I think the only way PS3 will overtake 360 in overall sales is if PS4 comes out a year later then X-Box successor, and even then it's iffy.
In the 4 years since PS3's launch, PS3 sales have only been above 360 sales ocassionally during a big game release, and since the PS3 Slim. Now that the PS3's Slim effect has worn off, Microsoft has a temporary lead due to a slightly better fall lineup (Kinect > Move, Halo = GT5, Fable = LBP), and it's own Slim effect. In 2011, both Slim effects will have faded, and it will most likely be like it was before the PS3 slim effect. This isn't garenteed, but regardless Sony will be having a hard time just selling above the 360, nevermind catching up a potential 6 million console difference by the end of the year.
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