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Forums - Sales - Yearly Hardware Sales Transitions in Japan

Some things I saw:

Only handhelds (with strong makeovers) GB and PSP were able to reverse their sales slide.

Wii will probably peak in 2009, I'd say, after three full years of sales. 2006 sales not a long enough period to 'count' against it, somewhat similar to the PS.

Unfortunately for the PS3, it probably will peak in 2009 as well. No also-ran made it to higher sales on the 4th year.



Torturing the numbers.  Hear them scream.

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Yea, 2008 will be a huge year for Wii... BUT if DW10 comes out in 09 for the Wii... well maybe the peak will become more of a ridge...



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The DS has easily the two biggest sales years on record - nothing else has gotten close to 7m/8m!

The Wii had a pretty solid year#2 - be real interesting to see if year#3 can beat out year#2.



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was the PSX really out that long? 12 years is a long console life.

didnt know that - it can be my fun fact of the day.



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^yes it was and i think the same is gonna happen with ps2



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shams said:
The DS has easily the two biggest sales years on record - nothing else has gotten close to 7m/8m!

The Wii had a pretty solid year#2 - be real interesting to see if year#3 can beat out year#2.

i think it will,with wii fit and SSBB



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

anyone think a console or handheld will ever beat DS's record of over 8 million in 1 year?



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

i think 6.5 million ds hardware
4-5 million wii Hards

in2008 



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ioi said:

Wii Fit / Play / Sports are likely to be regulars in the top 10 software all year, much like Brain Training / More BT / Animal Crossing / MK DS were all through 2006 and the first half of 2007, Smash Bros also won't do Wii any harm. I predicted Wii sales to be above DS this year in Japan, which i think is quite possible.

@Avinash_Tyagi, Wii is most likely to peak in 2008 - with Galaxy, Zelda:TP, Brawl, Mario Kart, Wii Sports / Fit / Play, MH III, more Square-Enix stuff, a crossover of other 3rd party stuff like Powerful Pro BB and an increase of supply then 2008 should be Wiis biggest year in Japan. Price drops and colours tend to have much less of an effect in Japan than in the west and consoles tend to peak earlier over there.

 


Yes, you are right. Wii Fit, Sports, Play are regulars in the top 10 software all year, but they were made by Nintendo and they are primary for casual gamers, if Nintendo want to drag some 3rd parties, they need to start developing hardcore games and leave casual games for 3rd parties.

 

Look at Square Enix, they have three options, first one: they can develop a top brand new game, which will cost around 15 mil. (based on the last gen standards - Square Enix AAA game) or they can develop casual game for like 2 mil. and probably reach the same sales like they reach with AAA game or they can port FF X with new controls, which will cost them around 2 - 3 mil. and sale like 2.5 mil. copies only in Japan. So, if you are in Square Enix, what will you choose?

 

I am Nintendo supporter from NES era and I am not glad when I see new trends. If Wii Fit, Sports, Play are selling great, it means the Nintendo will focuse more on these titles than on the Pikmin, Metroid and many others (not to mention new IP).

 

excuse my poor english



2008 for Wii will only depend on Nintendo. Can it deliver enough games as it did for DS? I believe DS software was already better than Wii is now. Even if Nintendo fails, people will just keep playing DS and will not run to buy a expensive PS3.

As for PS3, it is hard to believe it'll sell less or just little more this year (FFXIII, GT5, MGS4 - have all the fans already bought it?). So I expect it to have the best non winning console Y3. It might even come close to PS.

PS3 is safe from getting a early death sentence, and behave as the GC, as long DQIX is coming to the DS (SE is being too quiet about the game...) and DQX is not announced for Wii (which probably will happen when things are already settled).


I didn't realize N64 was outsold by Saturn. It were really bad years for Nintendo there. I wonder how much they must praise Pokemon in the company.