on survey's. Wait for the real thing. I am not afraid of admitting that I am wrong, if it comes down to that, but if Nintendo does see themselves not enjoying the same success as with the Wii and we see that the same people that were with them are not buying their console this generation, I would like to see if Nintendo fanboys recognize how Wii's success and therefore Nintendo's laid behind a casual consumer sector which backfired at them in the end.
Nintendo is selling their IPs to Microsoft and this is true because:
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=221391&page=1









