Wait for free?

It's going to have an exclusive case I think.

first week

360 600k

ps3 450k

Lifetime

360 3.137mil

PS3 2.464mil

Oh lame :/

I meant that ps3 would be higher because of Heavy Rain. Very similar game, and would have moved some consoles. So, given that there is already an established fanbase of interactive-drama, I think the ps3 version should sell a bit more. 

Also, lots of xbros hate on Heavy Rain and "movie lol games" so, I'm suspecting that a decent proportion of the userbase simply isn't interested in this type of game. I guess it could be comparable in play to Alan Wake, and looking at Alan Wake vs Heavy Rain, HR has done way better.

Again, it's just a suspicion., but I think it's worth using it as a metric for predicting the sales.

Is LA Noire a lot like Heavy Rain?

similar

Similar?!?!?

They are totaly different games.

FW

PS3: 400k

360: 450k

Total: 950k

LT

PS3: 2.85 million

360: 3.25 million

Total: 6-6.5 million

Ok, so Heavy Rain was:

week 1 :526,435

total 1.72M

 So, I think it will be similar, but I have to account for two variables. First, it's a Rockstar game that has significant hype, second, it doesn't have "exclusivity-hype"

I'm thinking the first will overcome the latter.

Also, there might be cross contamination from multiple console owners, that is partially offset by existing fanbase for the type of game on ps3. However, I would venture that Alan Wake is a similar game as well, and that currently sits at 1M.

However, the last R* game, red dead, sits at 900k first week ps3, and 1.15M first week 360

My official prediction will be these numbers doubled, minus... oh, say, 15%.

So, for PS3 first week: 900k 
and for 360, I'm going to say for shits and giggles 890k, because of the gamestyle

Lifetime is a little hard to predict because, well, where exaclty should that end? 

I'm going to go for a 10 week prediction of:

PS3: 1.8M
360: 1.6M

I think, after 5 years, it will probably be somewhere in the area of 4M for each.