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Forums - Sales - Vita 2012 Predicted Sales Chartz 4.08 mil

Chark on 15 December 2012
kowenicki said:


That was ehen people still believed the lie of the PS2 on the move and when sony was riding the crest of the PS2 wave.  Very blind of you. 


Lie? Alright buddy.

Sure brand has diminished but there was still 60+ PS3 and 60+ PSP at the time. Surveys from Sony indicated 60% of PlayStation owners were planning a Vita purchase within a year. The Vita is a tablet dedicated gaming console with daul analogs, designed to compete in various sectors.



Before the PS3 everyone was nice to me :(

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Chark on 15 December 2012
kowenicki said:
Chark said:

At the time, PSP was the best point of comparison. That system sold over 8 million its first year and the 3DS was selling 13 million. I didn't see the importance of the factors that I now see as influencing Vita's sales. Fan hate will choose the lowest possible quantitiy on a poll, if I put 1 million there would have been a lot of takers regardless its WW launch being 1.1 million. Vita's under delivery was very unexpected. 63.39% said it would sell over 5 million btw.

Thats blind fans for you.

Whats the under delivery? People tell me it had one of the best gaming launch line ups ever and since then it has had numerous big titles and is in the middle of a simply huge ad campaign.  Where is the under delivery?

So you simply refuse to acknowledge the world is a different place, 8 years is barmy.

8 years is the expectation of a full console lifecycle. PSP launched 8 years ago, it is still selling and still receiving software. Where's your head?

Expecting status quo sales for a Sony handheld isn't blind fandom. Only 19.2% thought it would sell above. 66.07% thought it would sell under. The average sits at 6 million.



Before the PS3 everyone was nice to me :(

Chark on 15 December 2012
kowenicki said:
Chark said:
kowenicki said:
Chark said:
kowenicki said:
Chark said:
radishhead said:
~5 million seems inevitable now - it remains to see if that's high enough to maintain support going into 2013


Hahaha, very funny. I'm pretty sure 5 million first year of an expected 8 year lifecycle is fine. What's Sony going to do, try not to make money? 


you actually belive that? the rate at which handheld power and handheld gaming is changing right now, you actually see that?  lol

PSP says hi.

so you ignored what I said.  ok.

8 years:

Look at these bad boys from 2004, no idea how the PSP survived against such awesomeness! lol.

You are just full of it today.

Can you explain that please.  You dont think what I posted is relevant?   The PSp had one competing product.  Handhleds today have dozens of competing products.

Which explains perfectly well why you are wrong and massively over confident about the PSV prospects.


8 year lifecycle, psp had one. Current home consoles life cycles is long too, with stronger competition than previous years. Yes, the mobile market has exploded with competition but the market has grown considerably too. Explain to me the 3DS than.

I am very confident in the PSV's prospects. It has great capabilities and firmware updates add quite a bit to a system. The hardware is strong and the dedicated games will be relevant for years. If you are trying to say having more powerful products on the market in a year or two will stop Vita sales dead you are dilusional.



Before the PS3 everyone was nice to me :(

Chark on 15 December 2012
kowenicki said:

This is a common problem

Sony fans love to relate previous gens to current gens.  Have you een how the PSP started its life sales wise? 

PS£ is not the PS2

PSV is not the PSP


So how do you apply your weights?

I can counter that senseless analysis with

N64 = GC

DS = 3DS



Before the PS3 everyone was nice to me :(

Chark on 15 December 2012
kowenicki said:

we shall see.  I look forward to monitoring the progress.  As long as your remain interested in reporting it.  Thing is these threads tend to die when they are based on a certain stance and expectation.


I'd more likely stop this thread upon expectations being reached and sales maintaining themeselves. I didn't stop this year when things went sour.



Before the PS3 everyone was nice to me :(

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Chark on 15 December 2012
kowenicki said:
Chark said:


So how do you apply your weights?

I can counter that senseless analysis with

N64 = GC

DS = 3DS

huh?

I'm not saying something IS something.     The only comparison that we can look at thus far is sales.   You will have seen my thread on that.

You were using examples of sales not matching from one generation to the next and I show you sales that do more or less.



Before the PS3 everyone was nice to me :(

tbone51 on 15 December 2012

@Chark

My bad there is only 3 weeks left! So thatbmeans each week has to sell an average of 227k!!! Damn, it can happen since next two weeks are the big ones and following week is half and half (week starts 2 days before christmas)! I didn't kno you had a poll, If i took a guess i would of said 7mil, and i probably would of thought that was too low!!! Crazy!!



Chark on 15 December 2012
tbone51 said:
@Chark

My bad there is only 3 weeks left! So thatbmeans each week has to sell an average of 227k!!! Damn, it can happen since next two weeks are the big ones and following week is half and half (week starts 2 days before christmas)! I didn't kno you had a poll, If i took a guess i would of said 7mil, and i probably would of thought that was too low!!! Crazy!!


227K to reach what?



Before the PS3 everyone was nice to me :(

tbone51 on 15 December 2012

Im sorry if im confusing you! I thought the prediction in the title is the goal for vita so with 3weeks left it has to average 227k a week??? Since its 680k to go (according to vgchartz)



Chark on 15 December 2012
tbone51 said:
Im sorry if im confusing you! I thought the prediction in the title is the goal for vita so with 3weeks left it has to average 227k a week??? Since its 680k to go (according to vgchartz)


Oh I see now. VGChartz might have accidently had an addition error of 101,697 units. The total should be 3,840,843 not 3,739,156.

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=151392&page=1#12



Before the PS3 everyone was nice to me :(