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Forums - Sales - Americas Preorder chart Week Ending 23rd Apr 2011

yo_john117 said:

Wow @ Gears 3!

Seeing ME3 on that list makes me so very happy!

 

Anyways here's the Gears 3 vs Halo Reach comparison.

Week Halo Reach Gears of War 3 Net difference
26 3,959/50,777 30,053/238,422 26,094 (759.1%)/187,645 (469.5%)
25  8,179/58,956  27,618/266,040 19,439 (337.7%)/207,084 (451.3%)
24 18,947/77,903  55,197/321,237  36,250 (291.3%)/243,334 (412.4%)
23 13,015/90,918  59,594/380,831  46,579 (457.9%)/289,913 (418.9%)
22 12,041/102,959 68,121/448,952 56,080 (523.4%)/345,993 (436.0%)
21 17,885/120,844
20 31,619/152,463
19 19,315/171,778
18 33,137/204,915
17 35,189/240,104
16 30,222/270,326
15 28,359/298,685
14 25,899/324,584
13 25,038/349,622
12 34,437/384,059
11 55,319/439,378
10 38,051/477,429
9 50,884/528,313
8 118,699/647,012
7 126,340/773,352
6 139,346/912,698
5 158,668/1,071,366
4 183,640/1,255,006
3 203,984/1,458,990
2 232,354/1,691,344
1  300,735/1,992,079    

I want to expand upon this.

I know Gears 3 weekly pre-orders will probably drop a bit next week, and then get significantly cut three weeks after that when the beta is over, but it could hold similar weekly pre-orders to Halo: Reach. Weather it does or not, this will be Gears of War's biggest opening week, and it will likely open to 3 million sales or greater. Gears 2 opened to 1.9 million, and looks like it will sell close to 7 million lifetime. Does this mean Gears 3 will be 360's next exclusive 10 million seller? I hope so, it deserves it.

BTW Gears 3 at 28 weeks had 4.5x as many pre-orders as Uncharted 3 at 28 weeks, and weekly increases were over 6x as great. I wonder how well UC3 will open compared to Gears 3.



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halo reach did 3 million fw in americas gears 2 did 1.3. there is no way gears 3 does as much as reach. 2 million tops first week in americas.

  deus ex looks good. i thought it would tank without multiplayer, really hope im wrong.

  i hope mass effect gets delayed for 2 reasons. first theres so many other games coming out i wont have time to play them all. and second i cant help but think ea is rushing it. its coming out less than 2 years after ME2. i just want it to be the best game it can be.

 



Halo MCC will sell 5+ million copies(including digital)

halo 5 will sell 10 million copies(including digital)

x1 will pass ps4 in USA, and UK.

Michael-5 said:
yo_john117 said:

Wow @ Gears 3!

Seeing ME3 on that list makes me so very happy!

 

Anyways here's the Gears 3 vs Halo Reach comparison.

Week Halo Reach Gears of War 3 Net difference
26 3,959/50,777 30,053/238,422 26,094 (759.1%)/187,645 (469.5%)
25  8,179/58,956  27,618/266,040 19,439 (337.7%)/207,084 (451.3%)
24 18,947/77,903  55,197/321,237  36,250 (291.3%)/243,334 (412.4%)
23 13,015/90,918  59,594/380,831  46,579 (457.9%)/289,913 (418.9%)
22 12,041/102,959  68,121/448,952  56,080 (523.4%)/345,993 (436.0%)
21 17,885/120,844 
20 31,619/152,463
19 19,315/171,778
18 33,137/204,915
17 35,189/240,104
16 30,222/270,326
15 28,359/298,685
14 25,899/324,584
13 25,038/349,622
12 34,437/384,059
11 55,319/439,378
10 38,051/477,429
9 50,884/528,313
8 118,699/647,012
7 126,340/773,352
6 139,346/912,698
5 158,668/1,071,366
4 183,640/1,255,006
3 203,984/1,458,990
2 232,354/1,691,344
1  300,735/1,992,079    

I want to expand upon this.

I know Gears 3 weekly pre-orders will probably drop a bit next week, and then get significantly cut three weeks after that when the beta is over, but it could hold similar weekly pre-orders to Halo: Reach. Weather it does or not, this will be Gears of War's biggest opening week, and it will likely open to 3 million sales or greater. Gears 2 opened to 1.9 million, and looks like it will sell close to 7 million lifetime. Does this mean Gears 3 will be 360's next exclusive 10 million seller? I hope so, it deserves it.

BTW Gears 3 at 28 weeks had 4.5x as many pre-orders as Uncharted 3 at 28 weeks, and weekly increases were over 6x as great. I wonder how well UC3 will open compared to Gears 3.


Okay well in EMEAA Uncharted 3 will win no doubt as for Gears 3 I think there is something really wrong with these preoders. Of course it's gonna be big but VGC overtracked Gears 2 as well (2.1 million day 1) And Gears 3 is the only AAA exclusive out this year. I doubt this will open as much as Halo Reach I know that's impossible. 10 million LT is just going way to far. You expect this game to sell as much as Reach and GT5! Fix your prediction 



CGI-Quality said:
BenVTrigger said:



Got to be honest I don't see Uncharted 3 significantly outselling UC2.

Uncharted 2 had the perfect storm going for it of being a huge improvement over the original, massively positive reviews, and not near as much competition against established franchises as Uncharted 3 will face with Gears of War 3, Call of Duty, Elder Scrolls, Mass Effect, and possibly a Halo game and Assassins Creed all releasing in a similar time frame.

That being said I do think Uncharted 3 will outsell 2, just not by a significant amount.

Gears 3, & Halo game, Assassin's Creed (3?), and Mass Effect 3 will hardly be any competition for Uncharted 3 (Gears 3 & any Halo game especially, because they're on the 360 only). Call of Duty (I'm thinking Modern warfare 3) & Skyrim may be some competition, because CoD is CoD and this is the newest Elder Scrolls in 5 (plus) years.

That said, none of those games will have any significant impact on Uncharted 3's final tally. The only real threat to it not topping (or just clearing) UC2 is the timing of release.

Barely? your kidding right?



dsage01 said:
Michael-5 said:
yo_john117 said:

Wow @ Gears 3!

Seeing ME3 on that list makes me so very happy!

 

Anyways here's the Gears 3 vs Halo Reach comparison.

Week Halo Reach Gears of War 3 Net difference
26 3,959/50,777 30,053/238,422 26,094 (759.1%)/187,645 (469.5%)
25  8,179/58,956  27,618/266,040 19,439 (337.7%)/207,084 (451.3%)
24 18,947/77,903  55,197/321,237  36,250 (291.3%)/243,334 (412.4%)
23 13,015/90,918  59,594/380,831  46,579 (457.9%)/289,913 (418.9%)
22 12,041/102,959  68,121/448,952  56,080 (523.4%)/345,993 (436.0%)
21 17,885/120,844     
20 31,619/152,463
19 19,315/171,778
18 33,137/204,915
17 35,189/240,104
16 30,222/270,326
15 28,359/298,685
14 25,899/324,584
13 25,038/349,622
12 34,437/384,059
11 55,319/439,378
10 38,051/477,429
9 50,884/528,313
8 118,699/647,012
7 126,340/773,352
6 139,346/912,698
5 158,668/1,071,366
4 183,640/1,255,006
3 203,984/1,458,990
2 232,354/1,691,344
1  300,735/1,992,079    

I want to expand upon this.

I know Gears 3 weekly pre-orders will probably drop a bit next week, and then get significantly cut three weeks after that when the beta is over, but it could hold similar weekly pre-orders to Halo: Reach. Weather it does or not, this will be Gears of War's biggest opening week, and it will likely open to 3 million sales or greater. Gears 2 opened to 1.9 million, and looks like it will sell close to 7 million lifetime. Does this mean Gears 3 will be 360's next exclusive 10 million seller? I hope so, it deserves it.

BTW Gears 3 at 28 weeks had 4.5x as many pre-orders as Uncharted 3 at 28 weeks, and weekly increases were over 6x as great. I wonder how well UC3 will open compared to Gears 3.


Okay well in EMEAA Uncharted 3 will win no doubt as for Gears 3 I think there is something really wrong with these preoders. Of course it's gonna be big but VGC overtracked Gears 2 as well (2.1 million day 1) And Gears 3 is the only AAA exclusive out this year. I doubt this will open as much as Halo Reach I know that's impossible. 10 million LT is just going way to far. You expect this game to sell as much as Reach and GT5! Fix your prediction 

Uncharted 2 only had something like 200k pre-orders in Americas and <500k pre-orders worldwide. PS3 games don't tend to get as many pre-orders as 360 games, and even in EMEAA Gears 3 will likely see significantly more pre-orders then Uncharted 3. This, however, doesn't mean Gears 3 will outsell Uncharted 3 by as huge as the pre-order difference is.

Gears 3 is tracking significant pre-orders right now because pre-orders allow access to a three week long Beta. This is analogous to Halo 3: ODST sales jumping in May of 2009, for access to the Halo: Reach Beta.

Also Gears 3 is the biggest Gears yet, seeing it open to 3 million sales week one (1 million more then Gears 2) is very possible.

As for 10 million, I didn't predict Gears 3 will sell 10 million. I only stated the question, will it reach 10 million. It's a possibility as Gears 3 pre-orders are significantly higher then Call of Duty Black Ops and Halo Reach. Both Gears 1 and Gears 2 sold about 6 million units, and Gears 2 may end up with 7 million units lifetime. Assuming good press, reviews, and marketing, this means that Gears 3 could very likely break 8 million lifetime. I personally believe 8 million will happen, with an outside chance of 9 million. It won't be as big as Halo, but it might end up with lifetime sales figures close to GT5. Like you said, this is 360's biggest exclusive game, and with Infinity Ward all broken up, there might not be as impactful of a CoD title this year.



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CGI-Quality said:
pezus said:
CGI-Quality said:
pezus said:

You shouldn't worry so much about U3, that is one of the (few) PS3 exclusives that is a guaranteed success. What you should really be worrying about is Twisted Metal...

I wouldn't worry much about PS3 exclusive games at all, as most of them don't do as bad as people make out.

Yes, I agree. I just doubt that releasing Twisted Metal in such a crowded season is the way to go for Jaffe.

Remains to be seen. September and November are stuffed, but October looks fairly quiet right now. It may be the best he can do (or delay it to 2012, which people would of course moan and groan about).

Sony often delays a game last minute. LittleBigPlanet 2 was delayed only a couple months before release, The Last Guardian was delayed a year the month of release, and then by another 6 months after 6 months, and even GT5 was delayed by 8 months (March to November), only a few months before release.

If Sony feels the month will be too hectic, Twisted Metal will be delayed. Remember this was originally intended to be an arcade game, I would imagine making it a full pledged PS3 title would require a lot of work, and remodeling.



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Michael-5 said:
dsage01 said:
Michael-5 said:
yo_john117 said:

Wow @ Gears 3!

Seeing ME3 on that list makes me so very happy!

 

Anyways here's the Gears 3 vs Halo Reach comparison.

Week Halo Reach Gears of War 3 Net difference
26 3,959/50,777 30,053/238,422 26,094 (759.1%)/187,645 (469.5%)
25  8,179/58,956  27,618/266,040 19,439 (337.7%)/207,084 (451.3%)
24 18,947/77,903  55,197/321,237  36,250 (291.3%)/243,334 (412.4%)
23 13,015/90,918  59,594/380,831  46,579 (457.9%)/289,913 (418.9%)
22 12,041/102,959  68,121/448,952  56,080 (523.4%)/345,993 (436.0%)
21 17,885/120,844     
20 31,619/152,463   
19 19,315/171,778
18 33,137/204,915
17 35,189/240,104
16 30,222/270,326
15 28,359/298,685
14 25,899/324,584
13 25,038/349,622
12 34,437/384,059
11 55,319/439,378
10 38,051/477,429
9 50,884/528,313
8 118,699/647,012
7 126,340/773,352
6 139,346/912,698
5 158,668/1,071,366
4 183,640/1,255,006
3 203,984/1,458,990
2 232,354/1,691,344
1  300,735/1,992,079    

I want to expand upon this.

I know Gears 3 weekly pre-orders will probably drop a bit next week, and then get significantly cut three weeks after that when the beta is over, but it could hold similar weekly pre-orders to Halo: Reach. Weather it does or not, this will be Gears of War's biggest opening week, and it will likely open to 3 million sales or greater. Gears 2 opened to 1.9 million, and looks like it will sell close to 7 million lifetime. Does this mean Gears 3 will be 360's next exclusive 10 million seller? I hope so, it deserves it.

BTW Gears 3 at 28 weeks had 4.5x as many pre-orders as Uncharted 3 at 28 weeks, and weekly increases were over 6x as great. I wonder how well UC3 will open compared to Gears 3.


Okay well in EMEAA Uncharted 3 will win no doubt as for Gears 3 I think there is something really wrong with these preoders. Of course it's gonna be big but VGC overtracked Gears 2 as well (2.1 million day 1) And Gears 3 is the only AAA exclusive out this year. I doubt this will open as much as Halo Reach I know that's impossible. 10 million LT is just going way to far. You expect this game to sell as much as Reach and GT5! Fix your prediction 

Uncharted 2 only had something like 200k pre-orders in Americas and <500k pre-orders worldwide. PS3 games don't tend to get as many pre-orders as 360 games, and even in EMEAA Gears 3 will likely see significantly more pre-orders then Uncharted 3. This, however, doesn't mean Gears 3 will outsell Uncharted 3 by as huge as the pre-order difference is.

Gears 3 is tracking significant pre-orders right now because pre-orders allow access to a three week long Beta. This is analogous to Halo 3: ODST sales jumping in May of 2009, for access to the Halo: Reach Beta.

Also Gears 3 is the biggest Gears yet, seeing it open to 3 million sales week one (1 million more then Gears 2) is very possible.

As for 10 million, I didn't predict Gears 3 will sell 10 million. I only stated the question, will it reach 10 million. It's a possibility as Gears 3 pre-orders are significantly higher then Call of Duty Black Ops and Halo Reach. Both Gears 1 and Gears 2 sold about 6 million units, and Gears 2 may end up with 7 million units lifetime. Assuming good press, reviews, and marketing, this means that Gears 3 could very likely break 8 million lifetime. I personally believe 8 million will happen, with an outside chance of 9 million. It won't be as big as Halo, but it might end up with lifetime sales figures close to GT5. Like you said, this is 360's biggest exclusive game, and with Infinity Ward all broken up, there might not be as impactful of a CoD title this year.

Well I say Gears 3 can make 8 million but no where near cod or even GT. GT5 can easliy drift pass 9 million and make 10 million. I expect a massive raise in EMEEA sales again once Sony reports how much GT5 sold like last time. As for Gears 3 I know this is one of the biggest games this year but don't expect it to get halo sales. As for UC how did it get 500k preoders WW? With EMEEA with only 300k sales first week don't think it made 500k. Anyways Uncharted 3 will be one of the best and biggest games of the year regarless.



dsage01 said:
Michael-5 said:
dsage01 said:
Michael-5 said:
yo_john117 said:

Wow @ Gears 3!

Seeing ME3 on that list makes me so very happy!

 

Anyways here's the Gears 3 vs Halo Reach comparison.

Week Halo Reach Gears of War 3 Net difference
26 3,959/50,777 30,053/238,422 26,094 (759.1%)/187,645 (469.5%)
25  8,179/58,956  27,618/266,040 19,439 (337.7%)/207,084 (451.3%)
24 18,947/77,903  55,197/321,237  36,250 (291.3%)/243,334 (412.4%)
23 13,015/90,918  59,594/380,831  46,579 (457.9%)/289,913 (418.9%)
22 12,041/102,959  68,121/448,952  56,080 (523.4%)/345,993 (436.0%)
21 17,885/120,844     
20 31,619/152,463     
19 19,315/171,778 
18 33,137/204,915
17 35,189/240,104
16 30,222/270,326
15 28,359/298,685
14 25,899/324,584
13 25,038/349,622
12 34,437/384,059
11 55,319/439,378
10 38,051/477,429
9 50,884/528,313
8 118,699/647,012
7 126,340/773,352
6 139,346/912,698
5 158,668/1,071,366
4 183,640/1,255,006
3 203,984/1,458,990
2 232,354/1,691,344
1  300,735/1,992,079    

I want to expand upon this.

I know Gears 3 weekly pre-orders will probably drop a bit next week, and then get significantly cut three weeks after that when the beta is over, but it could hold similar weekly pre-orders to Halo: Reach. Weather it does or not, this will be Gears of War's biggest opening week, and it will likely open to 3 million sales or greater. Gears 2 opened to 1.9 million, and looks like it will sell close to 7 million lifetime. Does this mean Gears 3 will be 360's next exclusive 10 million seller? I hope so, it deserves it.

BTW Gears 3 at 28 weeks had 4.5x as many pre-orders as Uncharted 3 at 28 weeks, and weekly increases were over 6x as great. I wonder how well UC3 will open compared to Gears 3.


Okay well in EMEAA Uncharted 3 will win no doubt as for Gears 3 I think there is something really wrong with these preoders. Of course it's gonna be big but VGC overtracked Gears 2 as well (2.1 million day 1) And Gears 3 is the only AAA exclusive out this year. I doubt this will open as much as Halo Reach I know that's impossible. 10 million LT is just going way to far. You expect this game to sell as much as Reach and GT5! Fix your prediction 

Uncharted 2 only had something like 200k pre-orders in Americas and <500k pre-orders worldwide. PS3 games don't tend to get as many pre-orders as 360 games, and even in EMEAA Gears 3 will likely see significantly more pre-orders then Uncharted 3. This, however, doesn't mean Gears 3 will outsell Uncharted 3 by as huge as the pre-order difference is.

Gears 3 is tracking significant pre-orders right now because pre-orders allow access to a three week long Beta. This is analogous to Halo 3: ODST sales jumping in May of 2009, for access to the Halo: Reach Beta.

Also Gears 3 is the biggest Gears yet, seeing it open to 3 million sales week one (1 million more then Gears 2) is very possible.

As for 10 million, I didn't predict Gears 3 will sell 10 million. I only stated the question, will it reach 10 million. It's a possibility as Gears 3 pre-orders are significantly higher then Call of Duty Black Ops and Halo Reach. Both Gears 1 and Gears 2 sold about 6 million units, and Gears 2 may end up with 7 million units lifetime. Assuming good press, reviews, and marketing, this means that Gears 3 could very likely break 8 million lifetime. I personally believe 8 million will happen, with an outside chance of 9 million. It won't be as big as Halo, but it might end up with lifetime sales figures close to GT5. Like you said, this is 360's biggest exclusive game, and with Infinity Ward all broken up, there might not be as impactful of a CoD title this year.

Well I say Gears 3 can make 8 million but no where near cod or even GT. GT5 can easliy drift pass 9 million and make 10 million. I expect a massive raise in EMEEA sales again once Sony reports how much GT5 sold like last time. As for Gears 3 I know this is one of the biggest games this year but don't expect it to get halo sales. As for UC how did it get 500k preoders WW? With EMEEA with only 300k sales first week don't think it made 500k. Anyways Uncharted 3 will be one of the best and biggest games of the year regarless.

i suggest you stop talking about gt.

we dont want another sales debate to start which will end in months.

then ethomaz will pop with the usal undertracked comment.



Being in 3rd place never felt so good

zgamer5 said:
dsage01 said:
Michael-5 said:
dsage01 said:
Michael-5 said:
yo_john117 said:

Wow @ Gears 3!

Seeing ME3 on that list makes me so very happy!

 

Anyways here's the Gears 3 vs Halo Reach comparison.

Week Halo Reach Gears of War 3 Net difference
26 3,959/50,777 30,053/238,422 26,094 (759.1%)/187,645 (469.5%)
25  8,179/58,956  27,618/266,040 19,439 (337.7%)/207,084 (451.3%)
24 18,947/77,903  55,197/321,237  36,250 (291.3%)/243,334 (412.4%)
23 13,015/90,918  59,594/380,831  46,579 (457.9%)/289,913 (418.9%)
22 12,041/102,959  68,121/448,952  56,080 (523.4%)/345,993 (436.0%)
21 17,885/120,844     
20 31,619/152,463     
19 19,315/171,778     
18 33,137/204,915
17 35,189/240,104
16 30,222/270,326
15 28,359/298,685
14 25,899/324,584
13 25,038/349,622
12 34,437/384,059
11 55,319/439,378
10 38,051/477,429
9 50,884/528,313
8 118,699/647,012
7 126,340/773,352
6 139,346/912,698
5 158,668/1,071,366
4 183,640/1,255,006
3 203,984/1,458,990
2 232,354/1,691,344
1  300,735/1,992,079    

I want to expand upon this.

I know Gears 3 weekly pre-orders will probably drop a bit next week, and then get significantly cut three weeks after that when the beta is over, but it could hold similar weekly pre-orders to Halo: Reach. Weather it does or not, this will be Gears of War's biggest opening week, and it will likely open to 3 million sales or greater. Gears 2 opened to 1.9 million, and looks like it will sell close to 7 million lifetime. Does this mean Gears 3 will be 360's next exclusive 10 million seller? I hope so, it deserves it.

BTW Gears 3 at 28 weeks had 4.5x as many pre-orders as Uncharted 3 at 28 weeks, and weekly increases were over 6x as great. I wonder how well UC3 will open compared to Gears 3.


Okay well in EMEAA Uncharted 3 will win no doubt as for Gears 3 I think there is something really wrong with these preoders. Of course it's gonna be big but VGC overtracked Gears 2 as well (2.1 million day 1) And Gears 3 is the only AAA exclusive out this year. I doubt this will open as much as Halo Reach I know that's impossible. 10 million LT is just going way to far. You expect this game to sell as much as Reach and GT5! Fix your prediction 

Uncharted 2 only had something like 200k pre-orders in Americas and <500k pre-orders worldwide. PS3 games don't tend to get as many pre-orders as 360 games, and even in EMEAA Gears 3 will likely see significantly more pre-orders then Uncharted 3. This, however, doesn't mean Gears 3 will outsell Uncharted 3 by as huge as the pre-order difference is.

Gears 3 is tracking significant pre-orders right now because pre-orders allow access to a three week long Beta. This is analogous to Halo 3: ODST sales jumping in May of 2009, for access to the Halo: Reach Beta.

Also Gears 3 is the biggest Gears yet, seeing it open to 3 million sales week one (1 million more then Gears 2) is very possible.

As for 10 million, I didn't predict Gears 3 will sell 10 million. I only stated the question, will it reach 10 million. It's a possibility as Gears 3 pre-orders are significantly higher then Call of Duty Black Ops and Halo Reach. Both Gears 1 and Gears 2 sold about 6 million units, and Gears 2 may end up with 7 million units lifetime. Assuming good press, reviews, and marketing, this means that Gears 3 could very likely break 8 million lifetime. I personally believe 8 million will happen, with an outside chance of 9 million. It won't be as big as Halo, but it might end up with lifetime sales figures close to GT5. Like you said, this is 360's biggest exclusive game, and with Infinity Ward all broken up, there might not be as impactful of a CoD title this year.

Well I say Gears 3 can make 8 million but no where near cod or even GT. GT5 can easliy drift pass 9 million and make 10 million. I expect a massive raise in EMEEA sales again once Sony reports how much GT5 sold like last time. As for Gears 3 I know this is one of the biggest games this year but don't expect it to get halo sales. As for UC how did it get 500k preoders WW? With EMEEA with only 300k sales first week don't think it made 500k. Anyways Uncharted 3 will be one of the best and biggest games of the year regarless.

i suggest you stop talking about gt.

we dont want another sales debate to start which will end in months.

then ethomaz will pop with the usal undertracked comment.


Well for GT5 I think I agree with ethomaz. Anyways back to Uncharted and Gears no point talking about Halo because it's not comming out this year.



CGI-Quality said:
Nsanity said:
CGI-Quality said:

Gears 3, & Halo game, Assassin's Creed (3?), and Mass Effect 3 will hardly be any competition for Uncharted 3 (Gears 3 & any Halo game especially, because they're on the 360 only). Call of Duty (I'm thinking Modern warfare 3) & Skyrim may be some competition, because CoD is CoD and this is the newest Elder Scrolls in 5 (plus) years.

That said, none of those games will have any significant impact on Uncharted 3's final tally. The only real threat to it not topping (or just clearing) UC2 is the timing of release.

Barely? your kidding right?

I'm not sure what you're referencing (since I didn't use the word "barely").

Edit: If it's in conjunction to Gears 3, an unannounced Halo game, Mass Effect 3 (no solid release date), and Assassin's Creed III (also unannounced), than yes, my sentiments are that none of those will do much to Uncharted 3 at all.

Just look at the rundown: Gears 3 launches 1.5 months prior to UC3 (and is only on 360), no Halo game has been announced (and is also only on 360, so wouldn't do much to Uncharted 3 anyway), Mass Effect 3 will do nothing as PS3 fans will opt for Uncharted 3 and it won't matter for buyers on the 360 (and it still has no solid release date), and a new Assassin's Creed is also not only unnanounced, but will probably affect Ucharted 3 as much as Assassin's Creed II affected Uncharted 2 (i.e. not at all).

In short, there's too many "what-if"s and "could-be's"right now. I don't see any other competition that may truly give it a run for it's money outside of a new CoD (not confirmed - but we know something's coming), and Skyrim.


For the record a new Assassins Creed is confirmed for holiday 2011.  Ubisoft announced it and said the reveal will take place in May.  My bet is that it will be on the cover of GameInformer.

http://www.pressthebuttons.com/2011/02/announcement-about-new-assassins-creed-sequel-announcement-announced.html

http://www.gamereactor.eu/news/5572/More Assassin's Creed in 2011/

http://www.kotaku.com.au/2011/02/a-new-assassins-creed-will-be-revealed-in-may/

http://ps3.ign.com/articles/114/1149554p1.html

But I see what your saying and respect your opinon as well and either of us could be right.  But I think your argument is slightly flawed in that when you keep saying how oh well AC 2 didn't affect UC2 there was also FAR less competition.  If all of the games announced for holiday release for holiday, there will be franchises that take hits to their sales.  I don't think Uncharted 3 will take a big hit really, I even said that it will outsell Uncharted 2.  I just think the sheer amount of competition is going to keep it from FAR outselling Uncharted 2.