Something I've already noticed, Sales don't start picking up until the last week of October, unless there is a big game, price cut, ect. If a console rolls into the xmas Q with nothing big happening, it takes until the last week of October to boost. As seen by 2008 for PS3 and 2009 for Xbox 360.

Wii in 2008 was still sought after, going by the fluctuations in September, in 2009 the September price cut automatically rose sales. 360 2008 had it's price cut in September also, and PS3 had slim and price cut in September as well.

So unless Wii does get a price cut or something else, don't expect it's sales to start lifting until the last week of October.

would be interesting if it ever drops below 100k, although unlikely, that would be huge.. as its lowest sales so far have been the sales of this week of 135K, any lower and it continues to set record lows..

and people say this is like any other year for the wii, well based on sales trends it's not.. and not only that but the wii is $199.. not $249 like it was this time last year.

That would be terrifying..... no no it can't happen Leo, don't do this!!

And please don't make a Prediction thread on Wii dropping below 100K

I think 100k is a bit of a stretch, if I'm right and it doesn't start rising by last week of October, it has 5 weeks to drop to that level. Possible it could go below 115k.

it can happen, and it should happen, its not like nintendo has been trying to get much of any 3rd party support for the wii.. most of it is still coming to the HD consoles, hell the PS3 is getting much better 3rd party support EXCLUSIVELY than the wii is in terms of big budget ip.. and that's sad.. considering the wii has twice the install base..

The ps2 didn't have these issues now did it.

PS2 didn't face a hostile industry that more or less did everything in it's power to try and push it's competition ahead of it.  Indeed, PS2 found itself in the opposite position.

Wii's record breaking success literally rests entirely on Nintendo's shoulders.  That's something no PlayStation or Xbox can really say, and likely never could in the future either...

Very Nice thread, the OP looks great. Should definitely be an interesting holiday season.

I certainly don't expect Wii to come close to matching last year's holiday sales, but I do think it will stop the week to week erosion early-mid October, thanks to starting to consitently get mid-to large games. I would think Wii Party and Just Dance 2 to help prevently weekly declines in the West and maybe cause a slight increase, and Kirby should help out in Japan to help get holiday sales going a little earlier than the last week of the month.  I think one of the Wii's big problems when it goes through a game drought is that not only are big games not being released but the console is not being advertised. During the holidays though Nintendo starts to advertise like crazy and I think that will begin with Wii Party/Kirby.

This is certainly the most interesting time of the year to be following video game sales, with interesting things to be looking for for all the consoles. The only thing that could make it a more interesting sales period is a WW 3DS release for the holidays.

TBH whoever came out with the motion controller first would likely have seen those sales. They're not down to Nintendo it's down to the motion control, past generations put proof to that.

Hardware sells with software.  Without Nintendo software, Wii would not have been the phenom it was.  Same story as with NES/Famicom, Game Boy, DS and every other revolutionary Nintendo platform.

We'll never know what would have happened if Sony or Microsoft released the motion controller first with THEIR franchises. Nintendo name wasn't very strong in the industry prior to Wii.