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Forums - Sony - PS3 grabs 20%+ of the market !

@crashman

40gb ps3 release
2nd ps3 price cut(80gb)
PS3 having the lowest drop off after holidays
PS3 selling over 8 million

Yes I was correct about all my predicitions. The only one I was wrong was when I said the ps3 would take off and outsell the wii in the holidays.



 

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CrashMan said:
leo-j said:
Im not laughing, I really think wii/ds have been severely overtracked, with ps3 being undertracked the most in NA.

You get these 'gut feelings' whenever numbers don't match what you want. Can you provide one example of where you have been right?

Any way, congrats to the PS3. Though %Market share tends to get huge swings during the holidays as there is a giant influx of total console sales, they are certainly eating away at MS's Market Share.

I would expect the PS3 and the 360 to have comparable market share by the end of 08 maybe around 26% with the wii at 48%. Of course I base this entirely on the sales trends continueing and no real data so I could be way off.


 Yep , that could happen . Maybe a percent or two more ;)



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leo-j said:
@gballzack

There are 3 games about to break a million, and 2 more just below 800k, so by the end of 08 ps3 might have as much as 20 million sellers which is more than the psp.
Unlike psp, its IMPOSSIBLE to hack the playstation 3, on the other hand people have hacked the wii recently and thats bad news for software sales.

Wii has 15 million sellers right now, X360 has 29, so 20 for ps3 after 08 would be a very bad number.  

 And Wii was "hacked" since it was launched and it's still selling the most software week after week. 



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leo-j said:
@gballzack

There are 3 games about to break a million, and 2 more just below 800k, so by the end of 08 ps3 might have as much as 20 million sellers which is more than the psp.
Unlike psp, its IMPOSSIBLE to hack the playstation 3, on the other hand people have hacked the wii recently and thats bad news for software sales.

 Maybe but that didn't stop the PS2 to be the console of choice for the costumers and developers...



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Griffin said:
Girl Gamer Elite said:
But how many people are buying them as Blu-Ray players, with only 4 million selling games it does make one wonder.

But the PS3 is still maintaining a comparable attachrate to the other consoles, so its all good for now. Plus the wii/360 have dropped their biggest franchises.


Oh but have they?

Wii: SSBB, Mario Kart, Pikmin, Animal Crossing, (possible) Nintendogs.

360: Fable 2, Halo Wars, GoW2, Too Human, Alan Wak... 

Nothing has been shown yet. 




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leo-j said:
@crashman

40gb ps3 release

Rumor that you backed

2nd ps3 price cut(80gb)

A business necessity for Sony, and an absolute eventuality 

PS3 having the lowest drop off after holidays

There was absolutely no way the PS3 could have dropped more than the Wii was guarenteed to, so you had a 50-50 shot between the PS3 and the 360, the difference of which falls within statistical uncertainty.

PS3 selling over 8 million

Again, another absolute eventuality

Yes I was correct about all my predicitions. The only one I was wrong was when I said the ps3 would take off and outsell the wii in the holidays.


As you can see above all your examples are near certainties, where as this is just some nonsesical rantings.

I can do it to:

"I have a gut feeling that after the Japanese numbers come in the Wii will have outsold the PS3 for the last week in December"

"I have a gut feeling the DS will outsell the PSP in the first quarter of 08"

"I have a gut feeling the Wii will have the most market share before April 08"

Its not too hard...



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Munkeh111 said:
PS3 is truly on the up, ignoring the Wii, I think it has one this holiday season

 Precisely. You have to ignore the elephant(s) in your living room to reach that conclusion.



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leo-j said:
on the other hand people have hacked the wii recently and thats bad news for software sales.

Oh come on get serious for once kid!! Wii modchips have been there for... ever! I have mine since late December 2006! Also the PSP Homebrew scene is so popular because you can have every old console (even N64!) on a portable. Who would care about playing N64 on Wii? Oh wait! There's the virtual console and a trillion PC emulators!  




Isn't the Wii with his weakest week of december just win again this week?
Yup...the Ps3 got 20% of the marketshare...but if you compare with the marketshare of the ps1 and the ps2...sony domination in finish for a while...



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leo-j said:
@crashman

40gb ps3 release
2nd ps3 price cut(80gb)
PS3 having the lowest drop off after holidays
PS3 selling over 8 million

Yes I was correct about all my predicitions. The only one I was wrong was when I said the ps3 would take off and outsell the wii in the holidays.

You fail harder than i could ever imagine, all these were totally to be expected and were all over the internet MONTHS before you "predicted" them except from last one which is your 1st 2nd 3rd latest number revision.