Ok, so the big 3's fiscal year ends next week and financial reports for all 3 will be released mid-late April.  I was just wondering what people think the gap between the 360 and PS3 will end up being, as shown in these reports.  This will mean SHIPPED numbers for both.  The shipped gap at the end of Q3 was 2.88 mil.  Also, to help predict this I'm going to look at VGC's SOLD numbers so far this year.

360: Looking at the chart, 360 has 2.3 mil units sold so far.  Or 2,250,997 to be specific.

PS3: According to VG, PS3 has sold 2.5 mil units so far.  Or, to be more specific, 2,531,364.

So, that's a difference of 280,367.  PS3 outsold the 360 last week by 27,365.  Now for the next 2 weeks in March, just for argument's sake, let's assume that the PS3 will outsell the 360 by 26K.  That brings the new YTD gap to 332,367.  Ok, now subtract that from the shipped gap and we get 2.55 mil.  Of course, there is a larger difference in shipped, as Sony ships to a few more regions in EMEAA and is in higher demand in Japan.  So, I'm thinking the new gap is going to be closer 2-2.3 mil.

Sound about right?  Or am I off?  Is there an outside chance that VGC may have the PS3 undertracked and the new shipped gap is less than 2 mil already?

Oh, and try to be civil. 

Guess I'm so spot on, there's no need for a discussion. 

im going to guess the shipment gap will be about 2.6mil. I'm guessing this because until recently 360 was in short supply in the us so I'm assuming they overshipped a bit there to make sure everyone who wanted to buy a 360 was able to do so. Then again it is true that xbox shipments to japan are almost nonexistant. But ill stay with my estimate

I believe, PS3 will post the biggerst numbers out of the 2, around 2.75M ( 50M plus) I guess, 360 will be around 2.5M ( about 53M Plus since the shipments bwetween sellthrough and shipment for xbox are usually small. The gap will be reduced for sure, next Quater I bet the gap will be even smaller.  As for Wii I think 2M will be shipped ( 86.63M).

Same applies to Sony...sort of. The Tsunami apparently destroyed 127k PS3s. Will these count? Does anyone ever count the PS3s that are bundled with the 3D TV bundles?  Will the world end if the shipped gap is less than 2m/more than 3m? Does anyone really care?

Forgot all about the shortages.  So yea, unless VGC is undertracking the PS3, the gap will probably be more in line with 2.5 mil.

What do you think the end of the year gap will be?  I'm thinking Kinect won't make as large an impact for its 2nd holiday season.  Especially with the 3DS and NGP coming out as the new "it" things to buy for the loved ones.  The likely $50 price cut to both the PS3 and 360 Elite will most likely benefit the PS3 more.  Given that, I think the gap will drop to below 2 mil.  Maybe ~1.5 mil.

Does... ...anyone really... ...CARE?

And I suppose you'll be surprised to see the internet erupt in flames when the gap closes completely.

Oh, that will be a dark, scary day indeed.  The mass cry of overshipped/channel stuffing will be heard round the world...

wide web. 

Sony will ship 2.8 million PS3 or more... just confirming their projections.

Microsoft will ship 2.5 million 360 or less.

So the gap will be 2.5 million or less at March 31th 2011.

the gap will probably be around 2.5million shipped. 

 Should be interesting if it continues to shrink this year, would be amusing to see the shipped gap fall to below 1 mill.