| zackblue said: @ioi Well my predicition for 2008 is pretty simple. The thing that was severly holding down ps3 sales was not games, but the price. Now its $200 cheaper. Therefore I expect ps3 to manage over 5 million in North america this year, as we will not only have a much cheaper price, but we will also have some heavy AAA titles, MGS4, resistance 2, LBP, and other great exclusives. No as for 360 it should sell about the same, but I say some type of trend developing from the hardcore, there is the possibility ps3 may steal some sales from the 360. Therefore I expect the 360 to be slightly ahead of the ps3 if not = in LTD sales for 2008. Wii is a huge confusion, I expect the same sales or slightly lower depending on demand. |
If price was what was holding down PS3, then every subsequent pricedrop starting with the first one would have seen an explosion in sales. This is common sense, as your reasoning would show that people would be waiting on one. I think we've looked through all sales and all weeks of a PS3 pricedrop and hereonafter has seen nothign that could be called an explosion of sales. Meaning obviously price isn't that large of a factor as some would throw it off to be.
But I do expect PS3 sales to increase, and possibly double, but only for the reason of bigger games and 360 faltering in 08. Not to mention PS3 really can only go up haha. 360 of course will falter as Halo 3 is gone, PS3 is at a reasonable price, and it doesn't have a 1st place brandname.
Wii of course will increase cause really it might be able to do all in one yr of 07, in just the first half of 08, if shipments allow it. As Wii's demand will at least stay on high until Summer 2008, which is the most likely time when supply will outstrip demand. Meaning Wii could easily have about 5 million shipped to the Americas in that timeframe and all sellout. And then the rest of the year will more than double that number as holidays see more sales than the other parts of the year. It would be very very unlikely that with increased demand, top branndame, big games such as SSBB, Mario Kart Wii, Wii Fit, better 3rd party games ect, and sellouts til at least Summer 2008 for Wii to not do better in 08 than in 07.











