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Forums - Sales Discussion - How long until PS3 overtakes the 360 in total sales?

Also please never use Lair in any example. That game ran like crap, so does that mean the CPU ran like crap?

That was STUPID to say.
http://www.jeuxvideo.tv/video-exclu-1-la-grande-aventure-video-39263.html UNcharted video from Sony Gamer`s Day 2007. It HAD framerates problems. BUT after optimisations didn`t have. LAIR was RUSHED. It even had soem bugs. If game would released several month later, it definetely wouldn`t have frame rate problems.



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

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MrMafoo said:
Omac said:
People are saying later on PS3 is going to pull off better graphics.... I don't think so, with it's lackluster non shared ram and not as good GPU... The hard to program for crappy SPU CPU. PS3 will never overshadow 360 in the graphics department or online functionality.

I try to ignore purely fanboy rhetoric, but this one I have to comment on.

The PS3, in its architectural infancy, has already surpassed the 360. Ratchet and Clank could not be done on the 360. At specific types of math (not all), the PS3 is 20-30 times faster than the 360. As people learn how to tap into that power to produce a better gaming experience, you will see things you thought were not possible.

I keep hearing about what can’t be done with the PS3 (and then see it done). I tire of people putting limits on incredibly smart developers just because they don’t know how to do it.

Just because you have no idea how to harness the PS3 for an incredible gaming experience, does not mean no one does.

At MIT, they have these contests where they give people a bag of parts, and see who can make the best competing robot out of them. What these guys come up with is amazing. Throw a super computer in front of the top developers in the world, and say “make me something”, and you will get things you have never seen before.

 


I would agree that the PS3 cell CPU has a greater theoretical potential than the 3-core CPU used in the 360, and that certain wave effects, etc. can be done better/faster with high-performance bit-blitters such as the cell's SPEs (Krik and I have discussed this at length, and I concur with his assessment regarding what the SPEs are capable of).  However, 20-30 times faster than the 360?  Where did you come up with that? It's quite a leap to say that the cell processor overcomes the 3 general purpose cores in the 360's CPU by such an amazing amount.

 

Here is my suggestion for you... talk to those who ported Folding-at-Home to the PS3 and ask them if they feel that the PS3 is 20-30 times as powerful as the 360.  My guess is they'll laugh at the suggestion.  It's blazing fast, but in specific, limited ways.

 



"How long until PS3 overtakes the 360 in total sales?"

Answer: If the latest data holds true for the rest of the consoles' lives, then PS3 outselling 360 at 13.5k a week, that makes 702k in a year. They are still behind 7.26M. This means it will take 10.34 years. :D

ps. don't take it seriously. it's a joke.



Currently loving my Wii x2, Xbox 360 Pro & Xbox 360 Arcade, and Final Fantasy 7 Advent Children Limited "Cloud Black" 160GB PS3

GAMEFLY & GOOZEX FTW

 

 

 

 

How did this turn into which systemis more powerful lol. Anyway as far as the dvd thing goes ms could give the nod and have some games actualy have to use a hard drive. Now I know what some people will say but what about the core gamers. Well how many actually have the core and just use memory cards and havent gone out and bought a hard drive? You know those cards dont hold many games so id say not many just use them. Ms could alos bring the price down for there hard drive to anywhere around the $65 mark for the 20 and $100 for the 120 or somewhere around there. That would solve the disk space problem and prelong the life cycle of the 360. By the time this rolls around the 360 will probably be around 199, 249, 349. Not saying it will happen but not a bad option




 



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crumas2 said:

I would agree that the PS3 cell CPU has a greater theoretical potential than the 3-core CPU used in the 360, and that certain wave effects, etc. can be done better/faster with high-performance bit-blitters such as the cell's SPEs (Krik and I have discussed this at length, and I concur with his assessment regarding what the SPEs are capable of).  However, 20-30 times faster than the 360?  Where did you come up with that? It's quite a leap to say that the cell processor overcomes the 3 general purpose cores in the 360's CPU by such an amazing amount.

Here is my suggestion for you... talk to those who ported Folding-at-Home to the PS3 and ask them if they feel that the PS3 is 20-30 times as powerful as the 360.  My guess is they'll laugh at the suggestion.  It's blazing fast, but in specific, limited ways.


As you know, the overall performance of a system is as lot of things, from memory speed, bus design, CPU, GPU, Storage access speed, OS, and many other factors.

In no way am I claiming the 360 is 20-30 times faster than the 360. I am claiming at very specific things, it can be as much as 20-30 times faster.

Nothing might ever come out of that speed (as rocketpig says with his “ifs”, and can very well be right).

But when people say it can’t be done, is where I step in. There is a lot of untapped power in the PS3 that a lot of people (including me) have no clue how to harness. That does not mean it won’t be utilized by someone smarter than I am.

 

BTW: Here is an example of getting more than 20x the speed of the PPC in the CELL with utilizing 1 SPU (it’s for the medical industry). The PPC in the cell is on par with a single core in the 360. So if the 360 is 3x faster than the CELL’s PPC, then the CELL’s SPU’s are collectively 46x faster than the 360 at this type of calculation. ((20x7)/3). Grated this is just a rough estimate, and other things would have to be taken into account in order to use all 7 SPU’s, and I realize you would never actually get 46x the usage due to overhead, but it’s evidence that what we are looking at in the CELL is far faster, at specific things, then the 360.

http://www-01.ibm.com/chips/techlib/techlib.nsf/techdocs/5B1968BDD8D11639872570AB005A3A39/$file/GSPx2005paper%20for%20sdk.pdf

 

 



Updated:My thoughts

If Sony cant catch MS before 2010, then they have lost this generation. The PS3 and Xbox360 market share is not to relevant after 2010 as the manufactures will be looking at their next machine to take market share, while its the early market share which will drive game development.

 

So the race is on:Sony needs 7.26 million extra sales over MS to Beat them by the end of 2010 which is 154 weeks away. This means Sony needs to outsell MS by a minimum of 47.1K/ week average.

PREDICTION: Next week this number will be higher @ around 47.3K

 



Predictions JAN 08

2008 PS3-19.5M(actual 19.5) XBOX360-23M(actual 27.5) Wii - 37M(actual 45.8M)

End of 2009 PS3-27 25M XBOX360-30 35M Wii - 48 63M (revised DEC 08)

Price Point
Mid 2008 Wii $250 Xbox360$249 Xbox360(HDD)$299 PS3 $399

Mid 2009 Wii $189 Xbox360$199 Xbox360(HDD)$249 PS3 $339

Mid 2010 Wii $ 149 Xbox360$159 Xbox360(HDD)$199 PS3 $289

MrMafoo said:
 

As you know, the overall performance of a system is as lot of things, from memory speed, bus design, CPU, GPU, Storage access speed, OS, and many other factors.

In no way am I claiming the 360 is 20-30 times faster than the 360. I am claiming at very specific things, it can be as much as 20-30 times faster.

Nothing might ever come out of that speed (as rocketpig says with his “ifs”, and can very well be right).

But when people say it can’t be done, is where I step in. There is a lot of untapped power in the PS3 that a lot of people (including me) have no clue how to harness. That does not mean it won’t be utilized by someone smarter than I am.

BTW: Here is an example of getting more than 20x the speed of the PPC in the CELL with utilizing 1 SPU (it’s for the medical industry). The PPC in the cell is on par with a single core in the 360. So if the 360 is 3x faster than the CELL’s PPC, then the CELL’s SPU’s are collectively 46x faster than the 360 at this type of calculation. ((20x7)/3). Grated this is just a rough estimate, and other things would have to be taken into account in order to use all 7 SPU’s, and I realize you would never actually get 46x the usage due to overhead, but it’s evidence that what we are looking at in the CELL is far faster, at specific things, then the 360.

http://www-01.ibm.com/chips/techlib/techlib.nsf/techdocs/5B1968BDD8D11639872570AB005A3A39/$file/GSPx2005paper%20for%20sdk.pdf

 


You said "At specific types of math (not all), the PS3 is 20-30 times faster than the 360."  It's a bit more limited than that.  Specifically, the PS3 is 20-30 times as fast at performing bit-blit operations on arrays, i.e. - serialized equations won't benefit.  I think you'll find that specific texture pre-processing being offloaded from the GPU will be much faster, but decision tree work (deciding how a blade of grass should move against a background or how an enemy's AI will respond) isn't helped by this, and modern GPUs do a lot of the texture work themselves.  In that case, I would rather have 3 general-purpose cores.

 

So, the PS3's exclusive game can feature incredibly pretty, dumb combatants while the 360's exclusive game can feature less pretty, but smarter combatants.  This could really give the PS3 a leg up on games that have clueless, very detailed characters splashing around in very realisting waves.  

 



Double post;



Predictions JAN 08

2008 PS3-19.5M(actual 19.5) XBOX360-23M(actual 27.5) Wii - 37M(actual 45.8M)

End of 2009 PS3-27 25M XBOX360-30 35M Wii - 48 63M (revised DEC 08)

Price Point
Mid 2008 Wii $250 Xbox360$249 Xbox360(HDD)$299 PS3 $399

Mid 2009 Wii $189 Xbox360$199 Xbox360(HDD)$249 PS3 $339

Mid 2010 Wii $ 149 Xbox360$159 Xbox360(HDD)$199 PS3 $289

i need to step into this thread and call for peace!



Neos - "If I'm posting in this thread it's just for the lulz."
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