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Forums - Sales - Wii at 3/4 of 100M!

 

Wii at 3/4 of 100M!

Yes 28 77.78%
 
No 7 19.44%
 
Unsure 1 2.78%
 
Total:36
nordlead on 29 October 2010

ok, here is my estimates for wii through 2013


 NA JPN EMEAA WW Running Total
2006 1.23 0.96 0.74 2.93 2.93
2007 7.39 3.68 5.32 16.39 19.32
2008 11.44 3.02 9.94 24.4 43.72
2009 10.72 2.02 9.06 21.8 65.52
2010 8.96 2.16 8.21 19.33 84.85
2011 7.4 1.5 7 15.9 100.75
2012 5 1 4.5 10.5 111.25
2013 3 0.5 2.5 6 117.25

orange is my predictions. 2010 is extrapolated from current 2010 sales by doubling the figures in each region. Actually the timeframe is exactly right for 2009's doubling.




If you drop a PS3 right on top of a Wii, it would definitely defeat it. Not so sure about the Xbox360. - mancandy
In the past we played games. In the future we watch games. - Forest-Spirit
11/03/09 Desposit: Mod Bribery (RolStoppable)  vg$ 500.00
06/03/09 Purchase: Moderator Privilege  vg$ -50,000.00

Nordlead Jr. Photo/Video Gallery!!! (Video Added 4/19/10)

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Beuli2 on 29 October 2010



Above: still the best game of the year.

Nintendogamer on 29 October 2010
M.U.G.E.N said:

Not gonna touch Daddy numbers but 100 for SURE! 120-125 is my guess


DS will touch Daddy's thought and Wii will end up in a tidy position.



Buying in 2015: Captain toad: treasure tracker,

mario maker

new 3ds

yoshi woolly world

zelda U

majora's mask 3d

Nintendogamer on 29 October 2010
nordlead said:

ok, here is my estimates for wii through 2013


 NA JPN EMEAA WW Running Total
2006 1.23 0.96 0.74 2.93 2.93
2007 7.39 3.68 5.32 16.39 19.32
2008 11.44 3.02 9.94 24.4 43.72
2009 10.72 2.02 9.06 21.8 65.52
2010 8.96 2.16 8.21 19.33 84.85
2011 7.4 1.5 7 15.9 100.75
2012 5 1 4.5 10.5 111.25
2013 3 0.5 2.5 6 117.25

orange is my predictions. 2010 is extrapolated from current 2010 sales by doubling the figures in each region. Actually the timeframe is exactly right for 2009's doubling.

I was thinking about 82M for end of 2010, but I can't complain with your 84M .  This holiday we will see a Nintendo console topping a Nintendo handheld for the first time.



Buying in 2015: Captain toad: treasure tracker,

mario maker

new 3ds

yoshi woolly world

zelda U

majora's mask 3d

Beuli2 on 29 October 2010
nordlead said:

ok, here is my estimates for wii through 2013


 NA JPN EMEAA WW Running Total
2006 1.23 0.96 0.74 2.93 2.93
2007 7.39 3.68 5.32 16.39 19.32
2008 11.44 3.02 9.94 24.4 43.72
2009 10.72 2.02 9.06 21.8 65.52
2010 8.96 2.16 8.21 19.33 84.85
2011 7.4 1.5 7 15.9 100.75
2012 5 1 4.5 10.5 111.25
2013 3 0.5 2.5 6 117.25

orange is my predictions. 2010 is extrapolated from current 2010 sales by doubling the figures in each region. Actually the timeframe is exactly right for 2009's doubling.

So you expect it to sell 19.33 million on this year when not even Nintendo thinks it can? This is gonna be hard, but not impossible.



Above: still the best game of the year.

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M.U.G.E.N on 29 October 2010
Nintendogamer said:
M.U.G.E.N said:

Not gonna touch Daddy numbers but 100 for SURE! 120-125 is my guess


DS will touch Daddy's thought and Wii will end up in a tidy position.


I'm one of those think handhelds and home consoles are two different leagues, but that's a different point

and VGC is undertracking ps2 big time imo if you check the new numbers....

Daddy is forever Daddy...but let's not get into that now..this is an accomplishment for Wii..here's for more years of success!



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"This world is Merciless, and it's also very beautiful"

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nordlead on 29 October 2010
Beuli2 said:

So you expect it to sell 19.33 million on this year when not even Nintendo thinks it can? This is gonna be hard, but not impossible.

For starters, Nintendo is estimating FY results, while I posted calandar year results. I don't know how much this throws things off, but whatever. Also, Nitnendo had a really strong Christmas last year, so I could easily be off.

The way I estimated 2010 was to look at sales from Jan 1, 09 to Oct 24, 09 and then compared them to the rest of the year. This showed that every single region doubled its sales in the last few months. I also know that historically the holidays (last 2-3 months) sell as much as the rest of the year combined, but I'm not 100% sure when this break typically happens.

I just took 2010's yearly totals and doubled them.

I could easily be off, and didn't put a lot of thought or historical analysys into it




If you drop a PS3 right on top of a Wii, it would definitely defeat it. Not so sure about the Xbox360. - mancandy
In the past we played games. In the future we watch games. - Forest-Spirit
11/03/09 Desposit: Mod Bribery (RolStoppable)  vg$ 500.00
06/03/09 Purchase: Moderator Privilege  vg$ -50,000.00

Nordlead Jr. Photo/Video Gallery!!! (Video Added 4/19/10)

Nintendogamer on 29 October 2010
M.U.G.E.N said:
Nintendogamer said:
M.U.G.E.N said:

Not gonna touch Daddy numbers but 100 for SURE! 120-125 is my guess


DS will touch Daddy's thought and Wii will end up in a tidy position.


I'm one of those think handhelds and home consoles are two different leagues, but that's a different point

and VGC is undertracking ps2 big time imo if you check the new numbers....

Daddy is forever Daddy...but let's not get into that now..this is an accomplishment for Wii..here's for more years of success!

Their both gaming HW, but still it's a great success for Nintendo considering the GC sold only 21M or so. 147.6M PS2 shipped, should be like 148.5M end of year with DS being at about 144M, getting closer.  Wii will defintly top GBA this year and maybe PS1 next year or spring 2012.  Do you actually want wii to sell that good?  if you sense that I talk srange now, the reason is white wine.  ( I got a job finally).



Buying in 2015: Captain toad: treasure tracker,

mario maker

new 3ds

yoshi woolly world

zelda U

majora's mask 3d

Nintendogamer on 29 October 2010
nordlead said:
Beuli2 said:

So you expect it to sell 19.33 million on this year when not even Nintendo thinks it can? This is gonna be hard, but not impossible.

For starters, Nintendo is estimating FY results, while I posted calandar year results. I don't know how much this throws things off, but whatever. Also, Nitnendo had a really strong Christmas last year, so I could easily be off.

The way I estimated 2010 was to look at sales from Jan 1, 09 to Oct 24, 09 and then compared them to the rest of the year. This showed that every single region doubled its sales in the last few months. I also know that historically the holidays (last 2-3 months) sell as much as the rest of the year combined, but I'm not 100% sure when this break typically happens.

I just took 2010's yearly totals and doubled them.

I could easily be off, and didn't put a lot of thought or historical analysys into it

Wii should hit 117M before 2015.



Buying in 2015: Captain toad: treasure tracker,

mario maker

new 3ds

yoshi woolly world

zelda U

majora's mask 3d

NYANKS on 29 October 2010
Nintendogamer said:
M.U.G.E.N said:
Nintendogamer said:
M.U.G.E.N said:

Not gonna touch Daddy numbers but 100 for SURE! 120-125 is my guess


DS will touch Daddy's thought and Wii will end up in a tidy position.


I'm one of those think handhelds and home consoles are two different leagues, but that's a different point

and VGC is undertracking ps2 big time imo if you check the new numbers....

Daddy is forever Daddy...but let's not get into that now..this is an accomplishment for Wii..here's for more years of success!

Their both gaming HW, but still it's a great success for Nintendo considering the GC sold only 21M or so. 147.6M PS2 shipped, should be like 148.5M end of year with DS being at about 144M, getting closer.  Wii will defintly top GBA this year and maybe PS1 next year or spring 2012.  Do you actually want wii to sell that good?  if you sense that I talk srange now, the reason is white wine.  ( I got a job finally).

Yeah but PS2 could be undertacked by millions, at least one or two.  Nordlead himself said it definitely needs some sort of adjustment.  And I'm with Mugen on that debate.  And I pretty much expect Wii to top everything else pretty easily.  And congrats on the job!