Immortal said:
SOLIDSNAKE08 said:
KillerMan said:
The whole industry is rather massively down compared to last year (or to 2009 and 2008....). Luckily 3DS is just around corner.
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dont worry. sony is just waiting now, to unleash their $199 ps3 and i dont care what microsoft replies with, just like the last price drop, ps3 will pull away again but THIS TIME, by a bigger margin and not only that but at the same time ps3 will overtake 360 somewhere in that period, i say november to april of next year. by the way, im going by sony's and microsoft's numbers, so people, dont start throwing numbers everywhere that are from vgchartz at me!
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They broke even on $299 PS3 in... June 2010, I believe? No way in hell they'll make it to $199 before 2012 and it makes no sense whatsoever to go into the red for fun before that, especially with the expected loss that NGP might sell at.
And I'm not entirely convinced that $199 will have such an enormous effect at all. Not unless they package it with a SuperSlim, anyway.
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I remember even before (but maybe I mix-up USA, EU or WW), but that was in USA, while in the EU the 299€ PS3 broke even several months before and WW, obviously, somewhere in between, but overall, WW, it broke even around March 2010, so dropping price in Autumn 2011 would be at least 18 months after it broke even WW at $299/299€, dropping to $199 (and 199€ in EU) could make PS3 sell at a slight loss in USA, but break even or make a small profit in EU and profit where it's even more overpriced than in EU, compared to USA. The margin is there, but the decision will be taken considering a lot of other factors, that will be combined and weighted to decide whether the benefit compared to just dropping to $249 could be worth the lower profit margin until in the best case PS3 should have dropped to $199 anyway. Currently Sony looks like it prefers, after the huge initial losses, good profits and more than decent sales to stellar sales and low profit, so, unless their plans are less linear and obvious for the future, this year a drop to $249 looks more likely to me too, but the one to $199 is not to be ruled out, it wouldn't be a bloodbath by any means. BTW, when PS4 launches, PS3 should be dropped to $150 or less, so when PS4 launches plays a role too, price drops too close to each other should be avoided, if possible (this applies to XB360 too depending on XB720 launch date, while Wii is just one drop away from Wii max reasonable price when Wii2 lauches, so it should be fine whatever Ninty chooses, despite having very little room for price drops and strict timing to observe if it wants to launch Wii2 later than Autumn 2012, Ninty has no problems to make Wii reach the right price without hurrying drops up, instead it must be very accurate choosing when to drop if it wants to extend Wii's life as main console as far as possible).