Zelda: 6 million
DK: 5 million
Kirby: 2 million
Mickey: 1,5 Million
Of all the titles here, the hardest to predict is Donkey Kong Country Returns. It sales could be very well far from my prediction, for more or for less. Crazy stuff.
Above: still the best game of the year.
You guys are underestimating the power of the wii!
Zelda 7 million
Kirby: 4 million
DKCR: 7 million
Epic Mickey 2.5 million
----
Kirby on DS sold 1.2 million in Japan alone. They will go nuts for this one.
Imagine not having GamePass on your console...
Khuutra said:
1. You are lookingg at a sample size that is much too small to be representative of the general population. 2. Related to one, you are looking at a sample size which is heavily skewed away from the demographic to which Epic Mickey appeals. 3. You are ignoring games that VGC's community hates on but which sell fantastically, like Just Dance. 4. Core gamers are not necessary for a game to sell excellently. |
So what demografix does Mickey appeal to?
Just Dance is a bad example because it's so casual. We all know casual games sell well but are hated on on the internet. You need to bring an example of a core game that sold well despite VGC skepticism.
RolStoppable said:
Aonuma has been the director of most Zelda games since Majora's Mask and since then Zelda keeps straying away from its roots more and more. And yes, garbage are the cutscenes that are getting longer with each new game and an increasing focus on puzzles instead of combat. Modern Zelda has become so easy that it's no problem to beat the game. Without challenge, games become boring. So the story of the game pretty much becomes the driving force and well, it's nothing special either. I don't think that gamers nowadays are looking forward to a new Zelda as much as they used to. That's due to games they stopped playing midway through not because they were too hard or had an OoT Water Temple like labyrinth, rather they did quit out of boredom. I believe Zelda has lost the status of being a "magical" franchise and has just become one among many others. |
Well Zelda Ocarina was hard. I never beat it because I got lost in the dungeons.
You are spot on with the magical comment. Zelda lost its magic with Windwaker and couldn't redeem it with Twilight Princess despite going back to Ocarina style.
How would you rate the console Zeldas? Just very roughly to get an idea.
Zelda SS - 6.5m
Kirby - 2m
Epic Mickey - 1.8m
DKCR - anything from 3m to 11m
Skyward Sword- 7 million
DK- 6 million
Kirby- 4 million
Epic Mickey- 1 million
These are total guesses btw.
I think Zelda will sell in line with previous games in the series, somewhere in the 5-6 million range. It won't sell as well as TP because of not benefitting from being a launch game and releasing during the holidays, but it will still do well. Doing better the Majoras Mask and Wind Waker, but less than TP and Oot, putting it squarely in the middle of the 3D Zeldas. The sales may seem smaller just because prior to this gen Zelda was one of Nintendo's best selling console franchises but now it is not even close to the top.
Kirby I think will also do in line with other entries in the franchise. I'm guessing 2.5 million total. 1m in Japan and America and 500k in Europe.
DKC and Epic Mickey are certainly more wildcards than the other 2. I think DKC based on its release date in America is going to be big, just not near New Super Mario Wii big. I think 3 million in America and and around a million each in Europe and Japan, although I think there is also a chance the game does poorly in Japan. So around 5-6 million total.
For Epic Mickey if Disney advertises it heavily like I think it does and it releases in Novermber or earlier to get the benefit of more holiday sales I think 3-5 million. If the game doesn't get massive advertising than 1-1.5 million eventually. But I think Disney will get behind the title and it will be a hit.
For fun, I think Metroid: Other M will get to 1.75 million, a little higher than Corruption just because the game is a little more streamlined and I think there will be a few people curious about the change in the franchise.
I also think Goldeneye will be a "core" Wii game interesting to watch. I think the game could be big (2-4 million) with heavy advertising. It just has all the features I've been waiting to see for a Wii shooter, brand recognition, online and local multi-player. I think if the game turns out to be at least solid and given lots of promotion it could do well. I also could see the game not get much advertising at all and not even reaching a million and becoming another piece of evidence that "Wii doesn't sell core games".
Link - 8 million
Donkey Kong - 5 million
Kirby - 2 million
Mickey - 753.496 copies
Zelda: 7m
DK:6m
Kirby: 2.2m
Epic Mickey:1.1m
Hopefully they do better!
CURRENTLY PLAYING: Xenoblade (Wii), Super mario 3D land (3DS), Guild Wars (PC)
Donkey Kong Country - 10m
Kirby - 5m
Epic Mickey - 3m
Zelda - 7m
Kirby and Donkey Kong will get the audience that bought New Super Mario Bros Wii last year (15m)
Epic Mickey will be marketed up the butt. It is also the only other game other than Zelda that is on the pre-order list.
Zelda is zelda, but it is also a new, motion plus Zelda.
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