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Forums - Sales - Predicition: PS3 will outsell Wii by the end of this console generation

milkyjoe on 15 April 2012

I'm disappointed that this isn't a prediction about GTAV killing the Wii.



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sensebringer on 15 April 2012
IIIIITHE1IIIII said:

Don't you just hate it when people can't keep their fanboyism apart from basic logic?

This post is worth a million dollars.



michael_stutzer on 15 April 2012
Jumpin said:

The PS3 is WAY too far behind the Wii and it is very late in the generation. It might pass the 360 though. The Wii will probably reach 107-115 million total, I don't see the PS3 reaching even 80-85m total.


So, you think Wii can sell  20 million from now on but PS3 can't sell 17 million units. Do you even bother looking the big chart on the front page?



crissindahouse on 15 April 2012

you may think ps3 will sell the next years and wii will stop with wii u release but i think wii u might take some ps 3 sales as well. not sure about that and maybe only a small portion but i think wii u could hurt 360 and ps3 sales as well not only wii sales.

i'm talking about what you've said, till the moment all three will have released their successors. lifetime in the year 2020 or so i can believe ps3 will outsell the wii but not end 2013/mid 2014



mike_intellivision on 15 April 2012

The PS3 sales will slow considerably in mature markets once the PS4 is announced.

There is almost no reason to buy a Wii right now, and there will be even less after the details become know at E3. The same thing will happen to the other consoles.

Plus, Sony does not have the money to push two consoles. So it will probably phase out the PS3 to drive new sales as quickly as it can.

Of course, if there really is a 10 year plan for the PS3 and the next console does not come out until 2016 or 2017, then it might get close to the Wii.

But DQX will not come to the PS3 and it is doubtful that KH3 will come around in time to gen 30M in sales either.

(And you are talking about Sales not Install Base. The latter would not include PS3 units bought to replace broken units or Wii units packed away in nursing homes and no longer being used).

Mike from Morgantown



      


I am Mario.


I like to jump around, and would lead a fairly serene and aimless existence if it weren't for my friends always getting into trouble. I love to help out, even when it puts me at risk. I seem to make friends with people who just can't stay out of trouble.

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Conegamer on 15 April 2012
Turkish said:

Interesting thread. PS3 at $/€199 will shake the gaming industry. Not only in the developped countries but finally the PS3 is getting atractive to developping countries. We all know PS2 was later introduced in the developping countries at a cheaper pricetag and kept on selling. Same will happen with the PS3.

The way I see it will be like:

2012 total sales

PS3: 15 million(pricecut this year)

Wii: 5 million

By January 2013:

PS3: 76-77 million

Wii: 100 million, it will stop selling, I predict 1 million for the entire year of 2013

By January 2014

PS3: 90 million

Wii: 101-102 million

By January 2015

98 milion

Wii: 102 million

By January 2016:

PS3: 103-104 million

Wii: 102 million

So you're predicting a 65% decrease YoY for Wii this year, then 80% the year after, then 'stop selling'? But the PS3 will magically (somehow) be up YoY this year, then only down 8% the year after? 

The Wii won't stop selling. No way will it stop at 102mil. Heck, even the Gamecube sold over 1mil after the Wii launched...

 

But congrats for believing the thread creator in the face out all logic

 

...

My word, I'm starting to sound like Seece >.<



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

MARCUSDJACKSON on 15 April 2012
Conegamer said:
Turkish said:

Interesting thread. PS3 at $/€199 will shake the gaming industry. Not only in the developped countries but finally the PS3 is getting atractive to developping countries. We all know PS2 was later introduced in the developping countries at a cheaper pricetag and kept on selling. Same will happen with the PS3.

The way I see it will be like:

2012 total sales

PS3: 15 million(pricecut this year)

Wii: 5 million

By January 2013:

PS3: 76-77 million

Wii: 100 million, it will stop selling, I predict 1 million for the entire year of 2013

By January 2014

PS3: 90 million

Wii: 101-102 million

By January 2015

98 milion

Wii: 102 million

By January 2016:

PS3: 103-104 million

Wii: 102 million

So you're predicting a 65% decrease YoY for Wii this year, then 80% the year after, then 'stop selling'? But the PS3 will magically (somehow) be up YoY this year, then only down 8% the year after? 

The Wii won't stop selling. No way will it stop at 102mil. Heck, even the Gamecube sold over 1mil after the Wii launched...

 

But congrats for believing the thread creator in the face out all logic

 

...

My word, I'm starting to sound like Seece >.<

over time it happens, especially when logic and reason are thrown completely out the window.

in short, Wii will have to be discontinued in 2014 for PS3 to pass it in the furture.



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Conegamer on 15 April 2012
MARCUSDJACKSON said:
Conegamer said:
Turkish said:

Interesting thread. PS3 at $/€199 will shake the gaming industry. Not only in the developped countries but finally the PS3 is getting atractive to developping countries. We all know PS2 was later introduced in the developping countries at a cheaper pricetag and kept on selling. Same will happen with the PS3.

The way I see it will be like:

2012 total sales

PS3: 15 million(pricecut this year)

Wii: 5 million

By January 2013:

PS3: 76-77 million

Wii: 100 million, it will stop selling, I predict 1 million for the entire year of 2013

By January 2014

PS3: 90 million

Wii: 101-102 million

By January 2015

98 milion

Wii: 102 million

By January 2016:

PS3: 103-104 million

Wii: 102 million

So you're predicting a 65% decrease YoY for Wii this year, then 80% the year after, then 'stop selling'? But the PS3 will magically (somehow) be up YoY this year, then only down 8% the year after? 

The Wii won't stop selling. No way will it stop at 102mil. Heck, even the Gamecube sold over 1mil after the Wii launched...

 

But congrats for believing the thread creator in the face out all logic

 

...

My word, I'm starting to sound like Seece >.<

over time it happens, especially when logic and reason are thrown completely out the window.

in short, Wii will have to be discontinued in 2014 for PS3 to pass it in the furture.

I suppose

You're wrong, though. Wii would have to be discontinued this year or next for the PS3 to pass it. Even if it stopped selling now it'd be close...



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

MARCUSDJACKSON on 15 April 2012
Conegamer said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:
Conegamer said:
Turkish said:

Interesting thread. PS3 at $/€199 will shake the gaming industry. Not only in the developped countries but finally the PS3 is getting atractive to developping countries. We all know PS2 was later introduced in the developping countries at a cheaper pricetag and kept on selling. Same will happen with the PS3.

The way I see it will be like:

2012 total sales

PS3: 15 million(pricecut this year)

Wii: 5 million

By January 2013:

PS3: 76-77 million

Wii: 100 million, it will stop selling, I predict 1 million for the entire year of 2013

By January 2014

PS3: 90 million

Wii: 101-102 million

By January 2015

98 milion

Wii: 102 million

By January 2016:

PS3: 103-104 million

Wii: 102 million

So you're predicting a 65% decrease YoY for Wii this year, then 80% the year after, then 'stop selling'? But the PS3 will magically (somehow) be up YoY this year, then only down 8% the year after? 

The Wii won't stop selling. No way will it stop at 102mil. Heck, even the Gamecube sold over 1mil after the Wii launched...

 

But congrats for believing the thread creator in the face out all logic

 

...

My word, I'm starting to sound like Seece >.<

over time it happens, especially when logic and reason are thrown completely out the window.

in short, Wii will have to be discontinued in 2014 for PS3 to pass it in the furture.

I suppose

You're wrong, though. Wii would have to be discontinued this year or next for the PS3 to pass it. Even if it stopped selling now it'd be close...

no i'm right. i was giving a theoretical time frame of when Wii would most likely be discontinued. doesn't mean it will happen though. i fig. 2 more yr.'s was logical enough.



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Deoz on 15 April 2012

No.