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Forums - Movies & TV - The Box-Office Thread.

 

Can Disney beat Universal's record 2015 domestic gross - $2.445 billion?

It will fall short of tha... 4 13.33%
 
Finding Dory, Doctor Stra... 20 66.67%
 
It's going to be very cl... 6 20.00%
 
Total:30
I LOVE GIGGS said:
The-Numbers.com is a good place to find box office numbers.

Yeah but It just doesn't feel safe without BOM's numbers.



Around the Network
Rank*TitleFriday
10/28

(Estimates)
Saturday
10/29

(Estimates)
Sunday
10/30

(Estimates)
Monday
10/31
1 PUSS IN BOOTS
Paramount (DreamWorks)

3,952
$9,627,000

-- / $2,436
$9,627,000 / 1
$13,903,000

+44.4% / $3,518
$23,530,000 / 2
$10,470,000

-24.7% / $2,649
$34,000,000 / 3

N/A
2 PARANORMAL ACTIVITY 3
Paramount

3,329
$6,450,000

+178.6% / $1,938
$69,225,000 / 8
$7,321,000

+13.5% / $2,199
$76,546,000 / 9
$4,789,000

-34.6% / $1,439
$81,305,000 / 10

N/A
- THE RUM DIARY
FilmDistrict

2,273
$1,853,000

-- / $815
$1,853,000 / 1
$1,920,000

+3.6% / $845
$3,773,000 / 2
$1,238,000

-35.5% / $545
$5,011,000 / 3

N/A
- FOOTLOOSE (2011)
Paramount

3,224
$1,784,000

+156.6% / $553
$34,827,000 / 15
$2,341,000

+31.2% / $726
$37,168,000 / 16
$1,275,000

-45.5% / $395
$38,443,000 / 17

N/A
- REAL STEEL
Buena Vista

2,914
$1,344,000

+126% / $461
$70,502,000 / 22
$2,126,000

+58.2% / $730
$72,628,000 / 23
$1,232,000

-42.1% / $423
$73,860,000 / 24

N/A
- THE IDES OF MARCH
Sony / Columbia

1,572
$795,000

+92.2% / $506
$31,591,000 / 22
$1,295,000

+62.9% / $824
$32,886,000 / 23
$610,000

-52.9% / $388
$33,496,000 / 24

N/A
- MONEYBALL
Sony / Columbia

1,631
$635,000

+81.6% / $389
$65,656,000 / 36
$1,170,000

+84.3% / $717
$66,826,000 / 37
$595,000

-49.1% / $365
$67,421,000 / 38

N/A
- COURAGEOUS
TriStar

1,134
$535,000

+124.2% / $472
$26,379,000 / 29
$765,000

+43% / $675
$27,144,000 / 30
$500,000

-34.6% / $441
$27,644,000 / 31

N/A
- DOLPHIN TALE
Warner Bros.

1,838
$445,000

+49.2% / $242
$65,847,000 / 36
$725,000

+62.9% / $394
$66,572,000 / 37
$435,000

-40% / $237
$67,007,000 / 38

N/A


spurgeonryan said:
dolphin Tale is the breakout hit of the year!

More like Bridesmaids.



Weekend Predictions: Will Heist Tower Above the Competition, or Will the Box Office Feel Ripped Off?

 

October ended on a winning note, but overall the month was terrible. Only two films released that month will get to $100 million, while there were five that were bombs. The industry is hoping things will turn around starting this weekend. That might be tricky, as the two new releases opening this weekend, Tower Heist and A Very Harold and Kumar 3D Christmas are no where near as strong as last year's new releases. Tower Heist likely won't top Due Date, while Harold and Kumar won't open as strongly as For Colored Girls... did. And that's not even taking into accountMegamind, which led the way. If 2011 is to catch up to 2010, it will need to average 20% growth year-over-year. However, it is far more likely we will see 20% drop-off this weekend.

Tower Heist is an ensemble thriller / comedy with a cast that is led by Ben Stiller and Eddie Murphy. Both actors have had their share of $100 million hits, but both have also struggled at the box office as well. Where will this film finish? Early reviews suggested it would top $100 million with relatively ease and while its Tomatometer Score as softened since then, it is still earning 61% positive reviews. Getting to $100 million might be a tough, but opening with $30 million, more or less, does mean that milestone is within reach.

Puss in Boots missed expectations last weekend, but thanks to its target demographic, it should hold on better than most films this weekend. Not only do families tend to reward good films with repeat ticket sales, but there's no direct competition opening either. If it can avoid dropping more than 40%, then it should be able to reach $100 million with ease. Fortunately, a 40% drop-off seems to be a worse case scenario and some analysts are even predicting it will decline less than 30%. That's a little too bullish for my tastes, but adding $22 million over the weekend is within reach. It will get to $100 million by the end of its run and, assuming it does well internationally, it should have no trouble breaking even by the end of its initial run on the home market.

Harold & Kumar Go to White Castle earned surprisingly strong reviews and while it didn't connect with moviegoers right away, it became a cult hit on the home market. The second film didn't earn as strong reviews, but it was a much bigger hit at the box office. A Very Harold and Kumar 3D Christmas is earningreviews that are currently closer to the high end than the low end, while it appears set to have the biggest opening in the franchise. Anything lower than $14 million will be seen as at least moderately disappointing, while opening with over $20 million is not out of the question. I'm going with between $15 million and $16 million.

Paranormal Activity 3 won't get to $100 million for at least another week, although it likely won't plummet as much as it did this past weekend. Look for between $7 million and $8 million over the weekend giving it a total of $94 million after three weeks of release. This will leave it about a week away from the century mark.

In Time should add between $5 million and $6 million to its coffers over the weekend, but by next Friday, the movie might be running out of time, as theater owners will be looking to replace it. It is doing better internationally and it only cost $35 million to make, so breaking even isn't out of the question, but it has had a disappointing run so far.



$27.5M is my prediction for Tower Heist.
$14.9M for Harold and Kumar 3d Xmas.



Around the Network

Friday Report: 'Tower' Barely Steals Lead from 'Puss'

Tower Heist grabbed first place on Friday, though it was a pretty standard start for such a star-powered vehicle. On the weekend, the Ben Stiller-Eddie Murphy comedy should end up behind Puss in Boots, which held extremely well. Meanwhile, A Very Harold & Kumar 3D Christmas was unable to convert 3D premiums and holiday themes in to a new franchise high. 

Tower Heist
 scored an estimated $8.1 million from 3,367 theaters on its opening day. That's way off from Due Date($12.2 million), which debuted on the same weekend last year. It was also a tad behind Ben Stiller movies Tropic ThunderStarsky and Hutch and Along Came Polly, all of which started with between $8.2 and $9.5 million. Still, it's an improvement over all of director Brett Ratner's original movies besides the first Rush Hour. The movie should wind up around $24-$25 million on the weekend.

Puss in Boots
 dipped just 18 percent to an estimated $7.8 million. That's DreamWorks Animation's third-best second Friday drop behind Shrek and How to Train Your Dragon, which can be explained in part by a soft debut last Friday due to Halloween festivities and inclement weather in the Northeast. The movie has now earned over $50 million, and will almost certainly take first place for the weekend with between $29 and $33 million. 

The third entry in the Harold & Kumar series debuted to an estimated $5.44 million, which was a slight decline from Guantanamo Bay's $5.97 million. It did end up a bit ahead of recent early November Christmas movies Fred Claus and The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause, though it will likely be much more front-loaded than those family movies. On the weekend, Harold & Kumar will likely wind up with between $14 and $15 million. 

Paranormal Activity 3
 claimed fourth place and fell 55 percent to $2.9 million. The movie has now made nearly $90 million, and should cross $100 million before the end of its run. In Time was off 42 percent to an estimated $2.5 million, while The Rum Diary declined 47 percent to an estimated $984,000. Their eight-day totals rested at $19 million and a poor $8.4 million, respectively.



Wow amazing numbers for Puss in Boots.



Tin Tin will do just fine.



Damn, I need to post this to place the numbers on the 20th page.



November 4-6

 

TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 1 Puss in Boots P/DW $33,035,000 -3.1% 3,963 +11 $8,336 $75,508,000 $130 2
2 N Tower Heist Uni. $25,100,000 - 3,367 - $7,455 $25,100,000 $75 1
3 N A Very Harold & Kumar 3D Christmas WB (NL) $13,065,000 - 2,875 - $4,544 $13,065,000 $19 1
4 2 Paranormal Activity 3 Par. $8,525,000 -53.0% 3,286 -43 $2,594 $95,308,000 $5 3
5 3 In Time Fox $7,700,000 -36.1% 3,127 +5 $2,462 $24,209,000 $40 2
6 4 Footloose (2011) Par. $4,550,000 -17.3% 2,811 -413 $1,619 $44,800,000 $24 4
7 6 Real Steel BV $3,407,000 -28.8% 2,438 -476 $1,397 $78,750,000 - 5
8 5 The Rum Diary FD $2,988,000 -41.8% 2,292 +19 $1,304 $10,423,000 $45 2
9 8 The Ides of March Sony $2,000,000 -28.7% 1,391 -181 $1,438 $36,800,000 - 5
10 9 Moneyball Sony $1,900,000 -20.4% 1,278 -353 $1,487 $70,327,000 $50 7

Damn it,they have ruined the BOM forum :/