The Super Wii will probably launch in Fall 2012, in America. Besides abysmal third party support, Nintendo has no financial reason to launch any sooner. If 3DS is 250-300USD, then the Wii's successor may cost 400USD. Microsoft's not gonna give ANY of it's competitors more than a year of Market control (they learned their lesson with PS2). If need be, they'll probably just use the current version of Kinnect as the standard motion controller for the 720, at launch. Then a few years into the 720's lifespan come out with Kinnect v2.0 (like Nintendo did with Motion Plus).Sony can't afford to enter the Next Gen right away. If Nintendo is the first on the marke, the only thing Sony'll be able to do (right away) is lower the price of PS3 and try to emphasize it's value/versatility to consumers (like they did when Dreamcast came out).

I would guess it goes like this:

Nintendo: 2012

Microsoft: 2014

Sony: 2015

Also, Nintendo is a Gaming-centered Company, so the Super Wii probably won't have the most cutting edge tech or be  2-3x more powerful (overall) than the PS3. It will however, be able to produce graphics that are comparable to or perhaps better than Cryrsis or Uncharted. Nintendo isn't gonna use any tech or spend more money than absolutley necessary.

Microsoft and Sony aren't gonna let Nintendo control the market for 2-3 years, even if they have to sacrifice profits and sell at a loss. Theres no way Sony waits 9 years to come out with a sequel to PS3, even with a lingering global recession.

Somehow I don't think that's completely reasonable. Nintendo has already said that they have no plans to make 3D the main event on their next home console. You must also note that the market has changed so much recently that a 5 year cycle just isn't a good idea, so I think they'll hold off from announcing anything until at least 2012, maybe aiming for holiday 2013 launch.

What also takes away from that is that you consider Starfox to be one of Nintendo's major IPs even though it's consistently sold less than even Metroid.

Just because Nintendo hasn't announced their 2011 Wii line-up for the fall doesn't mean they are going to launch a new system. If that were the case, N6 would have released in 2009 according to your logic.

As for you graphics buffs out there, ever heard of AMD Fusion?

The next Nintendo's console will appears in 2012 and will be release after 2013.

And Nintendo never will be the first to open a new generation of consoles. Sony and MS will be the firsts.

GBA / G-CUBE

Microsoft and Sony are pushing for HD because they need to recover from the abysmal losses they had. The longer this gen lasts without a successor, the better for them. That's why those statements like "PS3 10 years plan" ; "kinect will last for 5 years" bla bla bla. Bullshit.

Nintendo in the other hand can just put a successor right now, because they had zero losses with the Wii, and they can start a new gen earlier and they know that. That way they will cut many profits for Sony and Microsoft and will also hurry them to launch their systems. The losses they had with the HD consoles? Too bad. A new gen has begun.

I don't see Sony as having much of a choice, their overall financial picture won't allow them to take massive losses on the Playstation again in the next 2-3 years.

Microsoft could do it finiancially, but would they?  They would leave the 360 generation in the red overall and would now be running large losses for a while again.  Shareholders and upper management will only wait for "potential" profits for so long.