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Forums - Sales - I think I have found a legitimat reason for Sony's overstuffed ship numbers

FF_Fanatic said:
Michael-5 said:

To be honest I'm still shocked at this massive sales adjustment, for a couple legitamate reasons.

1. Did Move really push that many consoles? Really? Move? Does that mean Kinect will do the same for 360? Really? Is motion gaming really that atttractive? Really? Seriously? A Wand with a glowing ball on the end and no good supporting games (except RE5).

2. This is a massive sales adjustment, and Sony has seen 3 sales adjustments in the last couple months. I'm sure the PS3 is outselling the 360, but did VGCharts honestly miss 1 million console sales? I understand some data is from smaller, more rural middle east and african regions, but Move has only sold 500 units, it's hard to beleive that it's responsible for a 60-100k weekly sales jump.

So I'm going to give it a couple weeks and wait for Kinect data to come in. If Kinect also posts ridiculous boosts in sales, then sadly, I guess this Move boost is real. If it doesn't, then I would question the reliability of this data.

I mean in January 2010 PS3 was ahead of 360 in EMEAA, then it didn't surpass the 360 in EMEAA for another 4 months, then recently 360 came within 45k of surpassing PS3 in EMEAA, and then now it's all of a sudden over 1 million sales behind?? Something is up, but PS3 probably did have a strong fall.

To be honest, I still don't see the PS3 meeting that 15 million fisical year goal. This data may be smudged by Sony to hold reputation (e.g. 15 million shipped, 12 million sold).

 

what you still refuse to believe the data that is in those charts seriously?? those charts are as about as close as the real figures we can get for sales seriously lots of people are so hurt over this, it's like they are stuck in a nightmare.

finally the adjustment is for lots of time of ps3 being under-tracked, not just for one month, go figure

I don't refuse to beleive the data, I'm just saying I'm shocked and wouldn't be surprised if it was re-adjusted like almost all large adjustments in VGChartz history have been.

Hey 2 weeks ago, those charts undertracked PS3 by 80k a week, are you really going to preach to me their accuracy? I'm saying PS3 is still likely in first, but it may be selling 20-30k less then it's posted. I just don't see how PS3 sales can jump by 25-35%, but software remains flat. Also Sports champions isn' really selling that many units, so it's unlikely that this software boost is entirely due to the Move.

Also Sony claims to have shipped 700k more units then the 360 over the last 3 months, thats essentially the time the 360S was launched, and why? because Move was released for two weeks? Does Motion gaming really mean that much to people who are considering a PS3/360? I just didn't expect the Move to boost consoles so dramatically, and before this boost was accounted for I didn't think Kinect would do that much for 360 either.



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darthdevidem01 said:
Michael-5 said:

To be honest I'm still shocked at this massive sales adjustment, for a couple legitamate reasons.

1. Did Move really push that many consoles? Really? Move? Does that mean Kinect will do the same for 360? Really? Is motion gaming really that atttractive? Really? Seriously? A Wand with a glowing ball on the end and no good supporting games (except RE5).

2. This is a massive sales adjustment, and Sony has seen 3 sales adjustments in the last couple months. I'm sure the PS3 is outselling the 360, but did VGCharts honestly miss 1 million console sales? I understand some data is from smaller, more rural middle east and african regions, but Move has only sold 500 units, it's hard to beleive that it's responsible for a 60-100k weekly sales jump.

So I'm going to give it a couple weeks and wait for Kinect data to come in. If Kinect also posts ridiculous boosts in sales, then sadly, I guess this Move boost is real. If it doesn't, then I would question the reliability of this data.

I mean in January 2010 PS3 was ahead of 360 in EMEAA, then it didn't surpass the 360 in EMEAA for another 4 months, then recently 360 came within 45k of surpassing PS3 in EMEAA, and then now it's all of a sudden over 1 million sales behind?? Something is up, but PS3 probably did have a strong fall.

To be honest, I still don't see the PS3 meeting that 15 million fisical year goal. This data may be smudged by Sony to hold reputation (e.g. 15 million shipped, 12 million sold).

Some of you need to really understand that this isn't nursery school.....SONY can't just "SMUDGE" the data and get away with it.......its just not that simple really, it isn't a game....it would be a major crime to make such big lies about specific console sales to investors.

And lol the data being posted in this thread in form of charts and graphs is actually from the Nintendo press briefing.....the source for Nintendo's data is GFK the most trusted console sales/software tracker in Europe because it covers loads of retail stores in all EU countries....something VGC can't do (and its not VGC's fault either....its so difficult to track the EMEAA region).

Another thing is SONY can't just stuff the channel for 2 quarters in a row......retailers aren't puppets controlled by SONY....THEY WILL NOT take extra/excess PS3 stock 2 QUARTERS in a row....

Sony can overexagerate truths. For example, Sony may have shipped 3.5 million units early for the holiday rush, where MS and Nintendo may plan to ship their holiday consoles in October. Then a 3.5 versus 2.8 million consoles shipped makes the PS3 look amazing, when in reality MS and Nintendo are just one big shipment away.

Also one of these adjustments goes back 2 years to account for more difficult to track EMEAA regions. Where did this data come from? Nintendo has made several press breifings showing financial sales using GFK in the last 2 years, why did this data all of a sudden come in now? I'm sure this data was sourced outside the Nintendo breifing.

I'm not saying the data is wrong, I just wouldn't be surprised if it were re-adjusted by 10% or 15%.

And shipping 15 million units when their goal to sell 15 million (not ship) is a legitamate way to smudge data. They did technically sell 15 million consoles to retailers, so it's not lying..

My reasoning for being shocked is that a peripheral (a wand with a glowing ball, and in a couple weeks a 3D camera) boosted console sales as much as a console redesign? Really? Scares me what gaming will eventually become if this is whats selling well...



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darthdevidem01 said:
DirtyP2002 said:


 


I agree that the EU is pretty much even. The chart shows this quite well.

NA belongs to Xbox 360 and Japan to PS3. I think everyone of us (including VGC) underestimated the African / Asian / Middle East / South American market. Markets where Sony seems to do well.

The thing that REALLY puzzles me is the Wii shipment being almost on PS2 levels. I thought the Wii would do especially well on these markets because of its lower price than PS3 / Xbox 360. Can anybody give me an example of the market leader suddenly dropping not only to third place but on the level of last gen hardware? The PS2 does not sell well in NA / JP / EU (some stores do not even support it any longer) but it still sell 1.5 million in the regions I mentioned before.

Yeah its because of the smaller countries all adding up to a large sum....also in the last year PS2 has been launched in a few new countries so thats helping it a lot too

and you can bet PS3 will be similarly launched in those smaller countries that PS2 has been launched in in the past year....this is why SONY keeps saying "10 year plan"...they really mean it and an important part of that plan is to make PS2 popular in those smaller countries so that when PS3 is much cheaper, they can sell it to the PS2 owners in those countries.

Some countries also get technology years later. For example, the TV's you see in major European countries, USA, Canada, and Australia came out in Japan about 4-5 years ago. The phones you buy are also out-dated in Japan and South Korea, some consoles even get released a year earlier in Japan (e.g. PS2), and a lot of games developed in Japan take 6 months to a year to get to European/North American Shores.

So just imagine the delay in smaller, more rural countries. I'm sure South Africa gets their consoles at almost the same time as North America/Europe, but what about Afganistan, Iran, Kenya, Romania, etc? I wouldn't be surprised if there was a 5 year delay in some of these places, for all we know the Wii is just being released in Tanzania.

So if the Wii/360/PS3 are still new consoles in some countries, I'd expect the PS2 to still sell well. It's a smaller population, and only a fraction of which are wealthy enough to own a video game console, but it still makes small adjustments in sales.



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This type of question, "shipment vs. retail sale" has been raised too many times most recently concerning Sony saying they "shipped" around 1.5 million Move controllers and in all the interviews with the media, their company reps said, "We sold 1.5 million Move controllers." Yes, you sold them to retailers, but a sale to a retailer does not absolutely translate into every shipped Move controller becoming an individual retail sale to a consumer.

Sony is playing a game here with semantics. Sony is deliberately confusing SHIPPED with SOLD and expecting outside observers to be born yesterday and not know the difference. SHIPPED is when you sell units to retailers who may sell out the day they get them or have them sit on shelves for 1 to 6 months. SOLD is each and every sale to an individual consumer.

Also, they need to keep the stores stocked for the holidays. In the aftermath of not enough Wiis to meet demand from 2006 to 2008 (correct me if I have my years wrong) and not enough slim 3s to meet demand last year, Sony may be overshipping to make sure they are meeting demand. This is what I take it as, but I could be wrong and the PS3 may be in Wii-like demand, selling as usual, or overshipping a product that is not in high demand like it was last year. Time will tell.



I've found one too: Consumers are bloated with 40.3 million PS3's, and want moar. Dirty old Sony is continuing to feed the consumer's habit like a drug pusher. Unconscionable!

1.3 million PS3's in the retail channel is so overstuffed it's a wonder retailer warehouses aren't bursting.

They're using the glowing ball on the end of Move to hypnotise all the retailers and make them buy more PS3's than they can sell..."youuuuuuu neeeeed mooooore peeeee esssssss threeeeeeeeses".

Yeah, there has to be a ton of unsold product on shop shelves for the retail channel to be considered overstuffed. It's not Sony claiming 40.3 million LTD bought by consumers. They've only said 41.6 million LTD shipped. The independantly reported sold to consumer numbers would suggest there's been no overstuffing going on recently. Sony shipped a lot of consoles in Q3 because they anticipated a lot of demand, and they were largely right.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

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Michael-5 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
Michael-5 said:

To be honest I'm still shocked at this massive sales adjustment, for a couple legitamate reasons.

1. Did Move really push that many consoles? Really? Move? Does that mean Kinect will do the same for 360? Really? Is motion gaming really that atttractive? Really? Seriously? A Wand with a glowing ball on the end and no good supporting games (except RE5).

2. This is a massive sales adjustment, and Sony has seen 3 sales adjustments in the last couple months. I'm sure the PS3 is outselling the 360, but did VGCharts honestly miss 1 million console sales? I understand some data is from smaller, more rural middle east and african regions, but Move has only sold 500 units, it's hard to beleive that it's responsible for a 60-100k weekly sales jump.

So I'm going to give it a couple weeks and wait for Kinect data to come in. If Kinect also posts ridiculous boosts in sales, then sadly, I guess this Move boost is real. If it doesn't, then I would question the reliability of this data.

I mean in January 2010 PS3 was ahead of 360 in EMEAA, then it didn't surpass the 360 in EMEAA for another 4 months, then recently 360 came within 45k of surpassing PS3 in EMEAA, and then now it's all of a sudden over 1 million sales behind?? Something is up, but PS3 probably did have a strong fall.

To be honest, I still don't see the PS3 meeting that 15 million fisical year goal. This data may be smudged by Sony to hold reputation (e.g. 15 million shipped, 12 million sold).

Some of you need to really understand that this isn't nursery school.....SONY can't just "SMUDGE" the data and get away with it.......its just not that simple really, it isn't a game....it would be a major crime to make such big lies about specific console sales to investors.

And lol the data being posted in this thread in form of charts and graphs is actually from the Nintendo press briefing.....the source for Nintendo's data is GFK the most trusted console sales/software tracker in Europe because it covers loads of retail stores in all EU countries....something VGC can't do (and its not VGC's fault either....its so difficult to track the EMEAA region).

Another thing is SONY can't just stuff the channel for 2 quarters in a row......retailers aren't puppets controlled by SONY....THEY WILL NOT take extra/excess PS3 stock 2 QUARTERS in a row....

Sony can overexagerate truths. For example, Sony may have shipped 3.5 million units early for the holiday rush, where MS and Nintendo may plan to ship their holiday consoles in October. Then a 3.5 versus 2.8 million consoles shipped makes the PS3 look amazing, when in reality MS and Nintendo are just one big shipment away.

Also one of these adjustments goes back 2 years to account for more difficult to track EMEAA regions. Where did this data come from? Nintendo has made several press breifings showing financial sales using GFK in the last 2 years, why did this data all of a sudden come in now? I'm sure this data was sourced outside the Nintendo breifing.

I'm not saying the data is wrong, I just wouldn't be surprised if it were re-adjusted by 10% or 15%.

And shipping 15 million units when their goal to sell 15 million (not ship) is a legitamate way to smudge data. They did technically sell 15 million consoles to retailers, so it's not lying..

My reasoning for being shocked is that a peripheral (a wand with a glowing ball, and in a couple weeks a 3D camera) boosted console sales as much as a console redesign? Really? Scares me what gaming will eventually become if this is whats selling well...


if that is true expect Sony to be in court real soon, you can't even over exaggerate your figures it's considered as fraud!!

the fact is you are too stuck on the fact that move is doing so well, and from reading your previous posts you think it's a wiimote with a glowing ball, you do realise that every single review does not agree with you, not to mention move is way more precise than wiimote and it has extra abilities than just true 1:1 3d control, move does what wiimote was meant to do and that is why people are loving it so much!!



binary solo said:

I've found one too: Consumers are bloated with 40.3 million PS3's, and want moar. Dirty old Sony is continuing to feed the consumer's habit like a drug pusher. Unconscionable!

1.3 million PS3's in the retail channel is so overstuffed it's a wonder retailer warehouses aren't bursting.

They're using the glowing ball on the end of Move to hypnotise all the retailers and make them buy more PS3's than they can sell..."youuuuuuu neeeeed mooooore peeeee esssssss threeeeeeeeses".

Yeah, there has to be a ton of unsold product on shop shelves for the retail channel to be considered overstuffed. It's not Sony claiming 40.3 million LTD bought by consumers. They've only said 41.6 million LTD shipped. The independantly reported sold to consumer numbers would suggest there's been no overstuffing going on recently. Sony shipped a lot of consoles in Q3 because they anticipated a lot of demand, and they were largely right.



No. They are reporting what the numbers mean to them... Do the drug lords in columbia not consider their product sold when they smuggle it into the us to be cut and sold on the streets? Do they need to wait for the dealers to push their stock before they can say that?

EDIT: wrong quote. meant for poster above you.



Lafiel said:
DirtyP2002 said:

The thing that REALLY puzzles me is the Wii shipment being almost on PS2 levels.

well, people said the Wii would match the PS2 in sales, no ?

 

LOL!!

 

LOL!!

 

That was the funniest comment today!!

 

LOL!!

 

LOL!!



you guys should sleep now and wake up in around 2011 january 26



rccsetzer said:

I have only one thing to say : buy a PS3 and be a much happier person! 


How exactly does that dil... schtick make you happier? Eeewk!