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Sales - Wii at 3/4 of 100M! - View Post

Beuli2 said:

So you expect it to sell 19.33 million on this year when not even Nintendo thinks it can? This is gonna be hard, but not impossible.

For starters, Nintendo is estimating FY results, while I posted calandar year results. I don't know how much this throws things off, but whatever. Also, Nitnendo had a really strong Christmas last year, so I could easily be off.

The way I estimated 2010 was to look at sales from Jan 1, 09 to Oct 24, 09 and then compared them to the rest of the year. This showed that every single region doubled its sales in the last few months. I also know that historically the holidays (last 2-3 months) sell as much as the rest of the year combined, but I'm not 100% sure when this break typically happens.

I just took 2010's yearly totals and doubled them.

I could easily be off, and didn't put a lot of thought or historical analysys into it




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