Fable II was one of the most heavily bundled M$ exclusives and did a far larger proportion of it's sales at 1/2 price or lower than any of the top selling multi-platform RPGs I believe.  If it continues to get preferential, long-term treatment it will continue it's sales progession upwards to roughtly 4.8m LT based largely on increased userbase.  I'm sure the devine Mr. M's stature within the M$ hierarchy and Lionhead's position among their few remaining exclusive devs will ensure a large promotional budget and sales of 1.5m 1st week whether it deserves it or not.

I think that it will be somewhere around 900k first week and 3.5m lifetime.

1 Million week 1

4 Million lifetime

It won't reach Lionhead's "5 Million sales" goal!

nah, I'm sure it will hit that goal, because you know microsoft is going to bundle the crap out of it.  

1.3 million first week.
3.8 million life time. 

There should be a Forza 3/Fable 3 Bundle next year, Forza 3 also deserves better sales.

Well since Fable 3 is rocking the US pre-order charts I think its gonna do just excellent.

If it came out right now Fable 3 would probably do about 600k WW but its got 8 weeks left before it is out.

Anyways I believe it will sell about 1.45 million FW and 4.6 million Lifetime.

800K first week and 3.5 million lifetime.

I think it will do similar or the same as Fable 2 maybe depends how well the PC version does.   I will be surprised if it does 1 million first week considering the competition it has this holiday season.