A problem here, is that everybody assumes the Wii will sell 150 M. At the rate of 2007, it will have to go on for 11 years...

 You don't think that rate will increase?  It selling at a rate of twice the PS2, you don't think Nintendo will be upping production?

But to be realistic, it has to double its rate to make 150M, and keep that going...

Wii won't sell 150M but will probably near 100 million, maybe even pass it.

i dont think it will reach that muchm the wii is a fad , it will wear off, there is only so many types of games they can do, give it 4 more years and it will be gone at about 60 million, a few of my mates have sold theres in the last few months cause there bored of them

Can't blame them for selling a wii when you can sell it for more than it costs, and they can just buy another when there are more games out.

Remember when everyone said the Wii was a fad a year ago? Good times.

I'd have thought the wii could well go on for a decade.

Nintendo could well bring out a wii 2 in 2012, but keep the wii as a budget console for the casual market, and a way of hooking consumers onto nintendo.

The wii has captured such a wide market, that comparrisons to past consoles may be of only limited use.

Who knows though. It could be dead in three years.

The Wii is the fastest gaming machine ever to break 20M, and people think it is going to double it`? That just sounds like too much for me...

Wii is still sold out, and yet you doubt that it can't continue to sell and get over 150?

No it doesn't at a rate of 33 million a year (approximately double last year) it would reach 150 million in 4 years, not 10, I think you need to go back and do your math homework.

Yeah you need to do your math, even if it sells at its current rate and doesn't climb, unlikely, it will have passed 80 million in four more years.