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whatever said:
Mitsurugi said:

The Super Wii will probably launch in Fall 2012, in America. Besides abysmal third party support, Nintendo has no financial reason to launch any sooner. If 3DS is 250-300USD, then the Wii's successor may cost 400USD. Microsoft's not gonna give ANY of it's competitors more than a year of Market control (they learned their lesson with PS2). If need be, they'll probably just use the current version of Kinnect as the standard motion controller for the 720, at launch. Then a few years into the 720's lifespan come out with Kinnect v2.0 (like Nintendo did with Motion Plus).Sony can't afford to enter the Next Gen right away. If Nintendo is the first on the marke, the only thing Sony'll be able to do (right away) is lower the price of PS3 and try to emphasize it's value/versatility to consumers (like they did when Dreamcast came out).

I would guess it goes like this:

Nintendo: 2012

Microsoft: 2014

Sony: 2015

Microsoft and Sony aren't gonna let Nintendo control the market for 2-3 years, even if they have to sacrifice profits and sell at a loss. Theres no way Sony waits 9 years to come out with a sequel to PS3, even with a lingering global recession.