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enrageorange said:

im going to guess the shipment gap will be about 2.6mil. I'm guessing this because until recently 360 was in short supply in the us so I'm assuming they overshipped a bit there to make sure everyone who wanted to buy a 360 was able to do so. Then again it is true that xbox shipments to japan are almost nonexistant. But ill stay with my estimate

Forgot all about the shortages.  So yea, unless VGC is undertracking the PS3, the gap will probably be more in line with 2.5 mil.

What do you think the end of the year gap will be?  I'm thinking Kinect won't make as large an impact for its 2nd holiday season.  Especially with the 3DS and NGP coming out as the new "it" things to buy for the loved ones.  The likely $50 price cut to both the PS3 and 360 Elite will most likely benefit the PS3 more.  Given that, I think the gap will drop to below 2 mil.  Maybe ~1.5 mil.