The ps2 had no more new games since third parties dumped it and the ps3 came out so first parties dumped it too, the ps3 and 360 will. Plus 250$ with a game made it a pretty damn good deal. Its different when the system is gonna cost over 300$ and when the ps3 has blueray to go with your shiny new HD/3d tv. Thats what the ps3 was made for, to last a long fucking time.

That's an interesting theory, but the PS2 was still seeing a steady stream of games being released in 2007, 2008 and 2009 ...

uhhh, i dont remember them lol. The point is that the HD twins are still going to be seeing tons of support in 2012. We already have tons of games confirmed. WIth a price cut, i just dont see why anyone would rather buy a wiiU when they can just wait it out with the cheap and game filled HD consoles. 

Once again the same could have been said about the PS2 compared to the Wii before it was launched ...

What you don't seem to be getting is that the kind of people who are buying into the HD consoles now are "late adopters" and their purchasing decisions tend to be completely different than the "early adopters" who will be buying into the Wii U. Many early adopters are willing to pay a significant amount of money to buy a system based off of a handful of interesting games and the potential of the system.

no i get that. But it wont be enough. This is all going by if the HD twins get huge price drops tho.

It's all about percieved value. If nintendo's marketing department play their cards right, they could present WiiU as a home console, tablet, media center, and even secondary portable TV. They could also bundle a game which would showcase the strenght of the system, just they did with wii sports.

A bonus for Wii owners is that all the controllers will work with WiiU, so they won't have to replace their wiimotes, classic controllers and balance boards, just replace the white box and you're ready to go.

I think that even if HD twins get the huge price drops (and it is questionable how huge can they be), WiiU will have a shot. Nintendo priced the Wii just right, I doubt they will make the same mistake as Sony with PS3.

I don't think it was a smart move on Nintendo's part. In a way it was but they did it wrong.

I think the name WiiU will have a huge effect on sales. Casuals will not want to invest in a new Wii. Look at 3DS right now, I hear it again and again everytime I talk to casual's "Why do I want a 3D DS?" the casual consumers just don't grasp that its an entirely new device with brand new games. The casuals see the 3DS as a 3D DS, not a new platform. I think when WiiU launches Nintendo will have a hard time convincing Wii casual owners that they need to buy a WiiU. Convincing them that WiiU is not just a Wii upgrade will be very hard. You see Nintendo didn't think that this casual market would remain casual, Nintendo had hoped these casual gamers would become hardcore and want to upgrade next generation.

So name wise I think Nintendo has lost the casual market. Nintendo will need several big casual releases to appeal to the casual market. Honestly Nintendo saying they are going to target the hardcore leads me to believe Nintendo may loose a huge amount of their casual audience. Not only due to the name but the fact that casual software needs to flow like water, if Nintendo is concentrating on hardcore games then this casual market won't be supported as much. Though Nintendo did show some WiiSports like demo's so here's hoping they can sell casual software and bring in the market.

On the flip side, I think Nintendo is being very smart to launch first, and with at least 50% the power of the PS3 Nintendo is off to a very good start. The controller I was excited for until I heard you could only use one at a time. I think the technology is definatly a step forward and in true Nintendo fashion the games are going to be amazing.

As for Sony sticking out ten years, if Sony starts to loose money or profits begin to dip again they will jump ship. PS4 has been in development for years and Sony will likely launch when they start loosing money or Nintendo starts making too much. If WiiU sells poorly like 3DS then Sony will be in no rush to launch PS4 but if WiiU takes off then Sony and Microsoft will both want to launch to stop them from getting to much of a lead.

If Sony and MS both waited another 5 years to launch PS4/Nex-Box then Nintendo will make a killing and yes it would be very good for Nintendo!