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Forums - Sales - Will the PS3 overtake the XBox 360 in 2 years?

numonex on 09 September 2010

http://gamer.blorge.com/2010/05/28/ps3-to-overtake-xbox-360-in-2-years/

Here is the article from gamer.blorge. 

Does anyone believe the PS3 can actually overtake the 360 within 2 years?

I personally have my doubts whether the PS3 can overtake the 360 this generation. Gran Turismo 5 is the PS3s last chance. The XBox 360s, Halo:Reach should be enough to offset Gran Turismo 5 sales impact.  I believe both PS Move and Kinect will have no real impact on the sales. The Wii has the casual  video game market wrapped up this generation. 

Three years time seems more likely when the PS3 overtakes the 360. MS knows how to get more out of the 360. 360 Slim launch was a brilliant move and the Kinect should extend the 360s life span to 10 years. PS3 may have to wait until 2013 or 2014 when it overtakes the 360 in total console sales.  



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iWarMachine on 09 September 2010

i don't think it could overtake the 360, but it'll leave the battle in a virtual tie..



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epicberserk on 09 September 2010

it wont ps3 is distant for third the entire generation



Jadedx on 09 September 2010
epicberserk said:

it wont ps3 is distant for third the entire generation



This.



HKN on 09 September 2010

$199



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Vanbierk on 09 September 2010

<p>Regardless if they beat out the XBox 360 sales in "This Generation"...They'll eventually surpass it in sales, regardless</p>



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numonex on 10 September 2010

Can the 360 hold off the PS3 in total sales for the entire generation? I hope the 360 can hold off the PS3 for as long as possible. Halo:Reach will help extend 360s lead over the PS3 for September and October, before Gran Turismo 5 launches at the start of the Xmas/holiday sales period. 

PS3 strikes back with Gran Turismo 5 in November. The new Call of Duty should have a bigger impact on 360 sales than PS3 sales in November. Fifa will favour the PS3 sales but Madden will have a bigger impact on 360 sales. PS3 and 360 both have a good list of games for the last few months in 2010. 

The XBox 360 should be able to finish 6 million total console sales ahead of the PS3 by the end of the year. 360s current lead over PS3 stands at 5.4 million. PS3 and 360 should sell  equal console sales in 2010. The 360 is expected to offset the PS3 first half of 2010 hardware gains. 

Console Price cuts are not expected for either 360 or PS3. Console bundling and added value is to be expected- games, extra accessories or Kinect or PS Move included. I do not expect PS Move or Kinect will have much of an impact of hardware sales. The Wii has the casual market locked up and a 4 year lead over both the PS3 and 360 in setting the benchmark for interactive motion gaming. 



NeoRatt on 10 September 2010

I doubt the PS3 will over take 360 for this generation.  360 is far too strong in North America and is still holding its own in Europe/Others.

Price won't matter much, because for every price drop the PS3 gets, Microsoft will make a price drop on 360 as well.

Really it comes down to how the market reacts this holiday season.  It is now or never for Sony...  If they are behind 5.5 million going into next year that is far too much to make up against a console that is selling well like the 360 is today.



Michael-5 on 10 September 2010

I think the only way PS3 will overtake 360 in overall sales is if PS4 comes out a year later then X-Box successor, and even then it's iffy.

In the 4 years since PS3's launch, PS3 sales have only been above 360 sales ocassionally during a big game release, and since the PS3 Slim. Now that the PS3's Slim effect has worn off, Microsoft has a temporary lead due to a slightly better fall lineup (Kinect > Move, Halo = GT5, Fable = LBP), and it's own Slim effect. In 2011, both Slim effects will have faded, and it will most likely be like it was before the PS3 slim effect. This isn't garenteed, but regardless Sony will be having a hard time just selling above the 360, nevermind catching up a potential 6 million console difference by the end of the year.



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Killiana1a on 10 September 2010

It would be contingent on the weekly and monthly sales numbers for the 360 dropping to less than a third that the 360 is pushing now combined with sales for the PS3 jumping 50% ontop of what they are now.

Answer: Very unlikely, but not unforseeable.